LAT/USC/Survey - Natl: Trump 25, Carson 21; CA: Trump 20, Carson 19
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  LAT/USC/Survey - Natl: Trump 25, Carson 21; CA: Trump 20, Carson 19
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Author Topic: LAT/USC/Survey - Natl: Trump 25, Carson 21; CA: Trump 20, Carson 19  (Read 1105 times)
Likely Voter
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Junior Chimp
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« on: November 07, 2015, 05:37:27 PM »
« edited: November 08, 2015, 03:42:22 PM by Likely Voter »

LA Times/USC/Survey Monkey (Oct 29 - Nov 3)
UPDATED: Full details

GOP - National
Trump 25%
Carson 21%
Rubio 12%
Cruz 10%
Fiorina 4%
Bush 4%
Kasich 2%
Paul 2%
Huckabee 2%
Christie 1%
Santorum 1%
Jindal 1%
Graham 0%
Pataki 0%
Gilmore 0%

GOP - California
Trump 20%
Carson 19%
Rubio 14%
Cruz 11%
Fiorina 6%
Bush 4%
Paul 3%
Christie 2%
Kasich 1%
Huckabee 1%
Santorum 1%
Graham 1%
Jindal 0%
Pataki 0%
Gilmore 0%


Full details PDF:
http://dornsife.usc.edu/assets/sites/1/docs/news_events/2015/lat_poll_nov15/USC_LAT_SurveyMonkey_Poll_Topline_and_Banners_-_Sunday_Results.pdf

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retromike22
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« Reply #1 on: November 07, 2015, 09:37:03 PM »

I do not trust surveys by monkeys
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #2 on: November 07, 2015, 09:42:02 PM »


But if you survey 1000 of them, they might produce something great:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=no_elVGGgW8
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #3 on: November 08, 2015, 02:36:29 AM »

3rd poll in a row to have Bush at 4% not good for Jeb.
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jfern
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« Reply #4 on: November 08, 2015, 03:02:40 AM »

3rd poll in a row to have Bush at 4% not good for Jeb.

These last 3 polls have been quite consistent.
Trump 24-26
Carson 21-23
Rubio and Cruz 11-14
Bush 4

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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #5 on: November 08, 2015, 07:23:31 AM »

Full #s:

http://www.latimes.com/nation/politics/la-na-presidential-poll-20151108-story.html


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RI
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« Reply #6 on: November 08, 2015, 01:24:20 PM »

New Poll: California President by LA Times on 2015-11-03

Summary:
Trump:
20%
Carson:
19%
Rubio:
14%
Cruz:
11%
Fiorina:
6%
Other:
16%
Undecided:
14%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #7 on: November 08, 2015, 01:33:18 PM »

Results by CA region

Central Valley: Trump 26, Cruz 20, Carson 15, Rubio 8, Fiorina 5
SF Bay Area: Carson 19, Trump 17, Cruz 13, Rubio 11, Fiorina 4
LA County: Rubio 29, Trump 17, Carson 14, Cruz 8, Bush 6, Fiorina 4
OC/San Diego: Trump 18, Carson 17, Rubio 13, Cruz 7, Fiorina 6, Bush 5
Inland Empire: Carson 33, Trump 20, Cruz 10, Bush 6, Fiorina 5, Rubio 3
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Likely Voter
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« Reply #8 on: November 08, 2015, 03:43:45 PM »

Updated OP with full numbers.

Also noted that poll cutoff date was last Tuesday November 3rd, so before all the negative press for Carson.
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #9 on: November 08, 2015, 05:50:11 PM »

Apparently Rubio does his best with Asians. Wouldn't have guessed that one. Hispanics like Cruz more than him.
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H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY
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« Reply #10 on: November 08, 2015, 06:05:32 PM »

Bush in sixth, ouch.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #11 on: November 08, 2015, 08:49:36 PM »

Apparently Rubio does his best with Asians. Wouldn't have guessed that one. Hispanics like Cruz more than him.

In California.  In the US as a whole, Rubio best racial group is Hispanics, doing better than Cruz.  Though Carson leads both of them among Hispanics.  But we're talking about a sample of 63, so...

In California, who leads among…?
men: Trump
women: Carson
age 18-29: Trump
age 30-49: Carson
age 50-64: Trump
age 65+: Carson
non-Hispanic white: Carson/Trump tie
black: Trump
Hispanic: Carson
Asian: Trump
high school degree or less: Trump
some college: Carson
college degree: Rubio
Central Valley: Trump
SF Bay Area: Carson
LA County: Rubio
Orange County / San Diego: Trump
Inland Empire: Carson
Republicans: Trump
Independents: Carson

In the USA as a whole, who leads among…?
men: Trump
women: Carson
age 18-29: Carson
age 30-49: Trump
age 50-64: Carson/Trump tie
age 65+: Trump
non-Hispanic white: Trump
black: Kasich
Hispanic: Carson
Asian: Trump
high school degree or less: Trump
some college: Trump
college degree: Carson
Midwest: Carson
Northeast: Trump
South: Trump
West: Carson/Trump tie

More detailed look at regional breakdown…

Midwest:
Carson 24%
Trump 20%
Cruz 13%
Rubio 9%

Northeast:
Trump 37%
Carson 12%
Rubio 12%
Cruz 5%
Fiorina 5%

South:
Trump 24%
Carson 21%
Rubio 14%
Cruz 12%

West:
Carson 24%
Trump 24%
Cruz 9%
Rubio 9%
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