Canadian federal election - October 19, 2015: Official Results & Analysis Thread
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  Canadian federal election - October 19, 2015: Official Results & Analysis Thread		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: Canadian federal election - October 19, 2015: Official Results & Analysis Thread  (Read 87265 times)
Phony Moderate
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« Reply #50 on: October 19, 2015, 06:44:23 PM »
Harris now only narrowly ahead in St John's East.
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Boston Bread
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« Reply #51 on: October 19, 2015, 06:45:39 PM »
Acadie-Bathurst liberal too. Wow.
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Boston Bread
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« Reply #52 on: October 19, 2015, 06:46:59 PM »
Liberals still at 70% in Atlantic.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #53 on: October 19, 2015, 06:47:10 PM »
Liberals up 40.3% of the vote from 2011 so far in Atlantic Canada.
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Clyde1998
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« Reply #54 on: October 19, 2015, 06:47:29 PM »
Liberals up 40% in Atlantic Canada? Is that compared to the same areas or just taken as a comparison to the 2011 final figures?
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Boston Bread
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« Reply #55 on: October 19, 2015, 06:48:30 PM »
Quote from: Clyde1998 on October 19, 2015, 06:47:29 PM
Liberals up 40% in Atlantic Canada? Is that compared to the same areas or just taken as a comparison to the 2011 final figures?
Comparison to all of the Atlantic in 2011, I think they got 28% in 2011. The remaining seats shouldn't be as liberal. NFLD is what's driving them up.
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VPH
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« Reply #56 on: October 19, 2015, 06:49:41 PM »
NDP in the lead in Acadie-Bathurst now
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DC Al Fine
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« Reply #57 on: October 19, 2015, 06:50:36 PM »
Liberals are leading as expected in my riding (Halifax West)

Stoffer trails in Sackville-Preston-Chezzetcook though Shocked
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Boston Bread
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« Reply #58 on: October 19, 2015, 06:50:44 PM »
Liberals starting out strong in Central Nova. Looks like L+1 after all Smiley
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Crumpets
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« Reply #59 on: October 19, 2015, 06:51:28 PM »
Tories only up by 4% in Tobique-Mactaquac over Liberals. IIRC, they got 60+% of the vote there in 2011.
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Vosem
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« Reply #60 on: October 19, 2015, 06:52:00 PM »
At least Conservatives are leading in one seat -- Tobique. For some background, this was the only riding in Atlantic Canada the Reformists/the CA targeted, in 1997 and 2000.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #61 on: October 19, 2015, 06:52:38 PM »
Even though it's still early and it's only a couple of riding, it's looking to be a very good night for Liberals.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #62 on: October 19, 2015, 06:53:27 PM »
Peter Stoffer is losing.
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DC Al Fine
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« Reply #63 on: October 19, 2015, 06:53:47 PM »
Halifax is Liberal, although the high Tory number suggests that the polls might be from the small old money bit of the riding, in which case the NDP would be fine. I could be wrong though.
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kcguy
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« Reply #64 on: October 19, 2015, 06:54:30 PM »
Take early "Leading" numbers with a grain of salt.  I think the Communists were leading in a BC seat in 2011, with one poll declared.  Their lead didn't hold.

"Declared" seats are a different matter.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #65 on: October 19, 2015, 07:00:32 PM »
Tories now only up 2% in Tobique, and Liberals back in the lead in Acadie-Bathurst. Tories also ahead in Fundy Royal.
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VPH
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« Reply #66 on: October 19, 2015, 07:01:14 PM »
woaaaah I didn't know there was another Kansas Dem around here
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Barnes
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« Reply #67 on: October 19, 2015, 07:01:40 PM »
St. John's South has been called for the Libs.
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HagridOfTheDeep
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« Reply #68 on: October 19, 2015, 07:04:40 PM »
I will be devastated if Peter Stoffer and Megan Leslie lose. Ugh. I feckin' hate Justin Trudeau.
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DC Al Fine
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« Reply #69 on: October 19, 2015, 07:05:42 PM »
Quote from: HagridOfTheDeep on October 19, 2015, 07:04:40 PM
I will be devastated if Peter Stoffer and Megan Leslie lose. Ugh. I feckin' hate Justin Trudeau.

Not going that far, but yeah Stoffer is my fave Dipper MP by far.
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Boston Bread
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« Reply #70 on: October 19, 2015, 07:06:47 PM »
Atlantic popular vote at 67-15-15. That is 15% over the most recent polls.
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kcguy
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« Reply #71 on: October 19, 2015, 07:07:02 PM »
Quote from: VPH on October 19, 2015, 07:01:14 PM
woaaaah I didn't know there was another Kansas Dem around here

No reason you should  I average something like 0.3 posts per day, and they tend to come in spurts.
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Clyde1998
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« Reply #72 on: October 19, 2015, 07:08:02 PM »
What polls are next to close?
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Vosem
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« Reply #73 on: October 19, 2015, 07:08:26 PM »
Libs lead all Atlantic ridings but St. John's North, Tobique, and Fundy Royal -- including Acadie, Halifax, and Sackville. Safe NDP seats falling to the Liberals left and right.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #74 on: October 19, 2015, 07:09:07 PM »
Only a 1.2% difference in Fundy Royal right now.
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