Kentucky 2015 - Predictions and Results Thread (user search)
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  Kentucky 2015 - Predictions and Results Thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: Kentucky 2015 - Predictions and Results Thread  (Read 52803 times)
Skye
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« on: November 01, 2015, 10:09:32 AM »

Bevin wins, under 40%.
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Skye
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« Reply #1 on: November 02, 2015, 11:57:15 PM »

Any specific website where I can watch results coming in? Will CNN be doing any coverage?

Here's where the SOS site will have results.

We'll also be covering it over at AOS.
Yikes, didn't expect Grimes to greet me that way.
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Skye
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« Reply #2 on: November 03, 2015, 06:11:00 PM »

This one has a handy map: http://interactives.courier-journal.com/election/2015-general/#/KY
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Skye
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« Reply #3 on: November 03, 2015, 06:35:40 PM »

0.6% reporting:

Bevin 48.8
Conway 47.6
Curtis 3.6
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Skye
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« Reply #4 on: November 03, 2015, 07:10:45 PM »

Nate Cohn:
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Skye
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« Reply #5 on: November 03, 2015, 07:22:54 PM »

Sean Trende:
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35.6% reporting
Bevin 50
Conway 46
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Skye
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« Reply #6 on: November 03, 2015, 07:26:38 PM »

McConnell got 42% in Jefferson Co. last year. We should check how it goes this year.
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Skye
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« Reply #7 on: November 03, 2015, 07:44:10 PM »

With 77.5% in Jefferson, Conway has a 16 point lead there.

Still 51-45 for Bevin statewide. Can't see Conway winning now.
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Skye
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« Reply #8 on: November 03, 2015, 07:53:40 PM »


The real question is: How was the "election" so wrong?

As if it wasn't obvious before, time to ignore your analysis of Kentucky elections forever.
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Skye
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« Reply #9 on: November 03, 2015, 07:57:23 PM »

I find this whole situation extremely hilarious. Congratulations gentlemen: Our predictions were spot on!
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Skye
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« Reply #10 on: November 03, 2015, 07:59:51 PM »

Before you start writing Conway off, remember that Cucinelli was beating McAuliffe for most of the night in Virginia two years ago.
Fairfax county, even closer election, yada yada...
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Skye
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« Reply #11 on: November 03, 2015, 08:10:09 PM »

It's over. The Courier Jornal calls it for Bevin.
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Skye
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« Reply #12 on: November 03, 2015, 09:36:06 PM »

Jesus, Conway is below 44%. If you'd told me before the election that was going to be the result, I surely wouldn't have believed you.
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Skye
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« Reply #13 on: November 04, 2015, 12:44:25 PM »


Good lord! People actually voted Democratic in places where people actually LIVE!!!
Huh?
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Skye
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« Reply #14 on: November 04, 2015, 01:29:50 PM »

...and he lost so badly in the rest of the county that Bevin carried it by double digits?
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Skye
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« Reply #15 on: November 04, 2015, 11:05:58 PM »

And got demolished in the rest of the county. So what?

Why are rural areas allowed to decide entire elections for urban areas?
Excuse me? It's not like there aren't actual people voting in rural places.
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Skye
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« Reply #16 on: November 05, 2015, 12:52:15 PM »

^ And its still Democratic-leaning county, by state standards. It voted for Grimes last year and even Obama in 2008.
I saw a tweet that said it was the most Democratic county of the 20th century. Dunno if it's true.
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Skye
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« Reply #17 on: November 05, 2015, 01:20:39 PM »

^ And its still Democratic-leaning county, by state standards. It voted for Grimes last year and even Obama in 2008.
I saw a tweet that said it was the most Democratic county of the 20th century. Dunno if it's true.

The tweet was about Knott County, not Rowan.
Oh, right. Sorry about that.
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