Morning Consult nat. poll: D: Clinton 57% Sanders 26%; R: Trump 38% Carson 19%

[Mr. Morden]

Morning Consult national poll, conducted Nov. 13-16:

http://morningconsult.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/11/MC-Tracking-Poll-Toplines-November-13-16-2015.pdf

Dems

Clinton 57%
Sanders 26%
O’Malley 2%

GOP

Trump 38%
Carson 19%
Cruz 7%
Rubio 7%
Bush 6%
Fiorina 3%
Huckabee 3%
Christie 2%
Paul 2%
Graham 1%
Kasich 1%
Jindal, Pataki, Santorum 0%

[Likely Voter]

Change since last week's Morning Consult poll (before GOP and Dem debates)

DEM
Clinton +3
O’Malley -1
Sanders -2

GOP
Trump +3
Fiorina +1
Graham +1
Carson --
Cruz --
Rubio --
Huckabee --
Christie --
Paul --
Kasich --
Pataki --
Santorum -1
Jindal -1
Bush -2

[weixiaobao]

This is why I don't want to include Morning Consult in my average anymore.

[Kingpoleon]

>Morning Consult

[Fusionmunster]

We don't actually know if Morning Consult is any good or not, I'm pretty sure this is their first time polling a national election. So while I dont think writing them off is a good idea, a healthy dose of skepticism seems appropriate.

[weixiaobao]

We don't actually know if Morning Consult is any good or not, I'm pretty sure this is their first time polling a national election. So while I dont think writing them off is a good idea, a healthy dose of skepticism seems appropriate.

Hmm, Morning Consult chunking out national polls every week for the past months.  I did think they learn something by now.  Especially they have other polls to compare to.

But I understand your point.

[Mr. Morden]

Trendline from all the internet polls:



Trendline from all the live interview telephone polls:

[weixiaobao]

I know which are the internet polls.  But can you list all of them?  I want to see which one I missed.

[Mr. Morden]

I know which are the internet polls.  But can you list all of them?  I want to see which one I missed.

Go here:

link

All of the highlighted polls (e.g., Morning Consult, Ipsos/Reuters, etc.) are internet polls.
 

[Phony Moderate]

Trendline from all the internet polls:



Trendline from all the live interview telephone polls:

Does this suggest something of a 'shy Trump factor'?

[Mr. Morden]

Trendline from all the internet polls:



Trendline from all the live interview telephone polls:

Does this suggest something of a 'shy Trump factor'?

It could.  But it could also suggest a "this methodology is not very good at producing a random sample of the electorate" factor.

[Lief 🗽]

Looks like TRUMP is surging again. I think the people are finally waking up and realizing that the Republican party needs to elect someone STRONG, a good leader, instead of a puppet that looks like a baby or a retarded doctor.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Trump will win the primary, but the refuge crisis isnt just a mideast thing, it is a Latino issue,as well. When, the comments about a fense or a wall goes up between US & Mecico, Clinton will ne prez.

But, yes, the terror attacks are helping Trump.