Who will be the last 4 Republican candidates standing - October edition
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  Who will be the last 4 Republican candidates standing - October edition 		« previous next »
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Poll
Question: Who will be the last 4 Republican candidates standing
#1
Donald Trump		  
#2
Ben Carson		  
#3
Marco Rubio		  
#4
Carly Fiorina		  
#5
Jeb Bush		  
#6
Ted Cruz		  
#7
Rand Paul		  
#8
John Kasich		  
#9
Mike Huckabee		  
#10
Chris Christie		  
#11
Rick Santorum		  
#12
Bobby Jindal		  
#13
Lindsey Graham		  
#14
George Pataki		  
#15
Jim Gilmore		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 86

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Author Topic: Who will be the last 4 Republican candidates standing - October edition  (Read 1975 times)
#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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« on: October 22, 2015, 12:48:17 AM »
« edited: October 22, 2015, 12:57:43 AM by LibertarianRepublican »
Basically I will do this once a month until we get down to four candidates and i will post the previous months poll results and see how well Atlasians are at predicting the final four
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #1 on: October 22, 2015, 01:07:22 AM »
Trump, Carson, Rubio, and Cruz.
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Computer89
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« Reply #2 on: October 22, 2015, 01:26:50 AM »
Trump , Rubio, Carson , Cruz
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #3 on: October 22, 2015, 01:38:52 AM »
I am most sure about Rubio and Cruz, but anything could happen with the other 2.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #4 on: October 22, 2015, 01:39:27 AM »
I'm curious, why Cruz though?
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Intell
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« Reply #5 on: October 22, 2015, 01:50:20 AM »
Turmp, Cruz, Rubio, Bush
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FLgirl
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« Reply #6 on: October 22, 2015, 06:13:12 AM »
Rubio, Bush, and Cruz.

I'm 75% sure Trump will drop out before the first primary, sometime in January. Cruz will stay in to try to conquer the Southern vote no matter where he is in the polls cause he's convinced he'll win that no matter what.

I'm not sure about Bush. I think how long he stays in is very dependent on what happens with everyone else, on how quickly and confidently Rubio consolidates the vote.
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Zache
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« Reply #7 on: October 22, 2015, 06:31:36 AM »
Trump, Rubio, Cruz, and Bush.
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yankeesfan
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« Reply #8 on: October 22, 2015, 09:02:31 AM »
Rubio, Fiorina, Cruz, Bush
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Maxwell
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« Reply #9 on: October 22, 2015, 09:03:03 AM »
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #10 on: October 22, 2015, 09:09:42 AM »
Quote from: FLgirl on October 22, 2015, 06:13:12 AM
Rubio, Bush, and Cruz.

I'm 75% sure Trump will drop out before the first primary, sometime in January. Cruz will stay in to try to conquer the Southern vote no matter where he is in the polls cause he's convinced he'll win that no matter what.

I'm not sure about Bush. I think how long he stays in is very dependent on what happens with everyone else, on how quickly and confidently Rubio consolidates the vote.

I don't think that Trump will drop out before the primaries (I'm at least 60% sure he will be the nominee). He would only quit the race, if his poll numbers go down like a rock. But, frankly, I don't see this to happen any time soon. He's leading since July and all attacks against him did not bring him down. Some even further boosted his candidacy.
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Why
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« Reply #11 on: October 22, 2015, 10:22:16 AM »
Carson, Rubio and Cruz are the three I see most likely, not sure after that so went Gilmore.
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Del Tachi
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« Reply #12 on: October 22, 2015, 11:12:52 AM »
Carson, Rubio, Bush, Cruz
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MATTROSE94
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« Reply #13 on: October 22, 2015, 11:38:07 AM »
Trump, Cruz, Carson and Rubio.
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« Reply #14 on: October 22, 2015, 12:06:23 PM »
Carson, Cruz, Rubio and Trump.
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TarHeelDem
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« Reply #15 on: October 22, 2015, 12:18:38 PM »
Trump, Rubio, Bush, Cruz.
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zs4321
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« Reply #16 on: October 22, 2015, 12:38:20 PM »
Trump Carson Rubio cruz
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SillyAmerican
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« Reply #17 on: October 22, 2015, 01:51:18 PM »
Carson, Trump, Rubio, Cruz.
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Bernie2016
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« Reply #18 on: October 22, 2015, 01:59:01 PM »
Trump, Bush, Kasich, and Rubio. These are the four with the greatest chance at winning the nomination, and I predict all will be around until the end.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #19 on: October 22, 2015, 10:26:22 PM »
I really am not following the Cruz logic here
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Figueira
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« Reply #20 on: October 23, 2015, 11:58:07 PM »
Trump, Rubio, Cruz, Paul.

Reasoning: Fiorina and Carson seem like they'll implode at some point in the near future. Bush looks like he's on his way out as well. Rubio, Trump, and Cruz seem strong enough. That means that one person not in the top six currently will be in the final four, so Kasich, Paul, Huckabee, Christie, Graham, Jindal, Santorum, Gilmore, or Pataki. Pataki, Gilmore, Graham, Christie, and Kasich all seem kind of redundant. Huckabee, Santorum, or Jindal could have a surprise Iowa win, but it's unlikely at this point. That leaves Paul.
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defe07
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« Reply #21 on: October 24, 2015, 12:01:48 AM »
Paul, Cruz, Rubio, Trump/Carson.

 I'm not really sure what to think of what will happen to Trump's campaign, since he could face the Dean '04/ Giuliani '08/ Cain '12 effect and fizzle out or hold out to sweep the whole thing or act like a kingmaker (notice: he won't go down without a fight). Carson may go up just in time before the voting starts but we don't really know. Smiley
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Pyro
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« Reply #22 on: October 24, 2015, 12:26:14 AM »
Trump, Carson and Rubio are givens. They have the strongest campaigns right now.

For the fourth I'm not sure. If Bush makes a comeback, it's him. If Paul can hang on somehow, then I suppose he'd be the fourth. The default would be Cruz, I'd wager.
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #23 on: October 24, 2015, 12:31:20 AM »
Kasich, Rubio, Carson, and Cruz.(Final Eight: F4 + Christie, Fiorina, Trump, Bush)

Bush is burning money like oxygen, Trump will go under to Carson if the media doesn't talk about it too much, and Fiorina is a media-hyped candidate. Christie remains as the only potential threat to Kasich's moderate base, and he isn't the type to win Town Hall style.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #24 on: October 24, 2015, 12:51:26 AM »
I'll go with Trump, Rubio, Bush and Cruz.

Carson may actually win Iowa but I think he'll be crushed in New Hampshire and forgotten about soon after that.
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