NH-Fox News: Trump leads, Sanders +1
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  NH-Fox News: Trump leads, Sanders +1
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Author Topic: NH-Fox News: Trump leads, Sanders +1  (Read 2134 times)
Skye
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« on: November 18, 2015, 06:12:53 PM »

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/interactive/2015/11/18/fox-news-poll-trump-sanders-lead-respective-primaries-in-new-hampshire/

Trump 27
Rubio 13
Cruz 11
Bush 9
Carson 9
Kasich 7
Christie 6
Fiorina 3
Paul 3
Graham 1
Huckabee 1
Santorum 1

Sanders 45
Clinton 41
O'Malley 5
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Maxwell
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« Reply #1 on: November 18, 2015, 06:19:12 PM »
« Edited: November 18, 2015, 06:26:33 PM by MW Senator Max »

Excellent news! The forces of the establishment are fighting amongst themselves to keep The Donald ahead! What a great poll.

Rubio 13
Bush 9
Kasich 7
Christie 6
Graham 1
Total Establishment vote - 36%

Trump 27
Cruz 11
Carson 9
?Fiorina? 3
Total Outsider - 50%
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pikachu
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« Reply #2 on: November 18, 2015, 06:22:34 PM »

A prediction that's going to look really bad in a few months: Christie's going to beat all the other establishment candidates in New Hampshire.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #3 on: November 18, 2015, 06:58:04 PM »

Gravis Marketing confirmed to be trash once again.
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ProgressiveCanadian
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« Reply #4 on: November 18, 2015, 07:17:33 PM »

Gravis Marketing confirmed to be trash once again.
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Mehmentum
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« Reply #5 on: November 18, 2015, 07:25:05 PM »

Gravis Marketing confirmed to be trash once again.
Well, with the Democrats.  With the Republicans Gravis was pretty much spot on.
Trump 29
Cruz 12
Rubio 10
Christie 8
Bush 8
Carson 7
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eric82oslo
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« Reply #6 on: November 18, 2015, 08:23:03 PM »

A prediction that's going to look really bad in a few months: Christie's going to beat all the other establishment candidates in New Hampshire.

At least it's more likely that Christie will win New Hampshire, than Bush winning it at this point.

My predicition for the 4 most likely winners of New Hampshire primary:

1) Rubio
2) Christie
3) Bush or Kasich, basically a tie, I'd need at least 2-3-4 more weeks to decide who's the NH front runner among them.
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Holmes
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« Reply #7 on: November 18, 2015, 08:25:49 PM »

You're in serious denial if you think Bush, Kasich or Christie will perform better than Trump in New Hampshire.
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #8 on: November 18, 2015, 08:26:34 PM »

Hey, at least Sanders is ahead.
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eric82oslo
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« Reply #9 on: November 18, 2015, 08:36:08 PM »

You're in serious denial if you think Bush, Kasich or Christie will perform better than Trump in New Hampshire.

Nope. I have very good reasons to think so. I see that Trump must be some kind of God to you, since you hide away from all obvious historical and other facts so evidently there to see that one would simply have to be blind to not even recognize them being there. Wink Trump is definitely a better campaigner than Santorum in 2012, yet he's still a far worse messenger than Huckabee was in 2008. And where did Huckabee end up? Right. If Huckabee couldn't challenge a seriously wounded McCain in 2008, then how on earth could Trump come anywhere near to Rubio, who is one of the best campaigners the Republican party has ever seen since it's inception (unlike McCain who was quite mediocre to say it very mildly).
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #10 on: November 18, 2015, 08:58:15 PM »

You're in serious denial if you think Bush, Kasich or Christie will perform better than Trump in New Hampshire.

Nope. I have very good reasons to think so. I see that Trump must be some kind of God to you, since you hide away from all obvious historical and other facts so evidently there to see that one would simply have to be blind to not even recognize them being there. Wink Trump is definitely a better campaigner than Santorum in 2012, yet he's still a far worse messenger than Huckabee was in 2008. And where did Huckabee end up? Right. If Huckabee couldn't challenge a seriously wounded McCain in 2008, then how on earth could Trump come anywhere near to Rubio, who is one of the best campaigners the Republican party has ever seen since it's inception (unlike McCain who was quite mediocre to say it very mildly).

Trump is a vastly superior candidate to Huckabee, and everything that's occurred thus far suggests he won't be taken down so easily. He's basically reinvented the way campaigns work this cycle, and everyone else is busy playing catch up.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #11 on: November 19, 2015, 12:02:20 AM »

Wait, is Sanders +1 or +4? The numbers don't match the title.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #12 on: November 19, 2015, 12:03:49 AM »

did eric82oslo just say Trump is a worse messenger than Mike Huckabee?

I mean, I try not to be too harsh, but how stupid can you be?
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ProgressiveCanadian
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« Reply #13 on: November 19, 2015, 12:45:57 AM »

did eric82oslo just say Trump is a worse messenger than Mike Huckabee?

I mean, I try not to be too harsh, but how stupid can you be?

Him trying to compare from past primaires is dumb. This election cycle throws all logic from past elections out the window.
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #14 on: November 19, 2015, 05:12:55 PM »

Likelihood of winning New Hampshire:

Donald Trump* - 25%
John Kasich** - 20%
Marco Rubio - 15%
Jeb Bush - 15%
Ben Carson - 10%
Field - 15%

*He has an awful ground game here. He's more likely to win Iowa because of turnout levels. I don't expect him to continue to go unchallenged.
**Amazing staff on the ground, good campaign. He's at a low point right now in New Hampshire. I expect him to start gaining more ground in the future.
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