VA Results

[Türkisblau]

John Bell is victorious. That makes it two Democratic pickups in the House.

Loudoun Board has gone from 9-0 Republican to being 6-3 Republican! I reiterate: disappointing, but actually a good night for Democrats as a whole.

[Gass3268]

HD 34 - Murphy as 183 vote lead. Awaiting Loudoun absentees

[Türkisblau]

Really close for Murphy, looks like she should pull it out.

23 precincts of 24 (95.83%) reporting

Kathleen J. Murphy
Democratic   10,632   50.40%

Craig A. Parisot
Republican   10,449   49.53%

[Crumpets]

Current Senate results 21R-19D:

1. D 59-40
2. D 94-6
3. R 69-30*
4. R 96-4*
5. D 96-4
6. D 59-40
7. R 54-46
8. R 59-41
9. D 95-5*
10. R 50-47
11. R 69-31
12. R 57-39-4*
13. R 52-48*
14. R 92-8*
15. R 99-1*
16. D 74-25*
17. R 62-38
18. D 95-5*
19. R 64-31-4
20. R 58-42
21. D 51-43-6*
22. R 95-5*
23. R 97-3*
24. R 98-2*
25. D 97-3
26. R 68-32*
27. R 97-3
28. R 95-5*
29. D 53-47*
30. D 77-21
31. D 62-38
32. D 94-6
33. D 57-43
34. D 94-6
35. D 75-24
36. D 61-39*
37. D 55-44
38. R 98-2
39. D 55-45*
40. R 98-2*

* Incomplete results

[Türkisblau]

Final SD-10 results.

67 precincts of 67 (100.00%) reporting

Daniel A. Gecker
Democratic   26,171   47.09%

Glen H. Sturtevant Jr.
Republican   27,665   49.78%

Carl R. Loser
Libertarian   527   0.95%

Marleen K. Durfee
Independent   1,136   2.04%

[Gass3268]

Kathleen Murphy wins in HD-34

Looks like Josh King will lose in HD-02

Looks like Democrats will have a net gain of 1 in the House.

[Gass3268]

Scratch that on HD-02:

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Should be really close.

[Gass3268]

Interesting that Barker had as close a call as McPike did.  And  McCabe kept it within 5 points.  Loudoun seems to have trended left in general tonight and VA Dems would be wise to recruit a top tier challenger against Black next time.

The issue here is the instant Black retires this seat is probably out of reach for Dems as there is a lot of rural Loudoun in this district.

Also HD-02 was called for the Republican Dudenhefer.

Democrats only gain 1 seat in the House.

[Türkisblau]

Interesting that Barker had as close a call as McPike did.  And  McCabe kept it within 5 points.  Loudoun seems to have trended left in general tonight and VA Dems would be wise to recruit a top tier challenger against Black next time.

The issue here is the instant Black retires this seat is probably out of reach for Dems as there is a lot of rural Loudoun in this district.

Also HD-02 was called for the Republican Dudenhefer.

Democrats only gain 1 seat in the House.

What do you think the best Dem target is going forward?  Can Sturtevant entrench himself?  SD-07 is interesting because McCollum only lost by 8 after fabricating his military record.

I worked on the McCollum campaign and he had a sh**tload of money and a grade-A field team. The only reason he wasn't blown out of the water was his infrastructure, so, I think to seriously compete Democrats are going to need someone who a. has a spotless record, and b. deep pockets.

McCollum was such a dream candidate at first... I just find it insane how many anti-light rail voters voted for Wagner though...

[Mr. Illini]

Murphy's win is big for Dems - she is looked at as possible challenger to Comstock in 2016 for VA-10

Bell and Boysko pick ups in the House illustrate a changing NoVA. The DC belt pushes ever outward.

[Gass3268]

Murphy's win is big for Dems - she is looked at as possible challenger to Comstock in 2016 for VA-10

Bell and Boysko pick ups in the House illustrate a changing NoVA. The DC belt pushes ever outward.

Exactly! I could be shocked if a statewide Republican ever won Fairfax County again in the foreseeable future.

Also of the 34 House Seats now held by Democrats, 18 or 53% are in NoVA. There are still 4 seats in the region that every statewide Democrat has one since 2009, 4 others were the Republican has only won a minority of the time since 2009. Maybe you can win those by the end of the decade. 58-42 looks a lot better than 66-34.

In the State Senate 10 of the 19 (52.5%) seats are in NoVA, but unlike the House the Democrats control all of the seats possible (other than maybe SD-13 with Bill Black as the incumbent).

[Türkisblau]

House Minority Leader David Toscano:

While most analysis has focused on the Virginia Senate, let’s not lose track of what happened in the House of Delegates races. Here is the positive news for Democrats:
• House Democrats ended the Republican “veto-proof” majority in the House.
• It was the second consecutive election where we picked up seats even though we were massively outspent, perhaps on a level of four-to-one.
• We held the seats of our incumbents Murphy, Mason, and Bulova, despite a barrage of misleading and untrue Republican attack ads, including an unprecendented Washington DC broadcast TV buy of almost $1 million. The Republicans attempted to buy the elections
• We did not lose one incumbent and we have not lost a Democratic incumbent for two consecutive general elections.
• Democrats won two open seats formerly held by Republicans, with Jennifer Boysko’s win in Herndon and John Bell’s win in Loudoun.
• Democrats won an additional four open seat races; one open seat is still too close to call.

[Gass3268]

House Minority Leader David Toscano:

While most analysis has focused on the Virginia Senate, let’s not lose track of what happened in the House of Delegates races. Here is the positive news for Democrats:
• House Democrats ended the Republican “veto-proof” majority in the House.
• It was the second consecutive election where we picked up seats even though we were massively outspent, perhaps on a level of four-to-one.
• We held the seats of our incumbents Murphy, Mason, and Bulova, despite a barrage of misleading and untrue Republican attack ads, including an unprecendented Washington DC broadcast TV buy of almost $1 million. The Republicans attempted to buy the elections
• We did not lose one incumbent and we have not lost a Democratic incumbent for two consecutive general elections.
• Democrats won two open seats formerly held by Republicans, with Jennifer Boysko’s win in Herndon and John Bell’s win in Loudoun.
• Democrats won an additional four open seat races; one open seat is still too close to call.

What race is still too close to call?