Canadian federal election - October 19, 2015: Official Results & Analysis Thread
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  Canadian federal election - October 19, 2015: Official Results & Analysis Thread		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: Canadian federal election - October 19, 2015: Official Results & Analysis Thread  (Read 87266 times)
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Hashemite
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« on: October 19, 2015, 05:27:50 PM »
CBC livestream: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lWFNl0K18A4
CBC results page: http://www.cbc.ca/includes/federalelection/dashboard/
Elections Canada results page: http://enr.elections.ca/National.aspx?lang=e
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Barnes
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« Reply #1 on: October 19, 2015, 05:28:56 PM »


CBC Results page: http://www.cbc.ca/includes/federalelection/dashboard/

CBC Live-stream on Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lWFNl0K18A4

Will we see the revival of Orange Crush, Trudeaumania 2.0, or will Harper rise again?

We'll see soon!

EDIT: I'll just merge my results thread here.
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trebor204
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« Reply #2 on: October 19, 2015, 05:31:26 PM »
« Edited: October 19, 2015, 05:34:37 PM by trebor204 »
Results from Elections Canada (Direct Download, csv format, link should work):
 
http://enr.elections.ca/DownloadResults.aspx
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Linus Van Pelt
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« Reply #3 on: October 19, 2015, 05:41:02 PM »
The poll closing times are really nonsensical. If the west is earlier in local time to minimize the absolute time between regions, why wouldn't the Atlantic be latest in local time?
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cinyc
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« Reply #4 on: October 19, 2015, 06:01:13 PM »
CTV's Live Coverage: http://www.ctvnews.ca/video?playlistId=1.2616686
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Barnes
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« Reply #5 on: October 19, 2015, 06:01:47 PM »
Well here we go..
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #6 on: October 19, 2015, 06:04:20 PM »
Judging by the polls I'd say Liberals will gain probably all the seats in Newfoundland and Labrador.
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Classic Conservative
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« Reply #7 on: October 19, 2015, 06:04:29 PM »
Question which party would fight my views best Christian Heritage?
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« Reply #8 on: October 19, 2015, 06:06:39 PM »
CBC is low-energy coverage. Low marks so far.

Classic, I presume you want a non-joke party so I presume the Tories.
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« Reply #9 on: October 19, 2015, 06:06:42 PM »
Quote from: LibertarianRepublican on October 19, 2015, 06:04:20 PM
Judging by the polls I'd say Liberals will gain probably all the seats in Newfoundland and Labrador.

Judging by the 2011 results, St. John's East is one of the absolute safest NDP seats in the country. (It's more of a Jack Harris riding than an NDP riding, but so long as he's running it is absolutely safe).
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« Reply #10 on: October 19, 2015, 06:11:27 PM »
« Edited: October 19, 2015, 06:17:11 PM by Zyzz »
Newfoundland and the rest of Atlantic Canada often have waves start there, but also end there. The Conservatives reformed EI regulations and they have dropped like a rock in Atlantic Canada since. In 1997 for example, the PC's and NDP won Atlantic Canada, and people might have thought the Liberals were in trouble early on.However, Chretien and the Liberals won a majority government in 1997.
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DC Al Fine
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« Reply #11 on: October 19, 2015, 06:11:54 PM »
Quote from: Classic Conservative on October 19, 2015, 06:04:29 PM
Question which party would fight my views best Christian Heritage?

Yeah probably, although they're a fringe party if you have a problem with that.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #12 on: October 19, 2015, 06:13:53 PM »
If I could pick any party, the Canadian Libertarian party would be my best fit, but realistically I would be considered a swing Liberal-Conservative voter.
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Clyde1998
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« Reply #13 on: October 19, 2015, 06:15:53 PM »
Early Results from Newfoundland - all 5 reporting heading Liberal.
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Classic Conservative
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« Reply #14 on: October 19, 2015, 06:18:11 PM »
Quote from: CrabCake the Liberal Magician on October 19, 2015, 06:06:39 PM
CBC is low-energy coverage. Low marks so far.

Classic, I presume you want a non-joke party so I presume the Tories.
Ok I'm not very familiar with Canadian elections so I would probably be Tory.
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DC Al Fine
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« Reply #15 on: October 19, 2015, 06:21:05 PM »
Quote from: Clyde1998 on October 19, 2015, 06:15:53 PM
Early Results from Newfoundland - all 5 reporting heading Liberal.

And they are wracking up rural Aberta/Manhattan type numbers.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #16 on: October 19, 2015, 06:21:33 PM »
Those enthusiastic volunteers though.
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DC Al Fine
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« Reply #17 on: October 19, 2015, 06:21:51 PM »
St. John's needs to hurry the heck up and start releasing the only interesting result in this province Tongue
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Clyde1998
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« Reply #18 on: October 19, 2015, 06:22:47 PM »
71.2% Liberal in the Newfoundland seats reporting so far. Is that normal?
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Barnes
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« Reply #19 on: October 19, 2015, 06:23:59 PM »
Quote from: Clyde1998 on October 19, 2015, 06:22:47 PM
71.2% Liberal in the Newfoundland seats reporting so far. Is that normal?

Well, the Liberals were always expected to sweep, but that is a very large figure.  This is of course only a small sample of the vote so far.
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Boston Bread
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« Reply #20 on: October 19, 2015, 06:25:15 PM »
Quote from: Clyde1998 on October 19, 2015, 06:22:47 PM
71.2% Liberal in the Newfoundland seats reporting so far. Is that normal?
The 2 NDP seats are not in yet. 71% is roughly in line with the 5 rural seats in my model.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #21 on: October 19, 2015, 06:25:36 PM »
Quote from: Clyde1998 on October 19, 2015, 06:22:47 PM
71.2% Liberal in the Newfoundland seats reporting so far. Is that normal?

They got 37.9% of the vote in 2011
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Barnes
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« Reply #22 on: October 19, 2015, 06:26:07 PM »
Quote from: New Canadaland on October 19, 2015, 06:25:15 PM
Quote from: Clyde1998 on October 19, 2015, 06:22:47 PM
71.2% Liberal in the Newfoundland seats reporting so far. Is that normal?
The 2 NDP seats are not in yet. 71% is roughly in line with the 5 rural seats in my model.

Yes, the NDP seats will immediately begin to decrease the overall total, but there's a lot of talk at the moment of those seats being in danger for the NDP.
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Barnes
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« Reply #23 on: October 19, 2015, 06:28:41 PM »
Liberals in the lead in St. John's South-Mount Pearl.
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DC Al Fine
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« Reply #24 on: October 19, 2015, 06:29:00 PM »
Quote from: Barnes on October 19, 2015, 06:26:07 PM
Quote from: New Canadaland on October 19, 2015, 06:25:15 PM
Quote from: Clyde1998 on October 19, 2015, 06:22:47 PM
71.2% Liberal in the Newfoundland seats reporting so far. Is that normal?
The 2 NDP seats are not in yet. 71% is roughly in line with the 5 rural seats in my model.

Yes, the NDP seats will immediately begin to decrease the overall total, but there's a lot of talk at the moment of those seats being in danger for the NDP.

Exactly. 70%+ is a lot, but the Liberals put up 55-60% in rural Newfoundland on much shoddier overall numbers.
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