Anti-bellwethers
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Author Topic: Anti-bellwethers  (Read 980 times)
bagelman
Junior Chimp
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« on: November 11, 2015, 08:38:57 PM »

Are there any counties or towns that tend to vote for the loser more often than a county that always votes for the same party every time?
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darthebearnc
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: November 11, 2015, 09:10:06 PM »

Regarding the last four presidential elections, I would guess that any county that voted for both Kerry in 2004 and McCain in 2008 is pretty anti-bellwether, as Obama won basically all his 2012 counties in 2008 and Bush won basically all his 2000 counties in 2004.

Tennessee seems to have the most examples.
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Figueira
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« Reply #2 on: November 11, 2015, 09:34:55 PM »

Heath, Massachusetts, voted for Goldwater and Mondale.
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SingingAnalyst
mathstatman
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« Reply #3 on: December 13, 2020, 05:32:05 PM »

Heath, Massachusetts, voted for Goldwater and Mondale.
That's fascinating! Did Heath vote for McGovern as well?

Lincoln, MA voted for the loser every election from 1968-1988 (as well as in 1960), though it has been reliably Democratic ever since.
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H. Ross Peron
General Mung Beans
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« Reply #4 on: December 13, 2020, 05:40:46 PM »

Heath, Massachusetts, voted for Goldwater and Mondale.

I'm guessing it underwent the same demographic changes as Vermont, from a small Yankee village to taking in a lot of transplants from NYC and other urban areas who wished to have a rural lifestyle?
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E-Dawg 🇺🇦🇦🇲
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« Reply #5 on: December 13, 2020, 06:22:44 PM »
« Edited: December 13, 2020, 06:46:13 PM by Guy »

Porterville, CA in Tulare County voted McCain-Romney-Clinton-Trump. Fountain Valley in Orange County also appears to be a McCain-Romney-Clinton-Trump city. Westminster came close, voting McCain-Obama-Clinton-Trump.
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Squidward500
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« Reply #6 on: December 14, 2020, 03:17:43 PM »

Kenedy County TX (although it’s tiny)
Romney-Clinton-Trump.

Trump actually won the largest voter share there in s while. Being rural snd heavily Latino, it swung right wildly with the rest of south texas
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E-Dawg 🇺🇦🇦🇲
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« Reply #7 on: December 17, 2020, 02:28:02 AM »

Texas 23rd congressinal district voted Romney Clinton Trump
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