Kentucky 2015 - Predictions and Results Thread
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Author Topic: Kentucky 2015 - Predictions and Results Thread  (Read 52605 times)
Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #50 on: November 03, 2015, 03:13:55 PM »
Quote from: Castro on November 03, 2015, 02:51:56 PM
When should we expect the first results to come in?

6:20ish EST for AP. AOS might snatch something earlier.
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mds32
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« Reply #51 on: November 03, 2015, 03:24:06 PM »
I think the GOP picks up the State Treasurer office and holds the AG Commissioner office. Everything else stays Democratic.
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Vega
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« Reply #52 on: November 03, 2015, 04:31:25 PM »
Will CNN have any coverage like they did in 2013 for the odd elections?
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IceSpear
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« Reply #53 on: November 03, 2015, 04:42:36 PM »
Quote from: windjammer on November 01, 2015, 07:25:14 AM
Bevin wins,
Lundergan, Beshear and Edelen survive.
The 2 other races: republicans.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #54 on: November 03, 2015, 04:47:24 PM »
Quote from: Vega on November 03, 2015, 04:31:25 PM
Will CNN have any coverage like they did in 2013 for the odd elections?

I don't see anything mentioned about it on their website, so I guess not.
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Hydera
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« Reply #55 on: November 03, 2015, 05:08:51 PM »
Something to note, initially I thought curtis would take right-leaning independents as with most independents and libertarian candidates do nowadays.

Reading twitter, the supporters of Drew Curtis arent rightleaning independents but a lot of them are actually leftish protest voters. Curtis's campaign is going to hurt Conway more than it does Bevin's.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #56 on: November 03, 2015, 05:41:01 PM »
Are there links for the AP in Ohio and Kentucky?
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #57 on: November 03, 2015, 05:44:03 PM »
Kentucky:
http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2015/by_state/KY_Page_1103.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS

Ohio:
http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2015/by_state/OH_Page_1103.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #58 on: November 03, 2015, 05:45:20 PM »

Thank you. I for the life of me can't find those on the website.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #59 on: November 03, 2015, 06:02:50 PM »
Polls have closed in Eastern Kentucky
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #60 on: November 03, 2015, 06:05:29 PM »
AOS page - http://dd.aoshq.com/results/kentucky-governor/
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #61 on: November 03, 2015, 06:09:16 PM »
First batch of results is in:

Agriculture Commissioner - General
1 of 3697 Precincts Reporting - 0%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Quarles, Ryan   GOP   37   77%
Lawson Spann, Jean-Marie   Dem   11   23%

Attorney General - General
2 of 3697 Precincts Reporting - 0%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Westerfield, Whitney   GOP   438   72%
Beshear, Andy   Dem   173   28%

Auditor - General
2 of 3697 Precincts Reporting - 0%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Harmon, Mike   GOP   437   74%
Edelen, Adam (i)   Dem   157   26%

Governor - General
2 of 3697 Precincts Reporting - 0%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Bevin, Matt   GOP   424   70%
Conway, Jack   Dem   160   26%
Curtis, Drew   Ind   22   4%

Secretary of State - General
2 of 3697 Precincts Reporting - 0%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Knipper, Stephen   GOP   439   72%
Grimes, Alison Lundergan (i)   Dem   167   28%

Supreme Court - District 7 - General
0 of 514 Precincts Reporting - 0%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Stumbo, Janet   NP   0   0
Wright, Sam   NP   0   0

Treasurer - General
1 of 3697 Precincts Reporting - 0%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Ball, Allison   GOP   404   79%
Nelson, Rick   Dem   110   21%
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #62 on: November 03, 2015, 06:10:00 PM »
Looks like a Bevin landslide folks (sarcasm).
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Skye
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« Reply #63 on: November 03, 2015, 06:11:00 PM »
This one has a handy map: http://interactives.courier-journal.com/election/2015-general/#/KY
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« Reply #64 on: November 03, 2015, 06:14:55 PM »
Bevin's lead narrowing quickly

Agriculture Commissioner - General
4 of 3697 Precincts Reporting - 0%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Quarles, Ryan   GOP   1,198   70%
Lawson Spann, Jean-Marie   Dem   520   30%

Attorney General - General
4 of 3697 Precincts Reporting - 0%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Westerfield, Whitney   GOP   1,147   63%
Beshear, Andy   Dem   686   37%

Auditor - General
4 of 3697 Precincts Reporting - 0%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Harmon, Mike   GOP   1,115   65%
Edelen, Adam (i)   Dem   596   35%

Governor - General
4 of 3697 Precincts Reporting - 0%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Bevin, Matt   GOP   1,155   62%
Conway, Jack   Dem   620   34%
Curtis, Drew   Ind   74   4%

Secretary of State - General
4 of 3697 Precincts Reporting - 0%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Knipper, Stephen   GOP   1,111   61%
Grimes, Alison Lundergan (i)   Dem   725   39%

Supreme Court - District 7 - General
1 of 514 Precincts Reporting - 0%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Stumbo, Janet   NP   255   53%
Wright, Sam   NP   223   47%

Treasurer - General
4 of 3697 Precincts Reporting - 0%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Ball, Allison   GOP   1,204   70%
Nelson, Rick   Dem   526   30%
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Gass3268
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« Reply #65 on: November 03, 2015, 06:18:47 PM »
Any particular county/counties we should keep our eye out on?
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #66 on: November 03, 2015, 06:20:07 PM »
Bevin down to 55%. Grimes nearly leading!

Agriculture Commissioner - General
8 of 3697 Precincts Reporting - 0%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Quarles, Ryan   GOP   2,230   62%
Lawson Spann, Jean-Marie   Dem   1,388   38%

Attorney General - General
9 of 3697 Precincts Reporting - 0%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Westerfield, Whitney   GOP   2,134   55%
Beshear, Andy   Dem   1,758   45%

Auditor - General
9 of 3697 Precincts Reporting - 0%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Harmon, Mike   GOP   2,097   55%
Edelen, Adam (i)   Dem   1,709   45%

Governor - General
9 of 3697 Precincts Reporting - 0%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Bevin, Matt   GOP   2,427   55%
Conway, Jack   Dem   1,802   41%
Curtis, Drew   Ind   172   4%

Secretary of State - General
9 of 3697 Precincts Reporting - 0%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Knipper, Stephen   GOP   2,284   52%
Grimes, Alison Lundergan (i)   Dem   2,075   48%

Supreme Court - District 7 - General
3 of 514 Precincts Reporting - 1%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Stumbo, Janet   NP   658   57%
Wright, Sam   NP   505   43%

Treasurer - General
9 of 3697 Precincts Reporting - 0%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Ball, Allison   GOP   2,351   62%
Nelson, Rick   Dem   1,470   38%
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #67 on: November 03, 2015, 06:21:51 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on November 03, 2015, 06:18:47 PM
Any particular county/counties we should keep our eye out on?

Coal country (to see if Conway has a rebound here or if Dems continue to slide into obsoleteness. Also Cinci suburbs and counties around Lexington. If any of them go blue, Conway has won.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #68 on: November 03, 2015, 06:23:06 PM »
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on November 03, 2015, 06:21:51 PM
Quote from: Gass3268 on November 03, 2015, 06:18:47 PM
Any particular county/counties we should keep our eye out on?

Coal country (to see if Conway has a rebound here or if Dems continue to slide into obsoleteness. Also Cinci suburbs and counties around Lexington. If any of them go blue, Conway has won.

Thanks! Looks like he's doing decent early in many of the coal counties, but its obviously very early.
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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #69 on: November 03, 2015, 06:26:04 PM »
These very early results indicate Conway probably will win by about 5%. But it's way too early.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #70 on: November 03, 2015, 06:26:52 PM »
AoS is messed up, says Curtis has 21% of the vote.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #71 on: November 03, 2015, 06:27:37 PM »
Someone take over a bit. Fire alarm in my dorm
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Türkisblau
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« Reply #72 on: November 03, 2015, 06:28:20 PM »
Quote from: Wulfric on November 03, 2015, 06:27:37 PM
Someone take over a bit. Fire alarm in my dorm

The fact that you took the time to type this up and also the thought that we need minute-by-minute updates when <1% is in is a bit hilarious.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #73 on: November 03, 2015, 06:29:30 PM »
0.3% reporting

53-43-4 Bevin

All other Republicans leading by narrow margin except Ball and Quarles. I don't think this is great for Republicans, but obviously analysis is not necessary at this point.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #74 on: November 03, 2015, 06:32:38 PM »
0.5% reporting

52-44-4 Bevin
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