What's Going on with LA-GOV?

[Free Bird]

What are with these polls? Is Vitter still the favorite?

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Notable state Republicans should be doing everything they can to get Angelle into the runoff. These polls might just be right.

[Tender Branson]

Don't know, but Blacks for example only make up 25% of the 150.000 early votes cast so far.

That's extremely low. In the 2014 early vote, Blacks made up 30% of the early vote and even then Landrieu lost big.

Maybe it means nothing, because Edwards could get a much higher share among Whites than Landrieu or Obama ...

[Ebsy]

Edwards is going to come in first in the jungle primary, Vitter will come in second, and Edwards will crush Vitter in the runoff. Democrats will somehow, against all odds, regain the Governor's mansion in Baton Rouge.

[Miles]

The people are ready for revolution!

[windjammer]

The people are ready for revolution!

Why are you supporting Dardenne over Edwards btw Miles?

[Miles]

^ Both are good, but I think Dardenne would work better getting his priorities passed with Republicans being in charge of the legislature. He has more experience in statewide offices, which I think would also be a plus. I'll obviously support either in the runoff.

[/]

Edwards is going to come in first in the jungle primary, Vitter will come in second, and Edwards will crush Vitter in the runoff. Democrats will somehow, against all odds, regain the Governor's mansion in Baton Rouge.

[rbt48]

I think that Edwards is polling so well in the runoff because of a reflection of Jindal's unpopularity.  He could cost the Republican's an election that they should be winning.

My guess is that lots of money will be spent to put Vitter on top in the end.

[pbrower2a]

Louisiana may be getting sick of its own Republicans.

[smoltchanov]

Louisiana may be getting sick of its own Republicans.

It's even more sick of Obama. But Obama isn't on ballot, and, most likely, never will in the future. And it's not sick of ALL Republicans, but 2 SPECIFIC Republicans - Bobby Jindal and David Vitter. Either of 2 remaining Republican candidates (Dardenne and Angelle) would easily defeat Edwards (as much as i like him). But against Vitter and with Jindal as sitting governor - he has a chance...

[Xing]

Could this race be like the Maryland Governor's race in 2014? A race that no one thought would even be competitive at first, and then ends up being a surprise victory for the other party? It would be quite something if Democrats actually gained a governor's mansion this year, after so many predictions that they would lose one (which is still possible, of course).

[pbrower2a]

Louisiana may be getting sick of its own Republicans.

It's even more sick of Obama. But Obama isn't on ballot, and, most likely, never will in the future. And it's not sick of ALL Republicans, but 2 SPECIFIC Republicans - Bobby Jindal and David Vitter. Either of 2 remaining Republican candidates (Dardenne and Angelle) would easily defeat Edwards (as much as i like him). But against Vitter and with Jindal as sitting governor - he has a chance...

But those are the Republicans with the highest profiles in Louisiana.  Jindal got elected because the Democratic Governor of the time was unable to respond to Hurricane Katrina as she thought fit. David Vitter is, well...

Most D-to-R and R-to-D transitions begin with the expectation of major change that rejects stale ways of doing things in favor of exciting new ways. Over time one gets a mixture of successes and failures.

Barack Obama of course will not be on the ballot. A promise to resist President Obama at every turn is becoming irrelevant. Republicans could run on that from 2010 to 2014... but they can no longer do so. 

[smoltchanov]

Louisiana may be getting sick of its own Republicans.

It's even more sick of Obama. But Obama isn't on ballot, and, most likely, never will in the future. And it's not sick of ALL Republicans, but 2 SPECIFIC Republicans - Bobby Jindal and David Vitter. Either of 2 remaining Republican candidates (Dardenne and Angelle) would easily defeat Edwards (as much as i like him). But against Vitter and with Jindal as sitting governor - he has a chance...

But those are the Republicans with the highest profiles in Louisiana.  Jindal got elected because the Democratic Governor of the time was unable to respond to Hurricane Katrina as she thought fit. David Vitter is, well...

Most D-to-R and R-to-D transitions begin with the expectation of major change that rejects stale ways of doing things in favor of exciting new ways. Over time one gets a mixture of successes and failures.

Barack Obama of course will not be on the ballot. A promise to resist President Obama at every turn is becoming irrelevant. Republicans could run on that from 2010 to 2014... but they can no longer do so. 

Agree, it will be more difficult with time passing. But, as long as Obama is in office it's still possible. We will see what prevails in November (i am fairly sure the race will go into run-off)