AL, AR and SC Congressional Races 2016
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  AL, AR and SC Congressional Races 2016 		« previous next »
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Author Topic: AL, AR and SC Congressional Races 2016  (Read 4466 times)
MT Treasurer
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« on: October 17, 2015, 01:30:44 PM »
« edited: February 14, 2016, 01:26:45 AM by TN volunteer »
Since there is no thread about those races, I thought I might just create this one.
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #1 on: October 17, 2015, 01:34:12 PM »
Good, but i expect nothing unusual in these states. Democrats will continue to hold 1 VRA seats in Alabama and South Carolina, and, most likely, nothing more...
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #2 on: October 17, 2015, 01:43:21 PM »
By far the most interesting race IMO is our Senate race.

Former Senators Blanche Lincoln and Mark Pryor, Former Governor Mike Beebe, Former Representative and statewide nominee Mike Ross, and two other statewide elected officials are all still considering it. Pryor somewhat addressed it, but he didn't rule it out entirely like Wikipedia says he did IIRC.
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #3 on: October 17, 2015, 01:47:48 PM »
Quote from: Kingpoleon on October 17, 2015, 01:43:21 PM
By far the most interesting race IMO is our Senate race.

Former Senators Blanche Lincoln and Mark Pryor, Former Governor Mike Beebe, Former Representative and statewide nominee Mike Ross, and two other statewide elected officials are all still considering it. Pryor somewhat addressed it, but he didn't rule it out entirely like Wikipedia says he did IIRC.

I like them all, but only Beebe could win in present day Arkansas.. And even he would need a lot of luck for that..
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #4 on: October 17, 2015, 01:55:00 PM »
Conner Eldridge, former United States Attorney for the Western District of Arkansas, formally kicks off his Senate campaign

So far he's the only Democratic candidate who has declared. He'll probably be the Democratic nominee.
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #5 on: October 17, 2015, 02:23:16 PM »

Good candidate, but will not win. Even against Cotton it would be difficult. Against less controversial Boozman - no chances
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #6 on: November 06, 2015, 06:30:02 PM »
Richard Shelby Gets a Primary Challenge!

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Quote from: smoltchanov on October 17, 2015, 01:47:48 PM
Quote from: Kingpoleon on October 17, 2015, 01:43:21 PM
By far the most interesting race IMO is our Senate race.

Former Senators Blanche Lincoln and Mark Pryor, Former Governor Mike Beebe, Former Representative and statewide nominee Mike Ross, and two other statewide elected officials are all still considering it. Pryor somewhat addressed it, but he didn't rule it out entirely like Wikipedia says he did IIRC.

I like them all, but only Beebe could win in present day Arkansas.. And even he would need a lot of luck for that..

I'm not even sure Beebe could win there nowadays. Boozman is relatively anonymous and inoffensive (like Portman) which explains why he might be struggling in some early polls.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #7 on: November 06, 2015, 06:32:17 PM »
About the only thing possible for Democrats to gain here is Arkansas' central 2nd district, but that's a wave situation. Otherwise, boring is boring.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #8 on: November 06, 2015, 06:38:33 PM »
« Edited: November 06, 2015, 06:50:17 PM by 15 years ago, tomorrow, Al Gore lost New Hampshire »
Univ. of AR poll: Boozman has 38% approval rating, Cotton has 45% approval rating, Hutchinson at 57%

GOP/Mitch McConnell warns Boozman: Step it up
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Miles
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« Reply #9 on: November 06, 2015, 06:48:24 PM »
The DSCC endorsed Eldridge the other day.
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SATW
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« Reply #10 on: November 06, 2015, 06:54:04 PM »
Boozman should retire if he's being weak on campaigning.
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JerryArkansas
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« Reply #11 on: November 06, 2015, 07:47:06 PM »
Can't retire now, filling deadline is on Monday.
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Miles
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« Reply #12 on: November 07, 2015, 01:11:31 PM »
Boozman, Westerman and Crawford haven't filed yet, but as of now, no Democrats have filed in any CD.

Pretty bad, if it stays the same on Monday.
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morgieb
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« Reply #13 on: November 07, 2015, 06:34:35 PM »
Quote from: Miles on November 07, 2015, 01:11:31 PM
Boozman, Westerman and Crawford haven't filed yet, but as of now, no Democrats have filed in any CD.

Pretty bad, if it stays the same on Monday.
So does that make CD1 and CD4 uncontested?

What happens if there are no candidates that have filed in a district?
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #14 on: November 07, 2015, 06:36:39 PM »
Why is the filing deadline so early?
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Miles
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« Reply #15 on: November 07, 2015, 06:45:14 PM »
Quote from: Make America Great Again on November 07, 2015, 06:34:35 PM
Quote from: Miles on November 07, 2015, 01:11:31 PM
Boozman, Westerman and Crawford haven't filed yet, but as of now, no Democrats have filed in any CD.

Pretty bad, if it stays the same on Monday.
So does that make CD1 and CD4 uncontested?

What happens if there are no candidates that have filed in a district?

The deadline is Monday. Presumably, the Republican incumbents will file then.
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PAK Man
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« Reply #16 on: November 08, 2015, 04:31:29 PM »

The primary is March 1. Arkansas has one of the earlier primaries, though why I don't know.
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Miles
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« Reply #17 on: November 09, 2015, 12:55:25 PM »
Boozman has a primary challenger in businessman Curtis Coleman.

Unlikely he gets far, as Coleman ran against Boozman in 2010 and only took 5%.
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136or142
Adam T
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« Reply #18 on: November 09, 2015, 02:27:02 PM »
« Edited: November 09, 2015, 02:33:39 PM by Adam T »
Only Dianne Curry filed to run for the Democrats in the U.S House.  Not even Robbie Wilson filed in the end.

http://www.sunherald.com/news/politics-government/article43718157.html

Also, as in Alabama, neither George Pataki nor Jim Gilmore filed.  Have they both de facto dropped out?
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IceSpear
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« Reply #19 on: November 14, 2015, 06:23:11 PM »
Pretty crazy that Arkansas has changed so much in just 7 years. This time in 2008, most of the Dem incumbents (even the senator!) were sailing to re-election unopposed, and now it's the opposite.
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #20 on: November 15, 2015, 12:29:00 AM »
Quote from: IceSpear on November 14, 2015, 06:23:11 PM
Pretty crazy that Arkansas has changed so much in just 7 years. This time in 2008, most of the Dem incumbents (even the senator!) were sailing to re-election unopposed, and now it's the opposite.

If not Obama - what may be the reason?
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Intell
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« Reply #21 on: November 15, 2015, 02:11:38 AM »
Quote from: smoltchanov on November 15, 2015, 12:29:00 AM
Quote from: IceSpear on November 14, 2015, 06:23:11 PM
Pretty crazy that Arkansas has changed so much in just 7 years. This time in 2008, most of the Dem incumbents (even the senator!) were sailing to re-election unopposed, and now it's the opposite.

If not Obama - what may be the reason?

It's Obama, no question about it.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #22 on: November 15, 2015, 02:03:28 PM »
Quote from: Intell on November 15, 2015, 02:11:38 AM
Quote from: smoltchanov on November 15, 2015, 12:29:00 AM
Quote from: IceSpear on November 14, 2015, 06:23:11 PM
Pretty crazy that Arkansas has changed so much in just 7 years. This time in 2008, most of the Dem incumbents (even the senator!) were sailing to re-election unopposed, and now it's the opposite.

If not Obama - what may be the reason?

It's Obama, no question about it.

Yes. I'm sure when Hillary is president the Democrats will gain back some territory in the state.
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Holmes
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« Reply #23 on: November 15, 2015, 05:24:37 PM »
Quote from: TNvolunteer on November 15, 2015, 03:19:52 PM
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on November 15, 2015, 02:03:28 PM
Quote from: Intell on November 15, 2015, 02:11:38 AM
Quote from: smoltchanov on November 15, 2015, 12:29:00 AM
Quote from: IceSpear on November 14, 2015, 06:23:11 PM
Pretty crazy that Arkansas has changed so much in just 7 years. This time in 2008, most of the Dem incumbents (even the senator!) were sailing to re-election unopposed, and now it's the opposite.

If not Obama - what may be the reason?

It's Obama, no question about it.

Yes. I'm sure when Hillary is president the Democrats will gain back some territory in the state.

/s

Well, he said some territory, and they would probably regain some territory under President Clinton, but yeah. It is so dumb that so many races are uncontested next year though. Smh Arkansas Democrats.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #24 on: December 01, 2015, 04:38:25 PM »
Shelby gets another primary challenge:

Former State Senator Shadrack McGill to challenge Richard Shelby for U.S. Senate seat
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