Why would a state that voted solidly to re-elect Dayton and Franken in the 2014 midterm slaughter turn around and vote Republican in 2016?
Easy poll to dismiss.
Dayton and Franken weren't seriously challenged.
And why weren't they seriously challenged?
Because MN republicans would rather sit in their safe house seats/retirement because they fear a narrow loss. And, yeah, that would have happened with Franken. But Dayton only won by 5.5% against his gadfly opponent, which leaves me not completely sure that he was completely safe. After all, Downballot it was a mixed at best night for dems - they held MN-7/8 but MN-1 was closer than expected, and they lost the state house.