Not sure what thread would be most appropriate for this, but here are my predictions for the results of the next provincial election in each province (and Yukon):
Newfoundland: Liberal majority
Pretty obvious
Yukon: NDP majority
I'd consider this a tossup, but Yukon having one of the few positive NDP swings federally, along with sharp Conservative drops in native-heavy areas thanks to turnout gives me some hope. The Liberals seem to be out of contention in Territorial elections here.
Saskatchewan: Saskatchewan party majority
Safe as long as Wall is leader. They'd still win if Wall rethinks entering the CPC nomination race, although it would become competitive.
Manitoba: Liberal majority
I think the NDP will collapse, letting the Liberals win with Winnipeg. The election would look a lot like an Ontario election, with NDP in the north and a few urban ridings, most urban areas going Liberal and the rural south going PC. Despite the current PC lead, having a single big city greatly helps the centre-left in Manitoba as compared to Sask in terms of vote efficiency, not to mention Pallister is also quite unappealing himself.
BC: NDP majority
I think the polls underestimating the Liberals in 2013 were a one-off event. It didn't show up in 2009, and the CPC underperformed in 2015. Clark also has become more unpopular.
Nova Scotia: Liberal majority
The honeymoon still hasn't ended.
Quebec: Liberal majority
The PQ is still at historically weak levels, leaving the opposition and francophone vote divided among PQ, CAQ, and QS, which should let PLQ win again.
Ontario: Liberal minority
Hoping the #Wynner gets crushed, but Ontario rarely throws out a government if none of the opposition parties can prove themselves.
New Brunswick: PC majority
This is one that I think is too far to predict reliably, but Gallant's popularity seems to be low enough to sink him.
Prince Edward Island: Liberal majority
I'm just guessing here.
Alberta: NDP majority
Despite tough times, this poll suggests the NDP are recovering:
http://www.edmontonjournal.com/news/politics/albertans+give+budget+thumbs+down+according+poll/11486319/story.html?hootPostID=8151c5c9d174d8701e30691ed94a8b7aBut even with a better economy and an incumbent boost it won't be much better than a tossup.
However, if PC and Wildrose merge the merged party will be safe to win.
