Morning Consult nat. poll: D: Clinton 57% Sanders 26%; R: Trump 38% Carson 19% (user search)

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2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls

Morning Consult nat. poll: D: Clinton 57% Sanders 26%; R: Trump 38% Carson 19% (search mode)

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Topic: Morning Consult nat. poll: D: Clinton 57% Sanders 26%; R: Trump 38% Carson 19% (Read 674 times)

Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend

Posts: 44,066

« on: November 17, 2015, 03:42:50 PM »

Morning Consult national poll, conducted Nov. 13-16:

http://morningconsult.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/11/MC-Tracking-Poll-Toplines-November-13-16-2015.pdf

Dems

Clinton 57%
Sanders 26%
O’Malley 2%

GOP

Trump 38%
Carson 19%
Cruz 7%
Rubio 7%
Bush 6%
Fiorina 3%
Huckabee 3%
Christie 2%
Paul 2%
Graham 1%
Kasich 1%
Jindal, Pataki, Santorum 0%

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Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend

Posts: 44,066

« Reply #1 on: November 18, 2015, 08:11:47 AM »

Trendline from all the internet polls:

Trendline from all the live interview telephone polls:

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Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend

Posts: 44,066

« Reply #2 on: November 18, 2015, 08:38:35 AM »

I know which are the internet polls. But can you list all of them? I want to see which one I missed.

Go here:

link

All of the highlighted polls (e.g., Morning Consult, Ipsos/Reuters, etc.) are internet polls.

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Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend

Posts: 44,066

« Reply #3 on: November 18, 2015, 09:17:55 AM »

Trendline from all the internet polls:

Trendline from all the live interview telephone polls:

Does this suggest something of a 'shy Trump factor'?

It could. But it could also suggest a "this methodology is not very good at producing a random sample of the electorate" factor.

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