Kentucky 2015 - Predictions and Results Thread
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Author Topic: Kentucky 2015 - Predictions and Results Thread  (Read 52585 times)
Reaganfan
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« Reply #325 on: November 03, 2015, 08:43:11 PM »
Congrats to Governor-elect Bevin!
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #326 on: November 03, 2015, 08:45:09 PM »
AP calls it for Grimes. And Harmon.
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cinyc
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« Reply #327 on: November 03, 2015, 08:46:03 PM »
AP projects Grimes the winner in the SoS race.
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100% pro-life no matter what
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« Reply #328 on: November 03, 2015, 08:46:29 PM »

One partisan race left.  How is Andy Beshear related to Steve?
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #329 on: November 03, 2015, 08:47:51 PM »
Quote from: ExtremeRepublican on November 03, 2015, 08:46:29 PM

One partisan race left.  How is Andy Beshear related to Steve?

Son
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #330 on: November 03, 2015, 08:48:21 PM »
Two more calls:

Attorney General - General
3371 of 3697 Precincts Reporting - 91%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Beshear, Andy   Dem   441,549   50%
Westerfield, Whitney   GOP   436,072   50%

Auditor - General
3371 of 3697 Precincts Reporting - 91%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Harmon, Mike   GOP   442,867   52% WINNER
Edelen, Adam (i)   Dem   416,798   48%

Secretary of State - General
3371 of 3697 Precincts Reporting - 91%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Grimes, Alison Lundergan (i)   Dem   454,527   51% WINNER
Knipper, Stephen   GOP   429,439   49%

Supreme Court - District 7 - General
509 of 514 Precincts Reporting - 99%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Wright, Sam   NP   40,197   52%
Stumbo, Janet   NP   37,231   48%
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #331 on: November 03, 2015, 08:50:47 PM »
Democrats doing better than expected in western Kentucky. Beshear may actually win.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #332 on: November 03, 2015, 08:50:57 PM »
Quote from: Talleyrand on November 03, 2015, 08:15:17 PM

Thank you old friend.

From my extrapolation of the trends Beshear is finished and Grimes is likely toast. God, I am good at this.

Spiked the football a bit too soon, it seems.
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« Reply #333 on: November 03, 2015, 08:51:32 PM »
Supreme court race is called:

Supreme Court - District 7 - General
509 of 514 Precincts Reporting - 99%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Wright, Sam   NP   40,197   52% WINNER
Stumbo, Janet   NP   37,231   48%

Attorney General - General
3435 of 3697 Precincts Reporting - 93%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Beshear, Andy   Dem   450,541   50%
Westerfield, Whitney   GOP   442,883   50%
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Badger
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« Reply #334 on: November 03, 2015, 08:53:48 PM »
Quote from: Wulfric on November 03, 2015, 08:51:32 PM
Supreme court race is called:

Supreme Court - District 7 - General
509 of 514 Precincts Reporting - 99%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Wright, Sam   NP   40,197   52% WINNER
Stumbo, Janet   NP   37,231   48%

Attorney General - General
3435 of 3697 Precincts Reporting - 93%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Beshear, Andy   Dem   450,541   50%
Westerfield, Whitney   GOP   442,883   50%



Did Beshear's lead jump from 5k to 8k in the last few minutes? He just might pull this off indeed.
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #335 on: November 03, 2015, 08:54:24 PM »
I'm going to go ahead and hope Beshear, Jr., wins. He's the only tolerable Kentucky Democrat besides Ben Chandler who could take Paul's seat.
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« Reply #336 on: November 03, 2015, 08:54:40 PM »
Beshear 451,401
Westerfield 444,543

3447/3697 in
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100% pro-life no matter what
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« Reply #337 on: November 03, 2015, 08:56:01 PM »
Quote from: Wulfric on November 03, 2015, 08:51:32 PM
Supreme court race is called:

Supreme Court - District 7 - General
509 of 514 Precincts Reporting - 99%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Wright, Sam   NP   40,197   52% WINNER
Stumbo, Janet   NP   37,231   48%

Attorney General - General
3435 of 3697 Precincts Reporting - 93%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Beshear, Andy   Dem   450,541   50%
Westerfield, Whitney   GOP   442,883   50%



Were there a de facto Republican and de facto Democrat in this race?
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FDRfan1985
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« Reply #338 on: November 03, 2015, 08:58:05 PM »
Will Bevin actually carry out his promises or will he choke under pressure and cave?
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FDRfan1985
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« Reply #339 on: November 03, 2015, 09:00:18 PM »
The only cornern about Bevin is that his polices are going to  hurt the disabled people. 
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« Reply #340 on: November 03, 2015, 09:01:28 PM »
Beshear 454,672
Westerfield 448,187

3475/3697 in
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cinyc
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« Reply #341 on: November 03, 2015, 09:05:49 PM »
Quote from: Wulfric on November 03, 2015, 09:01:28 PM
Beshear 454,672
Westerfield 448,187

3475/3697 in

The biggest county that appears to be mostly out is McCracken (Paducah).  Westerfield won the vote that's in with 0% reporting (presumably, early vote) 58-42.  The other counties that are totally out are rural Muhlenburg, Simpson and Ohio counties in the west and Bell county in the east.

My guess is there's not enough ground for Westerfield to make up the difference here.  Beshear likely wins - narrowly.
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100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
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« Reply #342 on: November 03, 2015, 09:07:48 PM »
Quote from: cinyc on November 03, 2015, 09:05:49 PM
Quote from: Wulfric on November 03, 2015, 09:01:28 PM
Beshear 454,672
Westerfield 448,187

3475/3697 in

The biggest county that appears to be mostly out is McCracken (Paducah).  Westerfield won the vote that's in with 0% reporting (presumably, early vote) 58-42.  The other counties that are totally out are rural Muhlenburg, Simpson and Ohio counties in the west and Bell county in the east.

My guess is there's not enough ground for Westerfield to make up the difference here.  Beshear likely wins - narrowly.

What is the recount policy in Kentucky?
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« Reply #343 on: November 03, 2015, 09:10:03 PM »
Beshear 456,220
Westerfield 450,075

3490/3697 in
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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #344 on: November 03, 2015, 09:12:20 PM »
Also, it appears as if Conway's best county was Franklin County, of all places.
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« Reply #345 on: November 03, 2015, 09:13:03 PM »
Beshear 459,021
Westerfield 454,191

3535/3697 in
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« Reply #346 on: November 03, 2015, 09:17:58 PM »
Beshear 465,752
Westerfield 462,399

3589/3697 in

Oh my god...
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #347 on: November 03, 2015, 09:19:39 PM »
Can Westerfield make up 2,000 votes in 88 precincts?
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cinyc
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« Reply #348 on: November 03, 2015, 09:19:55 PM »
Quote from: Wulfric on November 03, 2015, 09:17:58 PM
Beshear 465,752
Westerfield 462,399

3589/3697 in

Oh my god...

That was McCracken. 
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Asian Nazi
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« Reply #349 on: November 03, 2015, 09:20:08 PM »
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