Goldwater 1964/Carter 1976 counties

[Sumner 1868]

Every GA county went for Carter in 1976. Every MS county went for Goldwater in 1964.

AL: Barbour, Bibb, Blount, Bullock, Butler, Calhoun, Chambers, Chilton, Choctaw, Clarke, Clay, Cleburne, Coffee, Conecuh, Coosa, Covington, Crenshaw, Cullman, Dale, Dallas, DeKalb, Elmore, Escambia, Etowah, Fayette, Franklin, Geneva, Greene, Hale, Henry, Lamar, Lauderdale, Lawrence, Lowndes, Madison, Marengo, Marion, Marshall, Monroe, Morgan, Perry, Pickens, Pike, Randolph, Russell, St. Clair, Sumter, Talladega, Tallapoosa, Tuscaloosa, Walker, Washington, Wilcox, Winston.
AK: None.

AZ: Navajo.

AR: Arkansas, Ashley, Carroll, Columbia, Drew, Howard, Searcy, Union.

CA: None.

CO: None.

CT: None.

DE: None.

FL: Bay, Broward, Calhoun, Columbia, Desoto, Duval, Franklin, Gadsden, Glades, Gulf, Hardee, Hendry, Hernando, Highlands, Holmes, Jackson, Jefferson, Lafayette, Leon, Madison, Marion, Nassau, Okeechobee, Polk, Putnam, St. Johns, Suwannee, Taylor, Walton, Washington.

GA: Appling, Atkinson, Bacon, Baker, Baldwin, Barrow, Ben Hill, Berrien, Bibb, Bleckley, Brantley, Brooks, Bryan, Bulloch, Burke, Calhoun, Camden, Candler, Carroll, Catoosa, Charlton, Chatham, Chattahoochee, Cherokee, Clay, Clayton, Clinch, Cobb, Coffee, Colquitt, Columbia, Cook, Crawford, Crisp, Dade, Decatur, DeKalb, Dodge, Dooly, Dougherty, Douglas, Early, Echols, Effingham, Emanuel, Evans, Fannin, Fayette, Floyd, Gilmer, Glascock, Glynn, Grady, Gwinnett, Haralson, Harris, Houston, Irwin, Jasper, Jeff Davis, Jefferson, Jenkins, Johnson, Jones, Lamar, Lanier, Laurens, Lee, Lincoln, Lowndes, McDuffie, Macon, Marion, Miller, Mitchell, Monroe, Montgomery, Muscogee, Oconee, Oglethorpe, Peach, Pierce, Pickens, Pike, Pulaski, Putnam, Quitman, Randolph, Richmond, Schley, Screven, Seminole, Stewart, Sumter, Talbot, Tattnall, Taylor, Telfair, Terrell, Thomas, Tift, Toombs, Turner, Twiggs, Walker, Walton, Washington, Wayne, Webster, Wilcox, Wilkes, Wilkinson, Worth.

HI: None.

ID: None.

IL: None.

IN: None.

IA: None.

KS: None.

KY: Crittenden.

LA: Beauregard, Bienville, Catahoula, Concordia, De Soto, East Carroll, East Feliciana, Grant, Jackson, Livingston, Madison, Natchitoches, Pointe Coupee, Rapides, Red River, Sabine, St. Bernard, St. Helena, Tangipahoa, Tensas, Vernon, Washington, West Carroll, West Feliciana, Winn.

ME: None.

MD: None.

MA: None.

MI: None.

MN: None.

MS: Alcorn, Amite, Attala, Benton, Bolivar, Calhoun, Carroll, Chickasaw, Claiborne, Clay, Coahoma, Copiah, Covington, DeSoto, George, Greene, Hancock, Holmes, Humphreys, Issaquena, Itawamba, Jasper, Jefferson, Jefferson Davis, Kemper, Lafayette, Lawrence, Leake, Lee, Leflore, Madison, Marshall, Monroe, Montgomery, Neshoba, Noxubee, Panola, Pearl River, Perry, Pike, Pontotoc, Prentiss, Quitman, Sharkey, Stone, Sunflower, Tallahatchie, Tate, Tippah, Tishomingo, Tunica, Union, Walthall, Washington, Wayne, Webster, Wilkinson, Winston, Yalobusha.

MO: Dallas.

MT: None.

NE: None.

NV: None.

NH: None.

NJ: None.

NM: None.

NY: None.

NC: Alexander, Iredell, Stanly.

ND: Emmons.

OH: None.

OK: Cimarron.

OR: None.

PA: None.

RI: None.

SC: Allendale, Bamberg, Barnwell, Beaufort, Berkeley, Calhoun, Charleston, Clarendon, Colleton, Darlington, Dorchester, Edgefield, Florence, Georgetown, Greenwood, Hampton, Horry, Jasper, Kershaw, Laurens, Lee, McCormick, Marion, Newberry, Orangeburg, Pickens, Richland, Saluda, Sumter, Williamsburg.

SD: None.

TN: Bledsoe, Chester, Claiborne, Crockett, Fayette, Fentress, Hamblen, Hardin, Haywood, Loudon, McMinn, McNairy, Madison, Meigs, Monroe, Rhea.

TX: Panola, Sherman.

UT: None.

VT: None.

VA: Amelia, Brunswick, Buckingham, Charlotte, Cumberland, Halifax, Northampton, Nottoway, Prince George.

WA: None.

WV: None.

WI: None.

WY: None.

[SingingAnalyst]

Interesting. Almost the entire deep south and almost no counties anywhere else.

[ElectionsGuy]

[mianfei]

Interesting. Almost the entire deep south and almost no counties anywhere else.

There are a few oddities though:

• Emmons County, North Dakota, actually voted for Kennedy in 1960 (only county outside the South and Idaho to shift thus) and for Smith in 1928. Is this an exceptionally traditional religious county, something which would be suggested by its consistent support for Republicans since 1980?
• Fentress County, Tennessee voted for Carter but had not previously supported a Democratic candidate since before 1880. It did vote for Bill Clinton in 1992 and 1996 but has otherwise remained Republican.
• Crittenden County, Kentucky voted for Carter but had not previously supported a Democratic candidate since William Jennings Bryan in 1896, and only since did so with Bill Clinton in 1992

Those last two certainly illustrate Carter’s personal appeal all over the South. Interestingly, Crittenden County is a western Kentucky county in a region that historically would have been expected to support secession and vote Democratic in the postbellum period. Was Crittenden actually connected so much by trade with the North (Illinois is just over the river) that it opposed secession?

[(Still) muted by Kalwejt until March 31]

Interesting. Almost the entire deep south and almost no counties anywhere else.

There are a few oddities though:

• Emmons County, North Dakota, actually voted for Kennedy in 1960 (only county outside the South and Idaho to shift thus) and for Smith in 1928. Is this an exceptionally traditional religious county, something which would be suggested by its consistent support for Republicans since 1980?
• Fentress County, Tennessee voted for Carter but had not previously supported a Democratic candidate since before 1880. It did vote for Bill Clinton in 1992 and 1996 but has otherwise remained Republican.
• Crittenden County, Kentucky voted for Carter but had not previously supported a Democratic candidate since William Jennings Bryan in 1896, and only since did so with Bill Clinton in 1992

Those last two certainly illustrate Carter’s personal appeal all over the South. Interestingly, Crittenden County is a western Kentucky county in a region that historically would have been expected to support secession and vote Democratic in the postbellum period. Was Crittenden actually connected so much by trade with the North (Illinois is just over the river) that it opposed secession?

Southern Illinois was very strongly Democratic in 1860 (so did not turn GOP due to slavery); only turned Republican in 1864, and stayed that way. Bryan overperformed generic Dem there (so this was not heavily urban). Emmons is due to Catholicism.

[mianfei]

Landon 1936/Carter 1976 counties:

Counties italicised voted for FDR in 1932; those with a strikethough voted for FDR in 1940.

• Alabama: Winston
• Arkansas: Newton, Searcy
• Georgia: Fannin
• Illinois: Hardin, Jackson
• Indiana: Jefferson
• Iowa: Adams, Floyd, Guthrie, Henry, Madison, Ringgold, Union, Van Buren, Warren
• Kansas: Anderson, Greeley, Miami
• Kentucky: Carter, Crittenden, Magoffin, Taylor
• Maine: Kennebec, Somerset
• Maryland: Calvert, Charles, Somerset
• Massachusetts: Dukes, Franklin, Middlesex, Norfolk, Plymouth
• Michigan: Keweenaw (voted Democratic for first time in 1944, and voted Democratic in every election from 1964 to 1996 bar 1972 and 1980)
• Missouri: Bollinger, Butler, Caldwell, Carroll, Crawford, Dallas, Howell, Laclede, Mercer, St. Clair, Sullivan
• New Mexico: Socorro
• North Carolina: Clay, Madison
• Ohio: Adams, Meigs, Vinton
• South Dakota: Deuel, Lake
• Tennessee: Campbell, Fentress, Loudon, McMinn, Roane
• Virginia: Grayson
• West Virginia: Mason, Roane

Looking at this list shows how few long Republican streaks Carter broke as can be gathered from the table above Carter could only do the two mentioned in my previous post, Loudon County in Tennessee, which only otherwise voted Democrat in the divided Republican election of 1912, and the historically pro-Union and politically isolated Fannin County in his home state (also last voted Democrat in 1912).

As a comparison, Clinton and Obama between them broke about fifteen Republican county streaks dating from before Harding. Apart from Carroll County in New Hampshire (solitary New England county to stay with Goldwater) where no Democrat had gained a majority since Grover Cleveland in 1884, all of Obama’s streaks were in his home state of Illinois. Most of Clinton’s were in Illinois too, but he broke a few in nearby states like Warren and Hickory Counties in Missouri, Porter County in Indiana and Johnson County in Kentucky.

[Oldiesfreak1854]

Obviously, most would be in the South.