Kentucky 2015 - Predictions and Results Thread

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Attorney General - General
3097 of 3697 Precincts Reporting - 84%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Beshear, Andy   Dem   401,977   50%
Westerfield, Whitney   GOP   395,865   50%

Auditor - General
3081 of 3697 Precincts Reporting - 83%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Harmon, Mike   GOP   398,114   51%
Edelen, Adam (i)   Dem   379,684   49%

Secretary of State - General
3098 of 3697 Precincts Reporting - 84%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Grimes, Alison Lundergan (i)   Dem   414,417   52%
Knipper, Stephen   GOP   389,535   48%

Supreme Court - District 7 - General
490 of 514 Precincts Reporting - 95%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Wright, Sam   NP   37,906   53%
Stumbo, Janet   NP   34,226   47%

[FDRfan1985]

I live in Marion County.  I think it's being democrat has to with it being the most catholic county in the whole state.

[Chunk Yogurt for President!]

The once powerful Kentucky Democratic Party's days of importance are numbered.

[JMT]

Looks like Edelen may lose tonight too. Really bad night for dems. If Edelen goes down, Rand Paul will have a sigh of relief and may keep his presidential bid going even longer, considering Edelen was seen as the challenger for Rand Paul for his Senate seat. Would Edelen still try to go for Senate even if he loses tonight?

[ElectionsGuy]

88% in...

Harmon (R) - 51%
Edelen (D) - 49%

Beshear (D) - 51%
Westerfield (R) - 49%

Grimes (D) - 52%
Knipper (R) - 48%

[cinyc]

Jefferson (Louisville), Fayette (Lexington) and Franklin (Frankfort) Counties are all in.  It's probably all downhill for Democrats from here.  Grimes will likely hold on in the SoS race, but Beshear could be toast in the AG race.

[Torie]

Westerfield 6,000 behind Beshear.

Jeffco's 5% remaining votes out are now all in included in the above, and Fayette and Franklin shot their wad sometime ago. So what is out appears to be all Pub territory, at least based on the map for governor. Bevin is leading in most Eastern KY counties by pretty big margins, so in the AG race, even leading by somewhat less, appears like it might well be enough. In the Grimes race probably not enough, but perhaps maybe.

[Oldiesfreak1854]

Jefferson (Louisville), Fayette (Lexington) and Franklin (Frankfort) Counties are all in.  It's probably all downhill for Democrats from here.  Grimes will likely hold on in the SoS race, but Beshear could be toast in the AG race.

Based on what?  Grimes was clinging to a thread in the last returns.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Attorney General - General
3239 of 3697 Precincts Reporting - 88%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Beshear, Andy   Dem   424,771   51%
Westerfield, Whitney   GOP   415,447   49%

Auditor - General
3232 of 3697 Precincts Reporting - 87%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Harmon, Mike   GOP   420,982   51%
Edelen, Adam (i)   Dem   401,183   49%

Secretary of State - General
3240 of 3697 Precincts Reporting - 88%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Grimes, Alison Lundergan (i)   Dem   437,197   52%
Knipper, Stephen   GOP   409,367   48%

Supreme Court - District 7 - General
490 of 514 Precincts Reporting - 95%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Wright, Sam   NP   37,906   53%
Stumbo, Janet   NP   34,226   47%

[FDRfan1985]

Does the mean good news for the GOP in the president election,.

[Torie]

Jefferson (Louisville), Fayette (Lexington) and Franklin (Frankfort) Counties are all in.  It's probably all downhill for Democrats from here.  Grimes will likely hold on in the SoS race, but Beshear could be toast in the AG race.

Based on what?  Grimes was clinging to a thread in the last returns.

The outstanding returns. A 20,000 margin should hold now, as a sufficient pad for any eastern KY erosion, unless there are regional strengths not reflected in the Governor totals.

[kansasdemocrat]

Looks like Edelen may lose tonight too. Really bad night for dems. If Edelen goes down, Rand Paul will have a sigh of relief and may keep his presidential bid going even longer, considering Edelen was seen as the challenger for Rand Paul for his Senate seat. Would Edelen still try to go for Senate even if he loses tonight?

As tonight's results prove, Rand Paul was never in danger even if he were to run against Jesus.

[Oldiesfreak1854]

Jefferson (Louisville), Fayette (Lexington) and Franklin (Frankfort) Counties are all in.  It's probably all downhill for Democrats from here.  Grimes will likely hold on in the SoS race, but Beshear could be toast in the AG race.

Based on what?  Grimes was clinging to a thread in the last returns.

The outstanding returns. A 20,000 margin should hold now, as a sufficient pad for any eastern KY erosion, unless there are regional strengths not reflected in the Governor totals.

Aren't the outstanding returns from Republican leaning areas?

[ElectionsGuy]

Attorney General is going to come down to the wire, Grimes will probably win narrowly.

Does the mean good news for the GOP in the president election,.

Sure? Any R is going to win Kentucky anyway.

[FDRfan1985]

No love for Jean Hampton, the first black Lt. Govenor of Kentucky.

[Oldiesfreak1854]

This is the second year in a row that the polls have overstated Democrat numbers.  Is it safe to say that polling as we know it is dead?

[Oldiesfreak1854]

Attorney General is going to come down to the wire, Grimes will probably win narrowly.

Grimes is running for reelection as SOS.  Do you mean Beshear?

[jaichind]

Westerfield needs to win about 55% of the remaining votes to win.  Should be able to do it.

[Maxwell]

As per Twitter, Adam Edelen has conceded the race to Mike Harmon. Congrats Rand Paul.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Attorney General - General
3338 of 3697 Precincts Reporting - 90%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Beshear, Andy   Dem   438,960   50%
Westerfield, Whitney   GOP   431,837   50%

Auditor - General
3338 of 3697 Precincts Reporting - 90%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Harmon, Mike   GOP   438,894   51%
Edelen, Adam (i)   Dem   414,175   49%

Secretary of State - General
3339 of 3697 Precincts Reporting - 90%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Grimes, Alison Lundergan (i)   Dem   451,594   51%
Knipper, Stephen   GOP   425,832   49%

Supreme Court - District 7 - General
490 of 514 Precincts Reporting - 95%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Wright, Sam   NP   37,906   53%
Stumbo, Janet   NP   34,226   47%

[Maxwell]

If Beshear loses, Congrats Matt Bevin's second term.

[ElectionsGuy]

Westerfield needs to win about 55% of the remaining votes to win.  Should be able to do it.

And Knipper? Probably ~80%?

[Chunk Yogurt for President!]

No love for Jean Hampton, the first black Lt. Govenor of Kentucky.

Some liberals I know will say that she's not a real black woman, whatever that's supposed to mean.

[cinyc]

Jefferson (Louisville), Fayette (Lexington) and Franklin (Frankfort) Counties are all in.  It's probably all downhill for Democrats from here.  Grimes will likely hold on in the SoS race, but Beshear could be toast in the AG race.

Based on what?  Grimes was clinging to a thread in the last returns.

She's up by 25,000 votes, and there probably aren't even close to that number of votes left to count.

[JMT]

Looks like Edelen may lose tonight too. Really bad night for dems. If Edelen goes down, Rand Paul will have a sigh of relief and may keep his presidential bid going even longer, considering Edelen was seen as the challenger for Rand Paul for his Senate seat. Would Edelen still try to go for Senate even if he loses tonight?

As tonight's results prove, Rand Paul was never in danger even if he were to run against Jesus.

I kind of thought this all along, but still was hoping Edelen would hold on tonight and at least make Republicans spend money here for the senate race. Looks like Rand Paul will be completely safe next year