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If this trend continues, the Dems basically have five new seats in the bag already (NH, WI, IL, FL, OH).
Ohio is not in the bag, and Florida might have Grayson as the nominee so that's a huge * right there.
Even if Murphy is the nominee, this race is not over. Murphy isn't Bob Graham, even though Atlas seems to think he is. If it's Murphy vs Jolly and Rubio vs Clinton, it will probably be 2004 all over again. If it's Atwater vs Murphy, Atwater wins.
Let's not get cocky, this is still a toss-up.
This race shouldn't even be close given Hassan's tenure as governor. The fact that it is shows that New Hampshire is a blue state. If Ayotte loses, I hope people will stop calling NH a swing state.
Wait, Atwater is running???