Kentucky 2015 - Predictions and Results Thread

[Bacon King]

So ugly.

hey guys just for some perspective here's how the gubernatorial map looked on the day Obama took office

[Bacon King]

Kentucky Democrats need to keep moving. They cede the state to the GOP, that shows that Democrats will have a hard time with white voters FOREVER.

That tends to happen when the national Dem party embraces BLM

What he said.

To the average citizen, BLM is about folks who want the right to resist lawful arrest when being a suspect in a crime.

To the average citizen BLM is literally a meaningless phrase because they don't follow current events that closely - and if they do they won't remember minutiae like which politicians support it or not. If you have a family to feed you aren't going to give a f[Inks] one way or the other 

[Bacon King]

My gosh that is depressing.

Oh that's nothing- try comparing the House elections between 2008 to 2014!

First here's 2008. Map is from wikipedia so the colors are reversed.

Note Democratic wins in 3/4 of Mississippi, 3/4 of Arkansas, 3/7 of Alabama, 6/13 of Georgia, every district in New England, and all but three in New York. Total spread is 257 D vs 178 R (click map to embiggen)




And this is 2014, posted without comment. Spread is 247 R - 188 D (and again, click map to embiggen)

[Bacon King]

GOVERNOR
BEVIN 52.5% CONWAY 43.8% CURTIS 3.7%

SECRETARY OF STATE
GRIMES 51.2% KNIPPER 48.8%

ATTORNEY GENERAL
BESHEAR 50.1% WESTERFIELD 49.9%

AUDITOR OF PUBLIC ACCOUNTS
HARMON 51.9% EDELIN 48.1%

STATE TREASURER
BALL 60.6% NELSON 39.4%

COMMISSIONER OF AGRICULTURE
QUARLES 60.1% SPANN 39.9%

[Bacon King]

I got those maps from here so blame Grimes for the reversed colors not me

[Bacon King]

Yeah for every Kentucky you'll have an Illinois. With a urban vs rural political divide you're always going to have some states where rural outvotes urban, and some states where urban outvotes rural.

The only semi-plausible solution is to increase the number of states so radically different areas can be split apart and be more homogenous