How has your precinct voted in past Presidentials?
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  How has your precinct voted in past Presidentials?
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Author Topic: How has your precinct voted in past Presidentials?  (Read 990 times)
Mr. Illini
liberty142
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« on: October 21, 2015, 05:12:24 PM »

Go as far back as you can.

My county is a bit weird and has results on file for select years, but here it is:

My Precinct

2012: 78% Obama

2008: 83% Obama

1984: 58% Reagan

1980: 53% Carter

1976: 53% Ford

1972: 63% McGovern

1968: 55% Humphrey

Quite an interesting combination. Would be interested to see if someone could guess why my precinct has voted the way it has.

Hometown Precinct - the ones I grew up in

2012: 52% Romney

2008: 51% Obama
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bagelman
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« Reply #1 on: October 21, 2015, 06:03:56 PM »

Here are the results for my ward, hope this is close enough

*2012 63% Romney

*2008: 60% McCain

*2004 (recount): 63% Bush

Ward borders changed in 2002

*2000: 69% Bush
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Miles
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« Reply #2 on: October 21, 2015, 06:06:08 PM »

My precinct is slightly to the right of NC-09 as a whole. Bush carried it twice with 66%, McCain got down to 57% and Romney got it to just over 60%.
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #3 on: October 25, 2015, 11:16:12 AM »

I can get official results for my specific precinct (per the Secretary of State) back to 2000 (and in fairness, I don't know how the borders have changed since then).  For my hometown, I can get unofficial results for my hometown (but not my precinct) from newspaper archives (on and off) since 1912, but it generally doesn't include minor candidates.  For those, I'll just go by percentages of the vote for all candidates listed.

Official Precinct Results (2000-present)
2012: 72% Romney
2008: 68% McCain
2004: 74% Bush
2000: 75% Bush

Unofficial Hometown Results (1912-1996, Major Candidates Only)
1996: 66% Dole
1992: 62% Bush
1988: Bush (percentage unknown)
1984: 84% Reagan
1980: 72% Reagan
1976: 83% Ford
1972: 85% Nixon
1968: 78% Nixon
1964: 71% Goldwater
1960: 86% Nixon
1956: 90% Eisenhower
1952: 90% Eisenhower
1948: 86% Dewey
1944: 92% Dewey
1940: 88% Willkie
1936: 67% Roosevelt
1932: 78% Roosevelt
1928: Unavailable
1924: 68% La Follette
1920: 96% Harding
1916: Unavailable
1912: 64% Wilson
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Crumpets
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« Reply #4 on: October 25, 2015, 12:13:02 PM »
« Edited: October 27, 2015, 07:09:23 PM by Thinking Crumpets Crumpet »

I don't know if there's anywhere that consolidates all Washington precincts and gives their history, but just looking at the precinct maps I can find from previous elections, I know:

2012: Obama (D) 70-80%
2008: Obama (D) 86%

A couple other results I know:
2013 City Council: Sawant (SAlt) 52.7% (running against a Democrat)
2013 Mayor (general): McGinn (D) 50-60% (running against another Democrat)
2013 Mayor (primary): McGinn (D) 38.1% (running against three other Democrats)
2012 Same-Sex Marriage Referendum: 80-90% Yes
2012 Marijuana Legalization Initiative: 70-80% Yes
2012 Charter Schools Initiative: 50-60% No
2009 Mayor: McGinn (D) 50-60% (running against another Democrat)
2009 King County Executive: Constantine (D) over 60%, probably by a significant amount (running against a Republican)
2009 Civil Unions Referendum: 80-90% Yes
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #5 on: October 25, 2015, 12:45:00 PM »

My current precinct

2012: 61.92% Romney
2008: 52.91% McCain
2004: 59.31% Bush
2000: 49.62% Bush

1996: 53% Clinton
1992: 46.5% Clinton

1988: 56.1% Bush
1984: 64.4% Reagan

1980: 49.4% Carter
1976: 53.6% Carter

1972: 70.3% Nixon
1968: 49% Nixon

1964: 59.9% Johnson
1960: 53% Nixon

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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #6 on: October 25, 2015, 02:01:46 PM »

2012 - 67% Romney
2008 - 63% McCain
2004 - 68% Bush
2000 - 63% Bush
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RINO Tom
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« Reply #7 on: October 25, 2015, 07:35:16 PM »

Mine has only been around since 1996, but I'm actually surprised at how Democratic it is.  I usually think of it as relatively affluent and white, but I guess I overlooked a few things:

1) It's Iowa City ... it's a liberal place.
2) There are actually quite a few heavily Asian neighborhoods that I didn't actually know were in our precinct.
3) There are a lot of University of Iowa employees, who needless to say are a Democratic voting bloc.
4) There are also some poorer areas that are in our precinct that I had no idea were included.  We vote at our neighborhood elementary school, so it often seems like it's just our neighborhood voting, because you see a bunch of people you know, so that probably severely overstates the Republican vote (I always do a yard sign count for Presidential elections, and Obama had like 2-3 more in 2008 and Romney had a decisive advantage in 2012).

Anyway:

2012: Obama (63%) over Romney (36%)
2008: Obama (68%) over McCain (31%)
2004: Kerry (52%) over Bush (47%)
2000: Gore (54%) over Bush (42%)
1996: Clinton (61%) over Dole (31%)

I also looked back at elections for Senate, House and Governor back to 2002; the only Republican victories were Grassley (51%) over Conlin (47%) in the 2010 Senate election and Leach (65%) over Thomas (35%) in the 2002 House election.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #8 on: October 26, 2015, 12:14:28 AM »

Just curious, how big are your precincts? Mine is only about 6 city blocks and maybe a couple hundred people, but I get the impression that others are much bigger.
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Intell
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« Reply #9 on: October 26, 2015, 12:53:39 AM »

Quenspark

2013 Federal election


ELLIS, Troy   Australian Protectionist Party   16   1.50   +1.50

IRONS, SteveElected   Liberal   484   45.28   +5.85

KLOMP, Steve   Australian Christians   25   2.34   +2.34

DAVIES, Paul   Rise Up Australia Party   4   0.37   +0.37

DUNCAN, Kenneth Michael   Palmer United Party   64   5.99   +5.99

BISSETT, John   Australian Labor Party    365   34.14   -6.37

RAPP, Moyna   Family First Party   9   0.84   -0.42

AVERY, Noel Alexander   Katter's Australian Party   3   0.28   +0.28

SIERO, Gerard   The Greens (WA)   99   9.26   -1.67
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Alex
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« Reply #10 on: October 26, 2015, 12:28:25 PM »
« Edited: March 05, 2017, 10:26:59 AM by Alex »

(Yesterday's Elections) (Mesa/School)
Mauricio Macri 221 /4489 Cambiemos/Pro (center right)
Daniel Scioli 22/457 Frente para LA Victoria (kirchnerists/populist center left)
Sergio Massa 15/ 357 Frente Renovador (non-kirchnerist Peronism/populist center right)
Nicolas Del Caño 2/63 Left Block (Trotskyists)
Margarita Stolbizer 1/115 Progressives (center left)
Rodriguez Saa 0/13 Federal Commitment (provincial non-kirchnerist Peronism/one-man party)
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angus
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« Reply #11 on: October 26, 2015, 01:18:39 PM »

Just curious, how big are your precincts? Mine is only about 6 city blocks and maybe a couple hundred people, but I get the impression that others are much bigger.

That seems smaller than mine. 

In 2012, McCain won 54% and Obama won 46%, with 926 votes cast in my precinct.  Based on that figure I'd assume that 2000 people or more live in my precinct.

Here's where I got my information:

http://www.esri.com/products/maps-we-love/presidential-election
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Sumner 1868
tara gilesbie
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« Reply #12 on: October 26, 2015, 01:51:52 PM »

King County, Washington
1892: Harrison; 50%+
1896: Bryan; 50%+
1900: McKinley; 50%+
1904: Roosevelt; 70%+
1908: Taft; 50%+
1912: Roosevelt; 30%+
1916: Wilson; 50%+
1920: Harding; 60%+
1924: Coolidge; 60%+
1928: Hoover; 60%+
1932: Roosevelt; 50%+
1936: Roosevelt; 60%+
1940: Roosevelt; 50%+
1944: Roosevelt; 50%+
1948: Truman; 40%+
1952: Eisenhower; 60%+
1965: Eisenhower; 60%+
1960: Nixon; 50%
1964: Johnson; 60%
1968: Humphrey; 40%+
1972: Nixon; 50%+
1976: Ford; 50%
1980: Reagan; 40%+
1984: Reagan; 50%+
1988: Dukakis; 50%+
1992: Clinton; 50%
1996: Clinton; 50%+
2000: Gore; 60%+
2004: Kerry; 60%+
2008: Obama; 60%+
2012: Obama; 60%+
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shua
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« Reply #13 on: October 26, 2015, 08:09:22 PM »

1996:    544 (87.5%) Clinton - 45 (7.2%) Dole -  29 (4.7%) Perot - 4 other

2000:
GOP Primary:  14 McCain - 12 Bush - 4 Keyes - 1 Bauer
General:   469 (89.5%) Gore - 46 (8.8%) Bush - 3 Nader - 3 Browne - 2 Buchanan - 1 other

2004:
Dem Primary: 51 Kerry - 17 Edwards - 7 Sharpton - 6 Clark - 6 Dean
General: 611 (83.9%) Kerry - 110 (15.1%) Bush - 4 Badnarik - 3 other

2008:
GOP Primary: 4 McCain - 4 Huckabee - 2 Romney - 1 Paul
Dem Primary: 312 (88.9%) Obama - 37 (10.5%) Clinton - 1 Edwards - 1 Kucinich
General: 876 (90.0%) Obama - 85 (8.7%) McCain - 6 Bob Barr - 2 Nader - 2 Baldwin - 2 McKinney     

2012:
GOP Primary: 10 Paul - 5 Romney
General: 1873 (90.1%) Obama - 171 (8.2%) Romney - 15 Johnson - 5 Stein - 11 other

those are some huge changes in total votes, much more than demographic changes over time account for.  Nader doing so poorly in 2000 and Bush's jump in the vote in 2004 are remarkable too.
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Figueira
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« Reply #14 on: October 26, 2015, 10:30:12 PM »

I can look it up later but I think it voted Republican up until the 1970s or 1980s or so.
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #15 on: April 16, 2016, 04:10:46 PM »

Since I have moved:

2012: Romney (54%)
2008: McCain (51%)
2004: G.W. Bush
2000: G.W. Bush
1996: Dole
1992: G.H.W. Bush
1988: G.H.W. Bush
1984: Reagan
1980: Reagan
1976: Ford
1972: Nixon
1968: Nixon
1964: Goldwater
1960: Nixon

Liberty University is literally 10 mins away, so yeah, Truman was the last Democrat to win (though Obama got surprisingly close in '08)
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