For this cycle, which pollsters are among the worst?
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  For this cycle, which pollsters are among the worst? 		« previous next »
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Author Topic: For this cycle, which pollsters are among the worst?  (Read 647 times)
weixiaobao
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« on: November 11, 2015, 04:57:43 PM »
Because of the discrepancies of online polls vs phone polls.

What are some pollsters that you think consistently bad?

I feel like I should leave some pollsters out while doing my average.  I am not quite sure which, so I posed this question.

Like Survey Monkey is pretty good so far.

Sometimes Reuters reflect the trend of other polls, but mostly it just in its own lalala world.  Reuters are even more so than Morning Consult to put Bush at higher #s than other polls while downgrade people like Rubio and Cruz.

YouGov is decent.

Morning Consult is erhhh.  Wildly inconsistent week in and week out.  Though in fairness, the direction of whether Trump go up or down is consistent with other polls.

Well, I stop caring for Gravis one day after poll.  Their other polls favored Trump, but their other #s are pretty more consistent compare to say Reuters.

Zogby poll was the only one that show Trump increase after the 2nd debate, opposite to every other polls.

Fox and CBS poll sometime trend opposite of other polls also.

For now, I am thinking of getting rid of Morning Consult.  Then maybe Reuters follow.

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yankeesfan
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« Reply #1 on: November 11, 2015, 06:23:18 PM »
We won't know until some votes are cast
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bobloblaw
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« Reply #2 on: November 11, 2015, 07:32:43 PM »
Well based on 2014 and 2015, the Blue Grass Poll in KY is the worst by far.
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jfern
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« Reply #3 on: November 11, 2015, 08:33:22 PM »
Emerson College and Gravis are both pretty bad.
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Volrath50
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« Reply #4 on: November 11, 2015, 09:12:58 PM »
We have no real idea who is good or bad until February.
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weixiaobao
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« Reply #5 on: November 11, 2015, 09:20:13 PM »
Quote from: Volrath50 on November 11, 2015, 09:12:58 PM
We have no real idea who is good or bad until February.

Well I meant for now really, so should I include them all in the average like Huffington Post does?
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Talleyrand
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« Reply #6 on: November 11, 2015, 10:33:55 PM »
Morning Consult and Gravis are the WORST. Would have included Zogby too, but I don't think those are entered into the database anymore.
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Coolface Sock #42069
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« Reply #7 on: November 11, 2015, 10:36:26 PM »
Gravis sucks. Definitely leave them out.

Public Policy is usually pretty good. Fox News isn't too bad. Rasmussen is unpredictable.

Never trust internal polls, either.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #8 on: November 12, 2015, 01:21:23 AM »
1. Zogby
2. Gravis
3. All Internals
4. SUSA in KY
5. Western KY University
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Ebsy
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« Reply #9 on: November 12, 2015, 01:25:28 AM »
Zogby is a net negative to political discourse.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #10 on: November 12, 2015, 08:25:39 AM »
Survey USA has Hillary Clinton winning in Florida yet losing in Minnesota. Aargh!
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