Canadian federal election - October 19, 2015: Official Results & Analysis Thread

[Krago]

[Krago]

[Krago]

[King of Kensington]

Excluding advance and special ballots (e-day only), here's the Tory Top 10:

51.9% - Lanark
50.9% - Huron
49.3% - Stormont, Dundas and Glengarry
48.4% - Elgin
47.3% - Leeds and Grenville
45.8% - Dufferin
45.6% - Grey
45.5% - Oxford
45.5% - York
44.7% - Halton

Interesting that Hudak did better in Eastern Ontario than Harper last time.

[Hatman 🍁]

Excluding advance and special ballots (e-day only), here's the Tory Top 10:

51.9% - Lanark
50.9% - Huron
49.3% - Stormont, Dundas and Glengarry
48.4% - Elgin
47.3% - Leeds and Grenville
45.8% - Dufferin
45.6% - Grey
45.5% - Oxford
45.5% - York
44.7% - Halton

Interesting that Hudak did better in Eastern Ontario than Harper last time.

Civil servants

[King of Kensington]

In Leeds-Grenville?

[trebor204]

Polling Extremes:

Best and Worst for each party



Conservative:

99.54% Poll #13 in Peace River-Westlock (out of 216 votes, 1 voted Green )
99.12% Poll #8 in  Peace River-Westlock  (out of 227 votes, 2 voted Liberal)

20 Polls where they got over 95% of the vote.
 - Peace River - Westlock, Battle River - Crowfoot, Bow River, Fort McMurray, Grand Prairie - Mackenize, Lakeland (Alberta)
 - Carlton Trail - Eagle Creek (Saskatchewan)
 

One poll (#86) in Thornhill (ON) had 93.28% support for the Conservaites:

125 Polls where did not receive a single vote:
- 40 of those polls had over 100 votes cast (4 polls with over 200 votes cast)
- Worst was Poll #47 in Laurier Saint Marie, QC (0 votes out of 235 votes cast)


Liberal:

98.44 % - Poll #204 in Bonavista Burin Trinity, NL (only out of 64 votes)

Best with over 200 votes cast:
Kenora, ON (96.06% with 355 votes cast)


13 Polls were they got over 95% of the vote.
  - Bonavista, Long Range Mountain, Coast of Bays, Labrador (Newfoundland an Labrador)
  - Kenora and Aurora-Oak Ridges-Richmond Hill (Ontario)

Got 93.04% in a poll (#100) in Scarborough-Guildwood, ON

18 Polls were they got no votes
- Worst was Poll # 9 Peace River, AB (0 votes out of 278 votes cast)


NDP:
98.36% - Poll #27 in North Island - Powell River (61 votes cast)

Best with over 200 votes cast:
94.53% - Poll #12 in Kenora (Ontario)

3 polls where they got over 95% of votes cast
North Island (BC)  and Kenora. (ON)


90 Polls where they failed to get a single votes
Worst was Poll # 188 Doval - Lachine - LaSalle where they failed to get a single vote out of 277. (This must be a mistake,
 since the NDP were polling around 20% in the region, the BQ around 5% and IND <1%. Elections Canada has not made note of this mistake.
However Poll #612 in Vancouver East, Elections Canada did make note of their mistake)

Otherwise,
Poll 75B - London West (out of 246 votes cast)
Poll 42 - Aurora / Oak Ridges / Richmond Hill (out 228 votes cast)
Poll 62 - Oakville ( 227 votes cast)
Poll 8 - Peace River (227 votes cast)

Green

87.41% Poll #36 - Saanich - Gulf Island, BC (out of 286 votes cast)
The top 146 polls were all in Saanich.
The Greens worst poll in Saanich #206B (where they only got 32.69%)

Best Non Saanich Result
Poll # 16 - Victoria, BC (49.29% out of 282 votes, got at least 16% in all the polls)

Best Non Victoria Island Result: Poll 41 - Eglinton Lawrence, ON (45.26% out of 190 votes)

Worst Showing:

3271 Polls without a single vote. (629 of these polls had over 200 votes cast)

Poll #115 in Desnethe-Missinippi-Churchill River, SK (0 votes out of 630 votes)
Poll #608 in St John's South - Mount Pearl, NL (0 votes out of 600 votes)

BQ

Poll #36 - Manicouagan, QC (72.60% out of 219 votes)
14 Polls over 60%, All but one was in Manicouagan (the other was Joliette)

Worst: Poll #169 Pieffefonds-Donlard, QC (0 votes out of 275 votes cast)

[Boston Bread]

Poll 41 - Eglinton Lawrence, ON was also a mistake. No way the Greens did that well there.

[trebor204]

Poll 41 - Eglinton Lawrence, ON was also a mistake. No way the Greens did that well there.

Their were at least 2 errors with the Green Party in Eglinton-Lawrence:
Poll # 41 and #64 has incorrect values with the Green

It looks like Poll #111 in Ville Marie / Le Sed Sud Ouest - Iles des Soeurs also an incorrect value for the Greens

The best results for the Greens outside BC
were:
Poll #4 in Thunder Bay - Superior North (31.25% out of 35 votes)
Poll #36 in Thunder Bay - Superior North (31.15% out of 122 votes)

Poll #67 in Fredericton (30.41% out of 171 votes)

[Linus Van Pelt]

Conservative:

99.54% Poll #13 in Peace River-Westlock (out of 216 votes, 1 voted Green )
99.12% Poll #8 in  Peace River-Westlock  (out of 227 votes, 2 voted Liberal)

That area around La Crete - essentially all Mennonite and Cree - has got to be the most polarized in the country.

The dots on the map below represent polls where the Conservative vote is: 99.5%, 98.6%, 98.3%, 98.2%, 97.7%, 95.2%, 91.5%, 3.3%, 0%, 0% (with both of the last two actually 0 votes).

[Hatman 🍁]

So Kenora had some of the strongest NDP and Liberal polls. Is this an issue of different tribes supporting different parties or perhaps different chiefs backing different candidates?

[Hatman 🍁]

Can't be a tribal thing. The strongest NDP poll in Kenora was Kingfisher Lake First Nation and the strongest Liberal poll was Sandy Lake First Nation. Both are Oji-Cree reserves.

[Krago]

[Krago]

[Krago]

[King of Kensington]

Polling Extremes:

Best and Worst for each party



Conservative:

99.54% Poll #13 in Peace River-Westlock (out of 216 votes, 1 voted Green )
99.12% Poll #8 in  Peace River-Westlock  (out of 227 votes, 2 voted Liberal)

20 Polls where they got over 95% of the vote.
 - Peace River - Westlock, Battle River - Crowfoot, Bow River, Fort McMurray, Grand Prairie - Mackenize, Lakeland (Alberta)
 - Carlton Trail - Eagle Creek (Saskatchewan)

Are these polls populated by a certain religious group?  Mennonites?  Mormons?
 

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Orthodox Jews, obviously.  Pretty sure that's in the subdivision that was actually built specifically for them.

     










[/quote]

[Hatman 🍁]

Really? Judging from google street view, the area looks to be your typical upper-middle class suburb.

[King of Kensington]

Really? Judging from google street view, the area looks to be your typical upper-middle class suburb.

http://preview.tinyurl.com/gwsbtbe

[Krago]

[Krago]

[Krago]

[Krago]

[Krago]

[Krago]

[Krago]