How were the polls one year before

[buritobr]

November 2011
Rasmussen 11/2/2011: Obama 42% Romney 41%
NBC 11/5/2011: Obama 49% Romney 43%
George Washington University 11/9/2011: Obama 49% Romney 43%
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nationwide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election,_2012

November 2007
Rasmussen 11/18/2007: Obama 46% McCain 43%
Rasmussen 11/18/2007: Obama 46% Romney 40%
Most polls in November 2007 were about Hillary Clinton vs. Giuliani
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nationwide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election,_2008

[buritobr]

November 1999
Gallup: Bush 53% Gore 42%
http://www.gallup.com/poll/9898/2000-presidential-election-midyear-gallup-report.aspx

[eric82oslo]

This is kind of suggesting that polls do matter, even a whole year before. Which is kind of surprising thinking about all the things that happens and changes the narrative during a whole year of political events. (The Bush-Gore poll was quite a bit off though.)