Kentucky 2015 - Predictions and Results Thread

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Beshear 466,794
Westerfield 464,291

3609/3697 in

[rbt48]

2,503 vote lead with 89 Precincts to go.

[cinyc]

What's out as of a few minutes ago:

- Muhlenburg (25 precincts) - 5,460 votes in 2011 AG.  Conway won it big back then.
- Menifee (5 precincts) - Beshear leads what's in 58-42.  About 2,400 votes in 2011.
- Ohio (19 precincts) - 4,100 votes in 2011.  Marginal in 2011.
- Warren (15 precincts) - Beshear is losing what's in there so far 52-48.
- Barren (24 precincts) - Beshear is losing whar's in there so far 58-42.  7,500 votes in 2011.  Marginal back then, but Conway won overall 55-45.

[rbt48]

Muhlenburg and Ohio Counties were not at all reported when I looked a few minutes ago.  I think Ohio County is a fairly strong Republican location.

[ElectionsGuy]

43 precincts left, Beshear leading by 3000. He's probably the winner after a recount (assuming there is one in Kentucky).

[BluegrassBlueVote]

I can't believe Steve's kid might lose to so some no-name with a J.D. from Southern Illinois.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Beshear 471,840
Westerfield 470,016

49 precincts left. AP has called it but I'm not confident.

[Skye]

Jesus, Conway is below 44%. If you'd told me before the election that was going to be the result, I surely wouldn't have believed you.

[cinyc]

Beshear 471,840
Westerfield 470,016

49 precincts left. AP has called it but I'm not confident.

Barren (24) and Muhlenburg (25) are what's still out.  I doubt there are enough votes left for Beshear to lose it.

[Miles]

LOUISVILLE, Ky. (AP) — Democrat Andy Beshear, son of governor, elected attorney general in Kentucky.

[The_Doctor]

Not confident in the AP projection here for AG.

[/]

Alright, I just woke up from a nap that started around 6:00 and I'M DYING.

WHY IS THIS

WHY

[International Brotherhood of Bernard]

Alright, I just woke up from a nap that started around 6:00 and I'M DYING.

WHY IS THIS

WHY

I see you're now experiencing a much milder version of what I experienced when waking up after going to bed at 9pm on election night 2014...

[jaichind]

Conway is the KY Coakley.

[cinyc]

Beshear 471,840
Westerfield 470,016

49 precincts left. AP has called it but I'm not confident.

What's left is Muhlenburg (25) and Barren (24).  AoSHQDD has Bevin barely winning Muhlenburg, and Westerfield is running behind him.  And there were only about 7,500 votes cast in Barren for AG in 2011.  There's not enough room left for Beshear to lose.  If Muhlenburg is a wash, he'd need to lose Barren about 35-65.  The little vote that's in from that county is only 42-58.

[/]

Alright, I just woke up from a nap that started around 6:00 and I'M DYING.

WHY IS THIS

WHY

I see you're now experiencing a much milder version of what I experienced when waking up after going to bed at 9pm on election night 2014...

I remember that... I wasn't following politics too closely back then so I didn't really care but losing Kay Hagan and the Senate as a whole would have KILLED ME if I was.

But instead I get to die NOW

D:

D:





D:

[/]

AND THEY GOT EDELEN TOO

NOOO

Let us pray for Jim Hood. Let us pray.

[rbt48]

What happened?

Clinton and Obama are so unpopular in Kentucky that even a Republican on the far edge of the sanity scale was able to trounce a moderate Democrat by 9%.

Bevin is the same Republican who refused to endorse McConnell after getting trounced in the 2014 primary (if I recollect accurately).

If I were a Democrat, I wouldn't feel good except for the State House of Representatives not being up for election this year.

[Hydera]

What happened?

Clinton and Obama are so unpopular in Kentucky that even a Republican on the far edge of the sanity scale was able to trounce a moderate Democrat by 9%.

Bevin is the same Republican who refused to endorse McConnell after getting trounced in the 2014 primary (if I recollect accurately).

If I were a Democrat, I wouldn't feel good except for the State House of Representatives not being up for election this year.

Kim Davis might of energized a lot of evaneglicals who didnt plan on turning out. To actually vote to spite back as revenge at the marriage license drama.

Plus, For a region that actually was strong for the democrats historically(Nixon was tied and Mondale actually won it in 1984), the feeling of betrayal by the Coal country in Eastern kentucky was the thing that caused Conway to lose. Otherwise had that region never keep shifting away, conway might of actually won barely tonight.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Beshear 475,851
Westerfield 474,658

25 precincts left.

[BluegrassBlueVote]

What happened?

Clinton and Obama are so unpopular in Kentucky that even a Republican on the far edge of the sanity scale was able to trounce a moderate Democrat by 9%.

Bevin is the same Republican who refused to endorse McConnell after getting trounced in the 2014 primary (if I recollect accurately).

If I were a Democrat, I wouldn't feel good except for the State House of Representatives not being up for election this year.

The party is toast here. This was their last chance to remain relevant and Conway wasted it.

They'll pray that Paul or Bevin give them an opening to steal a seat, but the book is shut now as long as coal remains a rallying cry.

[cinyc]

Beshear 475,851
Westerfield 474,658

25 precincts left.

All Muhlenburg.  If the AoSHQDD governor numbers for the county are any indication (Bevin won it by 2), Beshear's lead probably slightly grows after the county is counted.  Beshear is running ahead of Conway, so he probably slightly won the county.

[RI]

SoS



AG



Auditor



Treasurer



Ag Comm

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Final Numbers in. Beshear survives!

Attorney General - General
3697 of 3697 Precincts Reporting - 100%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Beshear, Andy   Dem   479,929   50% WINNER
Westerfield, Whitney   GOP   477,735   50%

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

AND THEY GOT EDELEN TOO

NOOO

Let us pray for Jim Hood. Let us pray.

You're looking at this all wrong.  Edelen was never gonna beat Rand Paul and it's hilarious that Conway blew yet another race, this time against Matt Bevin.