State Legislatures 2015

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What the heck happened to VA House?

Senate dem majority had a "gentleman's agreement" with pub House majority that both chambers had complete control over their own redistricting (ty Dick Saslaw, you f[inks]ing nonce.)

+ off-year elections

+ House dems being terrible fundraisers

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My best Virginia guesses:

Senate: Democrats are slightly favored to win the chamber 20-20 with Northam breaking the tie. This is just because Gecker is definitely favored to pickup SD-10 and Republicans are not especially strong in any other races; Edwards is going to keep his seat despite that strong left-indy bid IMO.

HoD: The money and turnout just isn't there for Democrats to do as well as they could so I'll go ahead and say 65-35. There will be a large group of close races to watch! At best, maybe three pickups for Democrats.

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Virginia: either 1 seat gain for Democrats in Senate or status quo again. About +2-3 seat gain for Democrats in lower chamber.

We agree on something for once? Color me surprised!

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Virginia State Senate- Republicans will pick up 2 Democratic seats.
Virginia House of Delegates- Republicans will pick up 1 Democratic seat overall.

lolno