FL/GA: Opinion Savvy/InsiderAdvantage: Carson & Trump ahead, Rubio surges in FL

[Tender Branson]

FL:

23% Trump
22% Carson
18% Rubio
12% Cruz
11% Bush

GA:

26% Carson
24% Trump
14% Cruz
  9% Rubio
  8% Bush

http://opinionsavvy.com/2015/11/12/poll-trump-and-carson-lead-in-florida-georgia-rubios-debate-performance-praised

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It would actually be fun to see a map where the candidates end up winning by one and two-point margins like this.

[weixiaobao]

These kinda state polls (and almost 95% of state polls since the 3rd debate) paint a picture that either Carson is leading or it is very close to a tie.  It made me really question Morning Consult and Reuters.

[Senator Cris]

Full #s:

FLORIDA:

23% Trump
22% Carson
18% Rubio
12% Cruz
11% Bush
  5% Fiorina
  3% Christie
  3% Kasich
  1% Huckabee
  1% Paul

GEORGIA:

26% Carson
24% Trump
14% Cruz
  9% Rubio
  8% Bush
  6% Fiorina
  4% Christie
  2% Kasich
  2% Huckabee
  1% Paul
  1% Graham
  
http://opinionsavvy.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/11/FL-Prez-11.12.15.pdf
http://opinionsavvy.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/11/GA-Prez-11.12.15.pdf

Both polls are post-debate polls.

[Mr. Morden]

who leads in FL among…?
age 18-29: Trump
age 30-44: Carson
age 45-64: Carson
age 65+: Trump
whites: Trump
blacks: Trump
Hispanics: Rubio
men: Trump
women: Carson

who leads in GA among…?
age 18-29: Carson
age 30-44: Carson
age 45-64: Carson
age 65+: Trump
whites: Carson
blacks: Carson
Hispanics: Trump
men: Trump
women: Carson

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who leads in GA among…?

Hispanics: Trump

:I

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

TRUMP WAS RIGHT, HE HAS THE HISPANICS IN DA BAG!

[Mr. Morden]

TRUMP WAS RIGHT, HE HAS THE HISPANICS IN DA BAG!

Only the Mexican ones.  Rubio has got the Cubans, as seen by his Florida #s.

Should also note that in the Georgia poll, there were only 7 blacks included in this GOP primary sample, and 7 Hispanics as well.  So the sample size is rather small.