UK Parliamentary by-elections, 2015 onwards (also devolved legislatures)

[Leftbehind]

You would hope that some people in the media are feeling a little bit embarrassed.

Tomorrow's chip paper, I suspect they were largely just drumming it up in the hopes it'd be a self-fulfilling prophesy (and it's always news to the monolithically middle-class journos that anyone would vote left of Blair).

[Leftbehind]

Probably an easy SF hold.

Any chance it might flip.  If people like the Tories it would make sense to go DUP, although considering this is mostly Catholic doubt that is the case.  However if they want to get rid of the Tories sooner wouldn't voting Social Democratic & Labour make more sense as by Sinn Fein members abstaining they essentially give the Tories an extra three seat cushion than they would otherwise have.

But that's always been the case. If getting rid of the Tories was a priority they wouldn't have  consolidated behind SF like they did last June.