Northeast Election Coverage

[Clyde1998]

I may be a candidate in two of the Northeast's elections, but I feel we need election coverage for the Northeast.

[Clyde1998]

Northeast President
Cris [CR] - 6 (50%)
Griffin [Lab] - 4 (33%)
SWE [NNP] - 2 (17%)
Turnout - 33%

Early results are putting Civic Renewal candidate Cris ahead in the Northeast, with half of the vote. Adam Griffin is two votes behind, while SomebodyWhoExists is on two.

Northeast Senate
Oakvale [NNP] - 5 (56%)
Rpryor [CR] - 4 (44%)
Turnout - 25%

Oakvale has a narrow lead in the Senate race, after nine votes.

Northeast Governor
Blair [Lab] - 6 (55%)
Clyde [NNP] - 4 (36%)
Dallasfan [Oth] - 1 (9%)
Turnout - 31%

Blair takes an early advantage in the Governor election, with 55% of the vote. The write-in vote for Dallasfan will only become valid if he lists himself as a write-in candidate, otherwise that vote will be exhausted - as no second preferences were listed.

Northeast Assembly - First Preference
ClarkKent [Fed] - 2 (20%)
Clyde [NNP] - 2 (20%)
evergreen [NNP] - 2 (20%)
DemPGH [Lab] - 1 (10%)
Enduro [Fed] - 1 (10%)
RGN [Fed] - 1 (10%)
Turnout - 28%

Too early to determine the outcome here, as six of the seven candidates have received a vote. Five will be elected.

Northeast Cabinet Amendment
✔ Aye - 9 (90%)
Nay - 1 (10%)
Turnout - 28%

I am projecting that this will pass easily - with only one person opposed to the amendment, so far.

Northeast Independence Amendment
Aye - 5 (50%)
Nay - 5 (50%)
Turnout - 28%

A dead-heat so far in the independence battle.

[Clyde1998]

Northeast President
Cris [CR] - 6 (43%)
Griffin [Lab] - 5 (36%)
SWE [NNP] - 3 (21%)
Turnout - 39%

Cris' lead over Griffin has narrowed to one vote - with SWE commanding 21% of the Northeast vote.

Northeast Senate
Oakvale [NNP] - 7 (58%)
Rpryor [CR] - 5 (42%)
Turnout - 33%

Oakvale has increased his lead over Rpryor slightly, with around a third of eligible voters casting their ballot. The lower turnout in the Senate race can be explained by the two absentee ballots for the Presidential election not including a Senate vote.

Northeast Governor
Blair [Lab] - 7 (58%)
Clyde [NNP] - 4 (33%)
Dallasfan [Oth] - 1 (8%)
Turnout - 33%

Blair continues to lead in the Governor election, with 58% of the vote.

Northeast Assembly - First Preference
evergreen [NNP] - 3 (20%)
ClarkKent [Fed] - 2 (20%)
Clyde [NNP] - 2 (20%)
DemPGH [Lab] - 2 (10%)
RGN [Fed] - 2 (10%)
Enduro [Fed] - 1 (10%)
Turnout - 33%

My previous update failed to include the absentee ballots - which have now been added to these totals. Based on the current results, the current Assembly members will be returned.

Northeast Cabinet Amendment
✔ Aye - 10 (91%)
Nay - 1 (9%)
Turnout - 31%

No change to the projection here - this amendment will pass.

Northeast Independence Amendment
Aye - 5 (45%)
Nay - 6 (55%)
Turnout - 31%

The anti-independence movement are ahead here by a single vote.

[cinyc]

Not every vote cast is valid.  At first glance, at least 2 likely will be invalid so far.

[Clyde1998]

Not every vote cast is valid.  At first glance, at least 2 likely will be invalid so far.

I have only excluded one vote - due to the voter not making the posting requirements. I'm not sure which other voters are invalid.

[cinyc]

Not every vote cast is valid.  At first glance, at least 2 likely will be invalid so far.

I have only excluded one vote - due to the voter not making the posting requirements. I'm not sure which other voters are invalid.

You are not allowed to edit your vote in the Northeast.

There are also two valid absentee votes in my office thread that will be counted.

[Clyde1998]

Not every vote cast is valid.  At first glance, at least 2 likely will be invalid so far.

I have only excluded one vote - due to the voter not making the posting requirements. I'm not sure which other voters are invalid.

You are not allowed to edit your vote in the Northeast.

I didn't notice that anyone had - I'll remove that vote in the next update that I do.

[Clyde1998]

Northeast President
Griffin [Lab] - 10 (50%)
Cris [CR] - 7 (35%)
SWE [NNP] - 3 (15%)

✔ Griffin [Lab] - 12 (63%)
Cris [CR] - 7 (37%)
Exhausted - 1
Turnout - 57.1%

We're now projecting the Griffin will win the Northeast - based on the current votes and who is yet to vote. Two of the three SWE votes transfer to Griffin, with one being exhausted - giving him a huge lead in the final round.

As a side note, we believe that it's likely that Griffin will win nationally now - as well.

Northeast Senate
Oakvale [NNP] - 9 (53%)
Rpryor [CR] - 8 (47%)
Turnout - 54.3%

The race for the Senate has narrowed, with only a single vote separating the two candidates. It should be noted that Oakvale, himself, has yet to cast his ballot in this election - which would give him an additional vote (and an 11% lead).

Northeast Governor
Blair [Lab] - 9 (53%)
Clyde [NNP] - 6 (35%)
Dallasfan [Oth] - 1 (6%)

Blair [Lab] - 9 (60%)
Clyde [NNP] - 6 (40%)
Turnout - 48.6%; Rejected Ballots - 1

Blair continues to lead in the Governor election - however we're not calling this election, yet. This is due to both candidates identifying as left-wing, meaning that we're uncertain how to allocate certain voters in our projection for this election. The next couple of votes could put the result beyond doubt.

Northeast Assembly - First Preference
DemPGH [Lab] - 4 (25%)
evergreen [NNP] - 4 (25%)
Clyde [NNP] - 3 (19%)
RGN [Fed] - 3 (19%)
ClarkKent [Fed] - 1 (6%)
Enduro [Fed] - 1 (6%)
Turnout - 48.6%; Rejected Ballots - 1

It's becoming clearer that DemPGH and evergreen are going to be re-elected in the Assembly election - Clyde and RGN appear to be likely to return, also.

Northeast Cabinet Amendment
✔ Aye - 10 (93%)
Nay - 1 (7%)
Turnout - 45.7%; Rejected Ballots - 1

The Ayes have increased their lead, so we're confident our early projection will be accurate.

Northeast Independence Amendment
Aye - 6 (40%)
Nay - 9 (60%)
Rejected Ballot - 1
Turnout - 45.7%; Rejected Ballots - 1

The anti-independence movement have opened up a 20 point lead - although we're not calling this referendum, yet. This is, again, due to not knowing how to allocate certain voters in our projections.

[Clyde1998]

As of Hash's vote

Using Griffin's left-centre-right placements:

Northeast President
Right Wingers: Griffin - 20%; Cris - 70%; SWE - 10%
Centralists: Griffin - 100%; Cris - 0%; SWE - 0%
Left Wingers: Griffin - 63%; Cris - 0%; SWE - 38%

Right Wingers: Griffin - 20%; Cris - 70%; Exh - 10%
Centralists: Griffin - 100%; Cris - 0%
Left Wingers: Griffin - 88%; Cris - 0%; Exh - 13%

Northeast Senate
Right Wingers: Oakvale - 25%; Rpryor - 75%
Centralists: Oakvale - 50%; Rpryor - 50%
Left Wingers: Oakvale - 87%; Rpryor - 13%

Northeast Governor
Right Wingers: Blair - 86%; Clyde - 0%; Dallasfan - 14%
Centralists: Blair - 33%; Clyde - 67%; Dallasfan - 0%
Left Wingers: Blair - 29%; Clyde - 71%; Dallasfan - 0%

Northeast Independence Amendment
Right Wingers: Aye - 17%; Nay - 83%
Centralists: Aye - 33%; Nay - 67%
Left Wingers: Aye - 71%; Nay - 29%