272: Hillary Clinton(D-NY)/Cory Booker(D-NJ) - 47.1%
266: Carly Fiorina(R-CA)/Cory Gardner(R-CO) - 49.6%
President Híllary Clinton had a bad first two years. First Christine Todd Whitman held Menendez's Senate seat in a special election in 2017 and midterms in 2018 after Menendez was impeached on bribery charges.
The 2017 special elections in New Jersey were:
(Menendez)
55%: Christine Todd Whitman
43%: Lisa Jackson
(Booker)
51%: Kim Guadagno
47%: Steven Fulop
Clinton's approval ratings were 43-52 in November of 2017, 39-54 in November of 2018, and 44-50 in November of 2019. After stunning across the board defeats and extremely high unpopularity, Clinton declined to run for a second term in August of 2019. Vice President Booker faced stiff competition from Senator Russ Feingold, Senator Kirsten Gillibrand, and Representative Jared Polis. Governor Charlie Baker would easily win the Wisconsin primary(44%-28%-27%) as Senator Ted Cruz, Governor Marco Rubio, and Senator Rand Paul split the Tea Party vote before that but Senator Cruz dropped out to endorse Paul. This killing blow would lead Marco Rubio to carry on for just three more states before dropping out and endorsing Baker, thereby giving him the needed boost to win before the April 19 primaries. Baker had had >66.7% of the needed delegates to win the primaries since March 15 and had led in delegate count since his double whammy in New Hampshire-Michigan followed up by a three-four in Nevada and South Carolina.
Senator Angus King had become a non-caucusing Independent as per campaign promises in January 2019.
The final shortlists were:
Democratic:
Senator Amy Klobuchar
Senator Russ Feingold
Senator Catherine Masto
Governor Gavin Newsom
Rep. Joaquin Castro
Rep. Jared Polis
Republican:
Senator Joni Ernst
Senator Susanna Martinez
Senator Cory Gardner
Governor Mario Rubio
Representative Justin Amash
355: Gov. Charlie Baker(R-MA)/Sen. Susanna Martinez(R-NM) - 53.8%
183: Vice Pres. Cory Booker(D-NJ)/Rep. Jared Polis(D-CO) - 45.1%
Clinton's approval ratings when reduced to <1% undecided is 46-53 on Election Day. What do you think happens?
Discuss with maps.
