State Legislatures 2015

[Gass3268]

Everything that I've read is that Democrats and outside groups (lots of Bloomberg money) into gotv and turnout operations tomorrow, like almost historic levels.

I'm predicting the Dems pick up the Senate and gain a few seats in the House. I could be totally wrong, too bad there hasn't been any polling. Parrish is a good candidate being the Mayor of Manassas, but he'd have to really hope for low turn out in some very Democratic areas of Dale City.

[Gass3268]

Here are my predictions-

Virginia State Senate- Republicans will pick up 2 Democratic seats.
Virginia House of Delegates- Republicans will pick up 1 Democratic seat overall.

Mississippi Senate- Republicans gain about 2-3 seats.
Mississippi House- Republican supermajority

New Jersey House- Republicans win back 1 seat.

Will enter a prediction for Louisiana later.

Just like the Conservatives held on in Canada?

[Gass3268]

Now very pessimistic about VA with the whole tolls issue.  Think a couple NOVA Dem senate seats will be lost over this.

I mean it could make things closer than it should be in SD-29, but Democrats have won big in that seat every year since 09. Even Warner won it 56-41 last year, which was only a 3.16% Republican swing from McAuliffe in 2013. Also a lot of this district is in the Dale City, which means the tolls on I-66 mean nothing to these folks.

[Gass3268]

I should also qualify this by saying I think the Democrats come 1 seat short of the Senate again. I just don't think it will be the 29th.