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If this trend continues, the Dems basically have five new seats in the bag already (NH, WI, IL, FL, OH).
Ohio is not in the bag, and Florida might have Grayson as the nominee so that's a huge * right there.
I mean, you could argue that Quinnipac has a Dem bias, but (a) it doesn't and (b) the evidence is compelling regardless. A challenger consistently polling ahead of an incumbent in a state with such close politics so early in the cycle leads to a pretty definitive conclusion.
And Grayson is leading in the polls too FYI.
