Jerry Brown defeat George Bush in 1992?

[Sasquatch]

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http://www.nytimes.com/1992/04/01/us/the-1992-campaign-poll-clinton-dogged-by-voter-doubt-poll-of-us-says.html

This was the state of the race at the end of March 1992.

Would Jerry Brown have surpassed Bush like Clinton did?

What percentage of the vote would Perot have gotten in a Brown vs Bush race?

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Of course Brown wins. Presidents don't get reelected with circa 40% approvals.

[Kingpoleon]

359: Fmr Gov. Jerry Brown(D-CA)/Sen. Sam Nunn(D-GA) - 42.0%
172: Pres. George Bush(R-TX)/Rep. Jack Kemp(R-NY)
007: Businessman Ross Perot(I-TX)/Mayor Frank Fasi(I-HI)

[Intell]

359: Fmr Gov. Jerry Brown(D-CA)/Sen. Sam Nunn(D-GA) - 42.0%
172: Pres. George Bush(R-TX)/Rep. Jack Kemp(R-NY)
007: Businessman Ross Perot(I-TX)/Mayor Frank Fasi(I-HI)

Your maps...

[Kingpoleon]

359: Fmr Gov. Jerry Brown(D-CA)/Sen. Sam Nunn(D-GA) - 42.0%
172: Pres. George Bush(R-TX)/Rep. Jack Kemp(R-NY)
007: Businessman Ross Perot(I-TX)/Mayor Frank Fasi(I-HI)

Your maps...

... Alaska and Hawaii probably shouldn't flip, but it's not like Brown is going to carry Arkansas, Louisiana, and Tennessee.

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

359: Fmr Gov. Jerry Brown(D-CA)/Sen. Sam Nunn(D-GA) - 42.0%
172: Pres. George Bush(R-TX)/Rep. Jack Kemp(R-NY)
007: Businessman Ross Perot(I-TX)/Mayor Frank Fasi(I-HI)

If Clinton, the southern good ole boy could not win VA,NC,SC, then Jerry Brown sure as hell wouldn't. The upper south was much more winnable for the Democrats then, Jerry Brown may have won some of the upper southern states like Clinton did.  VA and NC were Conservative tobacco states.The last 2 decades have brought enormous demographic  and cultural changes benefiting the Democrats in those states.

[ProgressiveCanadian]

A more normal Jerry Brown win.

Brown/Tsongas 320EV
Bush/Quayle 218EV

Brown gains in northeast and in California as Bush does better in the south without Clinton.

[Sir Mohamed]

Jerry does underperform Clinton a little bit (especially in the south), but still wins:

DEM: Jerry Brown/Sam Nunn: 322 EV. (40.9 %)
REP: George Bush/Dan Quayle: 213 EV. (38.5%)
IND: Ross Perrot/Frank Fasi: 3 EV. (19.8 %)