Austrian Elections & Politics 2.0 (Presidential runoff re-vote: 4 Dec. 2016)
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Poll
Question: Who would you vote for in the Presidential runoff on May 22 ?
#1
Norbert Hofer (FPÖ)
#2
Alexander Van der Bellen (Greens)
#3
I'd invalidate the ballot
#4
I'd stay home
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Author Topic: Austrian Elections & Politics 2.0 (Presidential runoff re-vote: 4 Dec. 2016)  (Read 287984 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #750 on: May 22, 2016, 07:51:37 AM »
Quote from: Classic Conservative on May 22, 2016, 07:49:21 AM
At this point who do you think will win???

Turnout is up significantly in the big cities (Vienna, Graz, Linz, Salzburg) according to reports.

Which should help VdB a lot.

But it's generally high (and also up) in the rural areas, so this is also good news for Hofer.

We probably have to wait for the postal ballots which are counted tomorrow afternoon - because it's looking like a close race.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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E: -6.06, S: -4.84

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« Reply #751 on: May 22, 2016, 08:00:21 AM »
A reminder:

If Hofer is at or above 52.5% in the first ORF/SORA projection at 5pm, Hofer has won the election (with a 95% certainty).

VdB will do extremely well with postal ballots on Monday, but he's unlikely to net more than 2% ...
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #752 on: May 22, 2016, 08:15:21 AM »
In the meantime:

Time for coffee and cake.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

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« Reply #753 on: May 22, 2016, 09:22:08 AM »
Live stream:

http://tvthek.orf.at/live/Wahl-16-Bundespraesidentenwahl-Stichwahl-um-die-Hofburg/12775055

(starts in 20 minutes)
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #754 on: May 22, 2016, 09:36:26 AM »
Even on Twitter, where several election commission members are posting stuff about turnout, there's no clear consensus about where this race is going ...

Rural areas are going heavily Hofer, Vienna and cities to VdB.

Looks like a total 50/50 race ...
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #755 on: May 22, 2016, 09:40:29 AM »
ATV projects 72% turnout (+3).

I say 74%.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #756 on: May 22, 2016, 09:45:44 AM »

Live stream starts. Does it work abroad ?
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reciprocity
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« Reply #757 on: May 22, 2016, 09:46:44 AM »
Yes it works. Thank goodness Austrian politicians don't care about copyright laws.
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Double Carpet
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« Reply #758 on: May 22, 2016, 09:50:40 AM »
I know the competition has closed but I think it will be Hofer by 52-53%.

Thanks everyone for all the updates.
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Swedish Rainbow Capitalist Cheese
JOHN91043353
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« Reply #759 on: May 22, 2016, 09:51:05 AM »
Quote from: reciprocity on May 22, 2016, 09:46:44 AM
Yes it works. Thank goodness Austrian politicians don't care about copyright laws.

During British general elections the BBC election coverage stream can actually be watched from abroad so it seams public networks in general aren't that squeamish about it when it comes to election coverage.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

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« Reply #760 on: May 22, 2016, 09:51:20 AM »
Quote from: Double Carpet on May 22, 2016, 09:50:40 AM
I know the competition has closed but I think it will be Hofer by 52-53%.

Thanks everyone for all the updates.

Polls are still open for 8 minutes ... Wink
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

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« Reply #761 on: May 22, 2016, 09:52:35 AM »
Quote from: Swedish Austerity Cheese on May 22, 2016, 09:51:05 AM
Quote from: reciprocity on May 22, 2016, 09:46:44 AM
Yes it works. Thank goodness Austrian politicians don't care about copyright laws.

During British general elections the BBC election coverage stream can actually be watched from abroad so it seams public networks in general aren't that squeamish about it when it comes to election coverage.

That's no surprise. We Austrians like to shell out free stuff for foreigners ... Tongue
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Swedish Rainbow Capitalist Cheese
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« Reply #762 on: May 22, 2016, 09:55:31 AM »
Btw Tender, voting hours in Austria really suck. In what civilized democracy does polls close at 5 pm? Even 6 pm as it is in Germany is ridiculous. Polls should be open from 8 am to 8 pm should be as a minimum. 
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reciprocity
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« Reply #763 on: May 22, 2016, 09:55:50 AM »
Quote from: Swedish Austerity Cheese on May 22, 2016, 09:51:05 AM
Quote from: reciprocity on May 22, 2016, 09:46:44 AM
Yes it works. Thank goodness Austrian politicians don't care about copyright laws.

During British general elections the BBC election coverage stream can actually be watched from abroad so it seams public networks in general aren't that squeamish about it when it comes to election coverage.

Really? I am surprised at that. They ask if you have a television license to watch their official online streams (even though lying is possible).
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #764 on: May 22, 2016, 09:58:37 AM »
Quote from: Swedish Austerity Cheese on May 22, 2016, 09:55:31 AM
Btw Tender, voting hours in Austria really suck. In what civilized democracy does polls close at 5 pm? Even 6 pm as it is in Germany is ridiculous. Polls should be open from 8 am to 8 pm should be as a minimum. 

In Liechtenstein you can only vote for 1 hour and they still have 90% turnout.

Also, Switzerland closes at noon.

But I agree: Polls should be open from 8am to 6pm in all precincts.
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reciprocity
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« Reply #765 on: May 22, 2016, 10:00:05 AM »
LOL at the reporter from the Financial Times. His English accent shone through when speaking German. There is definitely a lot of international attention on this.
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DavidB.
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« Reply #766 on: May 22, 2016, 10:00:57 AM »
Mazal tov, VdB.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

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« Reply #767 on: May 22, 2016, 10:01:21 AM »
Yay.

Long night and Monday ahead of us ...
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Beezer
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« Reply #768 on: May 22, 2016, 10:01:42 AM »
I guess vdB will win this considering that exit polls tend to overestimate FPÖ support.
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Unimog
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« Reply #769 on: May 22, 2016, 10:01:58 AM »
no results today - its 50/50
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DavidB.
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« Reply #770 on: May 22, 2016, 10:02:21 AM »
Quote from: Beezer on May 22, 2016, 10:01:42 AM
I guess vdB will win this considering that exit polls tend to overestimate FPÖ support.
Exactly, + postal votes. Meh.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

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« Reply #771 on: May 22, 2016, 10:02:51 AM »
I agree, VdB should be favoured now ...
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Representative simossad
simossad
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« Reply #772 on: May 22, 2016, 10:03:28 AM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on May 22, 2016, 10:02:51 AM
I agree, VdB should be favoured now ...

I hope so.
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Double Carpet
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« Reply #773 on: May 22, 2016, 10:04:19 AM »
Wow so close in the exit poll, Hofer 50.2%!!

VdB wins Vorarlberg with 56.4% - does that give any sort of read for the national result?
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Unimog
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« Reply #774 on: May 22, 2016, 10:05:42 AM »
even if hofer wins - vdb did much better than we thought weeks ago...
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