The Mideast Record-Courier: LIVE Coverage of the October Election (GRIFFIN WINS)

[Adam Griffin]

Did my own count from scratch, a small change to the original numbers:

FOR PRESIDENT (27% Turnout) (Last Voter: Griffin)

FIRST ROUND
Griffin (LAB): 21 (48.8%)
Cris (CR): 14 (32.6%)
SWE (NNP): 8 (18.6%)

FINAL ROUND
Griffin (LAB): 25 (58.1%)
Cris (CR): 14 (32.6%)
Exhausted: 4 (9.3%)


INVALID: 1 (Pessimistic Antineutrino)


Results by Region (Full Image)

[Adam Griffin]

FOR PRESIDENT (40% Turnout)
Last Voter: BaconBacon96

FIRST ROUND
Griffin (LAB): 33 (51.6%)
Cris (CR): 22 (34.4%)
SWE (NNP): 9 (14.0%)

HYPOTHETICAL FINAL ROUND
Griffin (LAB): 37 (57.8%)
Cris (CR): 23 (35.9%)
Exhausted: 4 (6.3%)


CROSSTABS BY IDEOLOGY

LEFT VOTERS - FIRST ROUND
81% - Griff
15% - SWE
04% - Cris

CENTER VOTERS - FIRST ROUND
57% - Griff
43% - SWE

RIGHT VOTERS - FIRST ROUND
70% - Cris
23% - Griff
07% - SWE



LEFT VOTERS - FINAL ROUND
93% - Griff
04% - Cris
03% - Exhausted

CENTER VOTERS - FINAL ROUND
57% - Griff
28% - Exhausted
15% - Cris

RIGHT VOTERS - FINAL ROUND
70% - Cris
27% - Griff
03% - Exhausted


VOTES BY REGION

Full-Size Image

[Adam Griffin]

Griffin must not win the South. He mustn't. Never forget, Never Forget 2012!!!


I am just playing, but seriously five region sweep is crazy.

Do you really want the South to continue having the mantle of Snowstalker being the only left-wing candidate in modern history that it has supported? I think not!

[Adam Griffin]

What do you qualify as Right, Left and Center???

Based on typical voter behavior as observed by me. I may not be a completely objective measurement, but who is? I tend to know more about the overall voting behavior of each person, though. For instance, there are a few people who are real-life Dems but who always vote conservative in Atlasia; those people get classified as Right, for instance.

People can take a look for themselves to see how each person is classified, proceed to find a few exceptions where they disagree, and complain about it.

[Adam Griffin]

30% of center-right votes for Griffin?

I swear to the gods, the right deserves what's coming to it...

Because of the disunity on the right (and I don't mean party either, I mean factions that cross party lines), I would think that such levels is a regular occurance though it probably dipped lower for you and Duke (like 15%-20% defection instead of 30%). Griffin pealed off a lot of libertarians. The big factor here is the lower turnout, which is elevating that defection %. In terms of the election itself, the center voter is just brutal here for Cris.

Libertarians love and have always loved me because I stand up for freedom and fairness, and would much sooner turn warhawk Lumine into a sheet of glass than invade a foreign country!

Lumine is of course just frustrated that he was never handed a Glorious Mandate™ by left, right and center alike. Though he did peel off practically all of the centrists in that election after the notorious smear campaign against Labor had taken its toll in the preceding months, he never made real inward roads with reliable left-wing voters. My ability to drive a narrative is unsurpassed: I strove to make this election solely about the importance of a strong leader in difficult times, and at least thus far, the electorate seems to agree. I hate to brag, but people really underestimate me, including myself. The current results are astonishing.

Fat lady and all of that, though - I'm still expecting shenanigans as we enter the final hours and will remain paranoid as always. However, it is worth noting that the only person in recent memory to ever close a double-digit margin of loss in the final hours was...well, me.

[Adam Griffin]

Turnout figures thus far (as of Leinad):

16.67% ANUS      
41.86% Fed   
42.86% Ind
46.15% TPP
47.50% Total   
47.50% Lab      
62.50% Other   
70.00% CR
75.00% NNP   
83.33% D-R

Just dispelling some talking points here. Even though the nominal voter turnout is lower, the composition of the electorate really isn't any different than what we usually see in elections from each party (smallest parties with the highest turnout, Labor on average or slightly above game total turnout, Federalist somewhat below average on turnout). The only stark difference in this election compared to past ones is TPP's lack of turnout.

[Adam Griffin]

30% of center-right votes for Griffin?

I swear to the gods, the right deserves what's coming to it...

This is absurd.

If it's any consolation, it's certainly lower now that all of those zombies have graced us with their presence!

EDIT: 24%

[Adam Griffin]

VOTES BY REGION

Full-Size Image

I DID IT! YOUR MAPS ARE OFFICIALLY ILLEGAL!!!

:devil:

Hate to break it to you, but that bill means nothing in the confines of the existing A-CCM legislation that says people can vote while living abroad. My maps are a reflection of those voters' sentiments in their respective regions.

[Adam Griffin]

FYI you're supposed to use either Haley Barbour or Andy Griffith for my photo!

I do believe that the polls will be closing in about 17 minutes at 12:00 am EST.

During Daylight Saving they're actually open until 1 AM ET. It was something that has actually been the case for years but wasn't discovered until a year or two ago.

[Adam Griffin]

Technically, Maxwell is ahead by 1 with Tmth's preference in the second round, which is where it would go since neither candidate has a majority in the first round.

[Adam Griffin]

TURNOUT FIGURES

TOTAL TURNOUT: 61.6%

TURNOUT BY PARTY:

16.7% ANUS
51.2% Federalist
60.0% Labor
61.5% TPP
66.7% Independent
70.0% C-R
83.3% D-R
87.5% Other
100.00% NNP

TURNOUT BY IDEOLOGY:

59.2% Right
63.2% Left
73.3% Center

[Adam Griffin]

SUPPORT FIGURES

GRIFFIN/CRIS

SUPPORT BY IDEOLOGY:

LEFT: 86/7
CENTER: 55/27
RIGHT: 23/70

SUPPORT BY REGION:

ME: 54/42
MW: 50/40
NE: 59/33
PA: 57/43
SO: 43/50

SUPPORT BY PARTY:

ANUS: 100/0
CR: 29/71
D-R: 40/60
FED: 5/95
IND: 29/64
LAB: 100/0
NNP: 75/0
OTH: 64/14
TPP: 88/12

[Adam Griffin]

[Adam Griffin]

Ugh, let's stop talking about all of you LOSERS and get back to a more important subject.

Here's the October 2015 Presidential Election map by county/state!

[Adam Griffin]

Are you able to do one for first preference votes? It'll be interesting to see where SWE's votes came from.

Perhaps at some point, though it takes a bit of time to make these. I thought about doing one of just the first round at first, but "history remembers those who make it to the final round" etc etc. I can say that SWE won Nevada and Nunavut, and tied in Puerto Rico, Vermont, Maine, Massachusetts & Delaware. He got 33% of the vote in Colorado & California; 25% of the vote in Rhode Island; 20% of the vote in Minnesota and Ohio, and 16% of the vote in Texas.

Actually, breaking it down like that makes me realize it wouldn't be too difficult to make a first-round map.

[Adam Griffin]

Hey, the song was right. The residual Southern anger is centered "down in 'Loosiana'. No Griffin counties there.

More like LOSERSIANA.

[Adam Griffin]

I initially tried to make it a balance county-by-county, but population distribution I think tilted it toward me. Furthermore, I compared it to states surrounding it, the margin of victory in the region, the total voter rolls (voters and non-voters), the number of EVs for each region and how they related to the margin in the region, and then made a gut decision for each state based on that.