Quinnipiac national poll: Clinton and Sanders trail all GOPers except Trump
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 23, 2024, 10:28:20 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  Quinnipiac national poll: Clinton and Sanders trail all GOPers except Trump
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2
Author Topic: Quinnipiac national poll: Clinton and Sanders trail all GOPers except Trump  (Read 1552 times)
Senator Cris
Cris
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,613
Italy


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: November 04, 2015, 06:09:33 AM »

Carson 50% Clinton 40%
Clinton 46% Trump 43%
Rubio 46% Clinton 41%
Cruz 46% Clinton 43%
Christie 46% Clinton 41%

Carson 51% Sanders 39%
Sanders 46% Trump 44%
Rubio 47% Sanders 41%
Cruz 45% Sanders 44%
Christie 45% Sanders 42%

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=2299
Logged
Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: November 04, 2015, 06:21:34 AM »

Ah in both this one and the primary, Quinnipiac strikes again.
Logged
Landslide Lyndon
px75
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,830
Greece


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: November 04, 2015, 06:56:04 AM »

Is there anyone who REALLY believes that there is a non-zero chance that Carson will beat the Democratic nominee by double digits?
Logged
Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: November 04, 2015, 07:17:48 AM »

Have we figured out in QU's model with the Hispanic vote crashing is still in place? Plus GE polls this far out are pointless.
Logged
Phony Moderate
Obamaisdabest
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,298
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: November 04, 2015, 08:09:38 AM »

Is there anyone who REALLY believes that there is a non-zero chance that Carson will beat the Democratic nominee by double digits?

Few on here believed that there was a non-zero chance that Carson would top the post-debate 'who won?' polls.
Logged
HillOfANight
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,459
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: November 04, 2015, 08:26:10 AM »

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/images/polling/us/us11042015_demos_xsq33a.pdf

RACE
White 74
Black 12
Hispanic 7
Other/DK/NA 7

The white # is too high, most expect 2016 to be 70% white. And Hispanics should be around 12% though looks like they don't even weight by Hispanic.
Logged
Landslide Lyndon
px75
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,830
Greece


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: November 04, 2015, 08:39:07 AM »

Is there anyone who REALLY believes that there is a non-zero chance that Carson will beat the Democratic nominee by double digits?

Few on here believed that there was a non-zero chance that Carson would top the post-debate 'who won?' polls.

Republican primary voters seem to live in an entirely separate universe than the general electorate, so the comparison is not a valid one.
Logged
muon2
Moderators
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,800


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: November 04, 2015, 09:23:25 AM »

I think the only takeaways from this are the following:

In this sample there is a floor of 39% for a Dem and 43% for a Pub.

The 18% elastic voters between the floors like Carson best and Trump least among Pubs, and slightly prefer Sanders to Clinton.

In no head-to-head does this sample have less than 10% undecided.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,639
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: November 04, 2015, 10:02:49 AM »

I seriously doubt the Carson numbers, but Clinton would rather see Trump.  But, Sanders numbers are accurate, he will struggle to get to get to 257 electors.
Logged
Skye
yeah_93
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,581
Venezuela


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: November 04, 2015, 10:05:03 AM »

Where's Bush?
Logged
Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,723
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: November 04, 2015, 10:12:12 AM »

Is there anyone who REALLY believes that there is a non-zero chance that Carson will beat the Democratic nominee by double digits?

What part of "BIGGEST LANDSLIDE SINCE 1984!!!11!!1!1" do you not understand? Tongue
Logged
henster
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,985


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: November 04, 2015, 10:27:26 AM »

If Hillary has to rely on Trump being the nominee in order to win then we're ed. Despite what people said, no the debate and testimony didn't solve everything that has been wrong with her campaign. People still don't like her, trust her, and she's still a terrible campaigner. When Biden bowed out the party lost.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,639
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: November 04, 2015, 11:09:09 AM »

Clinton isnt relying on Trump. But, his lead in NH & FL are unshakable. He's got the money, but Clinton dont want Rubio as nominee.
Logged
RFayette
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,959
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: November 04, 2015, 11:42:47 AM »

Ah in both this one and the primary, Quinnipiac strikes again.
Yeah, I don't really trust Quinnipiac.
Logged
Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,471
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: November 04, 2015, 12:55:30 PM »

Carson is scary. When will people start to pay attention to what he's saying?
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,639
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: November 04, 2015, 01:06:17 PM »

Carson is still way back to Trump in NH, MI & FL He's still  got a long way.
Logged
EliteLX
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,037
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.64, S: 0.85

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: November 04, 2015, 01:26:42 PM »
« Edited: November 04, 2015, 01:35:40 PM by EliteLX »

Carson is still way back to Trump in NH, MI & FL He's still  got a long way.

I'm not a Carson fan, but this is simply not true. Carson is now leading everyone and is #1 in national RCP polling averages and his statewide pollings show him #1 in just about all states and if not he's within a 4-5 point margin max of trump and climbing. Besides, haven't all the recent Michigan polls had Trump down to Carson as well?
Logged
Ljube
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,059
Political Matrix
E: 2.71, S: -6.09

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: November 04, 2015, 02:42:46 PM »

Carson is scary. When will people start to pay attention to what he's saying?

Carson is not scary. When will you start to pay attention to what he's saying?
Logged
eric82oslo
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,501
Norway


Political Matrix
E: -6.00, S: -5.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: November 04, 2015, 02:53:30 PM »

Carson 50% Clinton 40%
Rubio 46% Clinton 41%
Christie 46% Clinton 41%

Clinton 46% Trump 43%

Now that's what I call interesting mister Trump. Cheesy
Logged
eric82oslo
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,501
Norway


Political Matrix
E: -6.00, S: -5.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: November 04, 2015, 02:56:46 PM »

Is there anyone who REALLY believes that there is a non-zero chance that Carson will beat the Democratic nominee by double digits?

Not really. Tongue Wink Though it's a million times more likely than Trump beating Hillary by double digits. Wink
Logged
eric82oslo
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,501
Norway


Political Matrix
E: -6.00, S: -5.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: November 04, 2015, 02:58:54 PM »

Is there anyone who REALLY believes that there is a non-zero chance that Carson will beat the Democratic nominee by double digits?

Few on here believed that there was a non-zero chance that Carson would top the post-debate 'who won?' polls.

I was probably the only user here who believed he would top the who won polls after the first debate. Tongue
Logged
eric82oslo
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,501
Norway


Political Matrix
E: -6.00, S: -5.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: November 04, 2015, 03:02:57 PM »

Carson is scary. When will people start to pay attention to what he's saying?

I think you're confusing Carson with Trump. Try again.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,639
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: November 04, 2015, 03:07:34 PM »

Carson isnt 10 pts ahead. He's likely up by 3-4 pts. But, Sanders is weak, he's a liberal nominee struggling to get 257 electors.
Logged
Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,471
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: November 04, 2015, 11:28:50 PM »

Carson is scary. When will people start to pay attention to what he's saying?

Carson is not scary. When will you start to pay attention to what he's saying?


I have. That's how I know that he's a religious nutter, a scam artist and someone who doesn't understand many policy issues.

Carson is scary. When will people start to pay attention to what he's saying?

I think you're confusing Carson with Trump. Try again.

No, Trump is a reasonable moderate compared to Carson on most issues excluding immigration.

Carson isnt 10 pts ahead. He's likely up by 3-4 pts. But, Sanders is weak, he's a liberal nominee struggling to get 257 electors.

Nonsensical non sequitur alert.
Logged
DS0816
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,140
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: November 05, 2015, 08:48:44 AM »

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/images/polling/us/us11042015_demos_xsq33a.pdf

RACE
White 74
Black 12
Hispanic 7
Other/DK/NA 7

The white # is too high, most expect 2016 to be 70% white. And Hispanics should be around 12% though looks like they don't even weight by Hispanic.

The 18-to-29 voting-age group was oversampled. The 65+ group was oversampled.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.049 seconds with 13 queries.