Austrian Elections & Politics 2.0 (Presidential runoff re-vote: 4 Dec. 2016)
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Poll
Question: Who would you vote for in the Presidential runoff on May 22 ?
#1
Norbert Hofer (FPÖ)
#2
Alexander Van der Bellen (Greens)
#3
I'd invalidate the ballot
#4
I'd stay home
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Partisan results

Author Topic: Austrian Elections & Politics 2.0 (Presidential runoff re-vote: 4 Dec. 2016)  (Read 289115 times)
Donnie
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« Reply #1875 on: December 04, 2016, 09:12:25 AM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on December 04, 2016, 08:28:53 AM
More turnout rumours:

* strong turnout in Vienna (higher than in the May runoff)

* roughly the same turnout in Carinthia

http://m.heute.at/news/politik/Offenbar-reger-Andrang-auf-Wahllokale;art23660,1376734

Any twitter rumors, exit polls leaks yet?

What's your final prediction for this one, Tender?
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windjammer
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« Reply #1876 on: December 04, 2016, 09:44:20 AM »
Any news?
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #1877 on: December 04, 2016, 09:48:43 AM »
Quote from: Donnie on December 04, 2016, 09:12:25 AM
Quote from: Tender Branson on December 04, 2016, 08:28:53 AM
More turnout rumours:

* strong turnout in Vienna (higher than in the May runoff)

* roughly the same turnout in Carinthia

http://m.heute.at/news/politik/Offenbar-reger-Andrang-auf-Wahllokale;art23660,1376734

Any twitter rumors, exit polls leaks yet?

What's your final prediction for this one, Tender?

Austria has no exit polls.

And any leaks were prohibited by the Court.

So no leaks except a few about turnout, which should not be as bad as expected after this year long campaign, but could match the May numbers.

And: 52-48 VdB (but who knows ...)
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ApatheticAustrian
ApathicAustrian
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« Reply #1878 on: December 04, 2016, 09:54:01 AM »
according to poll workers in my vienna precinct, turnout was just over 50% 90 minutes before closing....take it with some tons of salt.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #1879 on: December 04, 2016, 10:05:01 AM »
Quote from: ApatheticAustrian on December 04, 2016, 09:54:01 AM
according to poll workers in my vienna precinct, turnout was just over 50% 90 minutes before closing....take it with some tons of salt.

Not all too bad considering Vienna has a huge share of postal voters which are not counted on the precinct level. So, around 65% for your precinct with 90 minutes to go.

Besides, precincts often have huge variations in turnout.

Still I would not be that surprised if turnout is lower than in May due to the long and nerve wrecking campaign ...
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #1880 on: December 04, 2016, 10:34:43 AM »
Wow.

Today's cartoon in the "Kronen Zeitung":



"Today: Elections in Alpine Mordor !"

Wink

Reference:

Quote from: Tender Branson on November 15, 2016, 03:52:05 PM
VdB (Greens) had his official campaign kickoff event today (the 4th already) at the Vienna Marx Palace, in which he invoked "Lord of the Rings": Austria must not become an "Alpine Mordor" he said, with Hofer winning the Presidency first and then the FPÖ winning the federal election in 2017 or 2018, forming a far-right/conservative government. Or a so-called "Blue Republic", in which the FPÖ controls the government, the Presidency and the 1st parliamentary president. "We don't need extreme experiments", he said "I want an open, tolerant, peaceful, enlightened, successful Austria."



http://derstandard.at/2000047618396/Hofburgwahl-Van-der-Bellen-warnt-vor-Alpen-Mordor
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #1881 on: December 04, 2016, 10:38:03 AM »
Polls close in 20 minutes.

Live stream:

http://tvthek.orf.at/live/Wahl-16-Bundespraesidentenwahl-Die-Wiederholung/13893197
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1882 on: December 04, 2016, 10:44:47 AM »
The mood so far is much better in the VdB party headquarters than in the Hofer headquarters.

Reports the left-liberal "Standard" newspaper.

Whatever this means (remember that the mood at the Hillary headquarters was also much better early in the evening).
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1883 on: December 04, 2016, 10:49:12 AM »
10 minutes until the polls close !

*getting really nervous*

Then a 10-15 minute wait until SORA has their first projection ready for the ORF.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #1884 on: December 04, 2016, 11:00:11 AM »
The polls are now closed Austria-wide.

Waiting for the SORA/ORF projection !
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #1885 on: December 04, 2016, 11:02:07 AM »
VdB wins Vorarlberg state (closed at 1am) with 60-40 !

Without postal votes ... Smiley

Smiley

Smiley

Smiley
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windjammer
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« Reply #1886 on: December 04, 2016, 11:02:41 AM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on December 04, 2016, 11:02:07 AM
VdB wins Vorarlberg state (closed at 1am) with 60-40 !

Without postal votes ... Smiley

Smiley

Smiley

Smiley
Good news?
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #1887 on: December 04, 2016, 11:03:21 AM »

Very good news.

Unless Hofer also overperforms in his strongholds.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1888 on: December 04, 2016, 11:07:04 AM »
Hofer getting good results in Styria.

VdB doing really well in swing-state Upper Austria.

I don't think Hofer can pull this out ...
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1889 on: December 04, 2016, 11:09:11 AM »
Zell am See (my home town) fully counted:

53-47 Hofer (without postal ballots)

A swing of 4% to VdB !
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #1890 on: December 04, 2016, 11:09:52 AM »
How are the postal votes expected to go?
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1891 on: December 04, 2016, 11:10:21 AM »
1st projection:

53.6% VdB
46.4% Hofer

VdB elected President !
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1892 on: December 04, 2016, 11:14:33 AM »
VdB projected to get 2.5 million votes, Hofer around 2.1 million.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #1893 on: December 04, 2016, 11:15:10 AM »
Thank Goodness this torch has passed us and now the US is stuck with Trump ... lol
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DavidB.
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« Reply #1894 on: December 04, 2016, 11:16:35 AM »
So when will the next attempt take place?
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #1895 on: December 04, 2016, 11:19:11 AM »
god's own country...ah ah ah.

thank you people's party.

contrarians by heart.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1896 on: December 04, 2016, 11:21:15 AM »
FPÖ acknowledges their defeat.
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Max Stirner
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« Reply #1897 on: December 04, 2016, 11:22:24 AM »
next month next election?
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Mike88
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« Reply #1898 on: December 04, 2016, 11:23:09 AM »
Congrats Austria Cheesy

PS: Once again the polls failed!
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1899 on: December 04, 2016, 11:23:19 AM »
LOL, I just heard a few fireworks outside.

Don't know if this has to do with the VdB victory or not ...
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