I don't think the odds of the Dems taking control of the State Senate in Virginia are very good - maybe a 1 in 3 chance at best. Sabato has a good analysis that leads me to that conclusion. It all depends on turnout of course in a low turnout election that favors the Pubs (particularly in the now Dem held NOVA seat). I suspect the Pub has a slight edge in the 10th SD that gets the most attention, and about a 50-50 chance to pick up at least one of two Dem seats.
Interesting. My impression is that Gecker is favored in SD-10 but Parrish is now favored in SD-29, which would lead to R's maintaining 21/19. In the long run, SD-29 will approach 75%D under its current lines, so hopefully it's just a one-term rental for Parrish.
Well,
For Parrish, I think he's the Monica Wehby of 2015. The seat is too dem friendly to be lost. Maybe I'm wrong but that's the feeling I get for this race.
For Gecker, people believe its a dem friendly. It isn't. It's a pure toss up, slight rep if I would say. But this will be close, but according to me the rep has a slight edge.
