Kentucky 2015 - Predictions and Results Thread

[cinyc]

What's in Marion County that made it vote for Conway while all neighboring counties went to Bevin, some by really large margins?

[zs4321]

Kentucky will get what it deserves for electing an imbicile like Bevin

lol how kind and you wonder why Conway lost.

[Oldiesfreak1854]

Governor - General
2804 of 3697 Precincts Reporting - 76%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
   Bevin, Matt   GOP   387,397   52% WINNER
Conway, Jack   Dem   326,357   44%
Curtis, Drew   Ind   28,414   4%

Has anyone called it yet?

[DrScholl]

In reality, this is a red state, so what exactly is so remarkable about Republicans winning? Someone explain that to me.

[jaichind]

All the GOP now has to do is to pick of MO (a bit hard but likely), VW (likely) and VA (depends on who is the Presidential party in 2017) while keeping NC, then by 2017 the GOP will be in control over every Southern (CSA + VW + KY + MO + OK) Governorship, something the Dems achieved on a regular basis in the 1930s-1960s.  What a dramatic shift.

[ElectionsGuy]

What's in Marion County that made it vote for Conway while all neighboring counties went to Bevin, some by really large margins?

That county has always been oddly Democratic for the region.

[kansasdemocrat]

Governor - General
2804 of 3697 Precincts Reporting - 76%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
   Bevin, Matt   GOP   387,397   52% WINNER
Conway, Jack   Dem   326,357   44%
Curtis, Drew   Ind   28,414   4%

Has anyone called it yet?

The AP

[zs4321]

In reality, this is a red state, so what exactly is so remarkable about Republicans winning? Someone explain that to me.

southern states tell fairly recently where solid dem on state level. it shows how much that has changed.

[FDRfan1985]

My home state gets what it deserved. The next 4 years should be fun.  

[Free Bird]

In reality, this is a red state, so what exactly is so remarkable about Republicans winning? Someone explain that to me.

Federal =/= State. This is only the second GOP governor in 40 years

[Potus]

Livestream of Conway concession speech, anyone?

[Oldiesfreak1854]

The GOP well may sweep the board in the statewide offices.  But even if they do, it's far too early to write off Kentucky Democrats.  

In reality, this is a red state, so what exactly is so remarkable about Republicans winning? Someone explain that to me.

Nothing, except that it leans slightly blue at the state level.

In reality, this is a red state, so what exactly is so remarkable about Republicans winning? Someone explain that to me.

Federal =/= State. This is only the second GOP governor in 40 years

This.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

My home state gets what it deserved. The next 4 years should be fun.  

This.

I met with local progressives after last year's "election", had dinner with them, and they promised action. But there was no follow-through. Not one blasted bit.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Attorney General - General
2916 of 3697 Precincts Reporting - 79%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Beshear, Andy   Dem   385,102   51%
Westerfield, Whitney   GOP   373,684   49%

Auditor - General
2916 of 3697 Precincts Reporting - 79%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Harmon, Mike   GOP   379,311   51%
Edelen, Adam (i)   Dem   364,928   49%

Secretary of State - General
2933 of 3697 Precincts Reporting - 79%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Grimes, Alison Lundergan (i)   Dem   397,650   52%
Knipper, Stephen   GOP   371,069   48%

Supreme Court - District 7 - General
490 of 514 Precincts Reporting - 95%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Wright, Sam   NP   37,906   53%
Stumbo, Janet   NP   34,226   47%

[windjammer]

Ok I apologise Talleyrand

Thank you old friend.

From my extrapolation of the trends Beshear is finished and Grimes is likely toast. God, I am good at this.

Well, you deserve your accolade

[jaichind]

In reality, this is a red state, so what exactly is so remarkable about Republicans winning? Someone explain that to me.

Federal =/= State. This is only the second GOP governor in 40 years

Ernie Fletcher set the GOP back a decade or two.  But even that affect is wearing off.

[Gass3268]

Ok I apologise Talleyrand

Thank you old friend.

From my extrapolation of the trends Beshear is finished and Grimes is likely toast. God, I am good at this.

Damn, you where right, lol! Why were the polls so wrong?

BTW, it looks like Dems will at least keep all there seats in VA.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Livestream of Conway concession speech, anyone?

http://www.courier-journal.com/videos/news/politics/elections/2015/11/02/18425193/

[Panhandle Progressive]

In reality, this is a red state, so what exactly is so remarkable about Republicans winning? Someone explain that to me.

Since 1972 Kentucky has had only 1 Republican governor and he only lasted 1 term.

[Oldiesfreak1854]

AP called it for Bevin.   I think we can say with some certainty that campaign polling as we know it is dead.

Well Kentucky, you've made your bed; now you have to lay in it.  Get ready for four years of a completely incompetent fool as your governor, discrediting your state every chance he has.  Once Obama is gone and not destroying the coal industry, you'll be sorry you did this.

[ElectionsGuy]

Westerfield 6,000 behind Beshear.

[DrScholl]

In reality, this is a red state, so what exactly is so remarkable about Republicans winning? Someone explain that to me.

Federal =/= State. This is only the second GOP governor in 40 years

I am very well aware of the history, thanks. I'm just making a point that Republicans winning in a Republican state isn't shocking.

[cinyc]

What's in Marion County that made it vote for Conway while all neighboring counties went to Bevin, some by really large margins?

That county has always been oddly Democratic for the region.

It's kind of odd.  Demographically, the county is pretty much on par with the statewide average.  Median Household Income is slightly lower (as you'd probably expect for a rural county), but so is the percentage of people in poverty.

[Maxwell]

Talleyrand truly is a wunderkind when it comes to predicting these elections. Hot Damn!

[JMT]

I thought that  Bevin would win but by a very narrow margin.  Did not expect this scale of victory. Wow.