Will there be another GOP President

[MATTROSE94]

The Republicans are strongly favored to win the Presidency in 2020 IMO.

[MATTROSE94]

The Republicans are strongly favored to win the Presidency in 2020 IMO.

How would you rate their 2016 chances, out of curiosity?

Anyway, yes. The two party system seems stable unfortunately.

I would probably say that the Democrats are slightly favored in the 2016 election at this point, especially if Donald Trump gets the Republican nomination (which seems somewhat likely considering his strong poll numbers). I do feel that the Democrats will do slightly worse in 2016 than in 2012, maybe going down to 310-315 Electoral Votes as opposed to 332 Electoral Votes. I still think that the Democrats will have solid gains in the 2016 Senate races, gaining around 5 or 6 seats from the Republicans.

[MATTROSE94]

The Republicans are strongly favored to win the Presidency in 2020 IMO.

How would you rate their 2016 chances, out of curiosity?

Anyway, yes. The two party system seems stable unfortunately.

I would probably say that the Democrats are slightly favored in the 2016 election at this point, especially if Donald Trump gets the Republican nomination (which seems somewhat likely considering his strong poll numbers). I do feel that the Democrats will do slightly worse in 2016 than in 2012, maybe going down to 310-315 Electoral Votes as opposed to 332 Electoral Votes. I still think that the Democrats will have solid gains in the 2016 Senate races, gaining around 5 or 6 seats from the Republicans.

So you think the Democrats are favored to win 2016, but the Republicans are "strongly favored" to win 2020? That makes no sense.

I feel that a fairly deep recession is likely occur between 2017 and 2019, which will hurt Hillary Clinton politically and reduce her reelection chances. Combining that factor with the inevitable voter fatigue after 12 years of Democratic rule makes a Republican victory in the 2020 Presidential election a strong possibility.