VA: Roanoke College: Carson ties Clinton, but all other GOPers trail
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  VA: Roanoke College: Carson ties Clinton, but all other GOPers trail
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Author Topic: VA: Roanoke College: Carson ties Clinton, but all other GOPers trail  (Read 2782 times)
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realisticidealist
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« on: November 19, 2015, 09:17:29 PM »

Nov 9-13, 555 LV, MoE +/- 4.2%

Clinton 44, Carson 44
Clinton 45, Rubio 41
Clinton 50, Trump 36
Clinton 46, Bush 39
Clinton 46, Fiorina 39
Clinton 47, Cruz 39
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #1 on: November 19, 2015, 09:31:03 PM »

Interesting that Republicans have had great poll numbers in most states this week, but Virginia is an exception. Just an observation.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #2 on: November 19, 2015, 09:34:56 PM »

This is a great poll for Clinton, considering the Republican bias of Roanoke's past polls.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #3 on: November 20, 2015, 02:13:27 AM »

I will know the election is over when Fox News calls Virginia for Clinton next November.
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ProgressiveCanadian
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« Reply #4 on: November 20, 2015, 05:43:31 AM »

Jesus the Clinton vs trump numbers...
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EliteLX
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« Reply #5 on: November 20, 2015, 07:59:31 AM »

The Republican Committee better have Virginia on it's top priority election season.

Don't elect a potato and run a hell of a ground game or they're in trouble.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #6 on: November 20, 2015, 08:45:14 AM »


That's good, looks like they adjusted how they take their sample. My reference was based on their 2012 polls.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #7 on: November 20, 2015, 11:27:00 AM »
« Edited: November 20, 2015, 11:30:23 AM by pbrower2a »

Interesting that Republicans have had great poll numbers in most states this week, but Virginia is an exception. Just an observation.

The Virginia electorate may be more astute than the electorates of other states due to the proximity of DC and the large number of government employees.

Republicans and Republican-friendly media may have over-reacted to the terrorist attacks in Paris... and Virginia may be the first state in which people cool it.    

Poll link:

http://www.roanoke.edu/Documents/rcpoll/Nov2015.Consumer%20Sentiment%20and%20Politics%20Topline.pdf 
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Ljube
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« Reply #8 on: November 20, 2015, 03:40:31 PM »

Interesting that Republicans have had great poll numbers in most states this week, but Virginia is an exception. Just an observation.

The Virginia electorate may be more astute than the electorates of other states due to the proximity of DC and the large number of government employees.

Republicans and Republican-friendly media may have over-reacted to the terrorist attacks in Paris... and Virginia may be the first state in which people cool it.    

Poll link:

http://www.roanoke.edu/Documents/rcpoll/Nov2015.Consumer%20Sentiment%20and%20Politics%20Topline.pdf 

Astute? A strange way to refer to parasites.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #9 on: November 20, 2015, 04:54:00 PM »

Interesting that Republicans have had great poll numbers in most states this week, but Virginia is an exception. Just an observation.

The Virginia electorate may be more astute than the electorates of other states due to the proximity of DC and the large number of government employees.

Republicans and Republican-friendly media may have over-reacted to the terrorist attacks in Paris... and Virginia may be the first state in which people cool it.    

Poll link:

http://www.roanoke.edu/Documents/rcpoll/Nov2015.Consumer%20Sentiment%20and%20Politics%20Topline.pdf 

Astute? A strange way to refer to parasites.

I do not consider the armed forces, cops, fire fighters, teachers, tax collectors, judges, prosecutors, public defenders, prison guards, employees of public hospitals, or letter carriers 'parasites'.

 
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #10 on: November 20, 2015, 06:03:52 PM »

There's some resistance to the GOP party. The wages remain flat. But jobs are ample enough to keep a Dem in office.

The Dems can Paint TRUMP as a bankrupt CEO who is out of step with Latinos.

If Dems win CO or Va, and 242 fall into place, Clinton is elected for a 3rd term for Dems.
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EliteLX
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« Reply #11 on: November 20, 2015, 06:43:45 PM »

There's some resistance to the GOP party. The wages remain flat. But jobs are ample enough to keep a Dem in office.

The Dems can Paint TRUMP as a bankrupt CEO who is out of step with Latinos.

If Dems win CO or Va, and 242 fall into place, Clinton is elected for a 3rd term for Dems.

Never heard of that blue wall before! ;-)
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Ljube
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« Reply #12 on: November 20, 2015, 09:08:48 PM »
« Edited: November 20, 2015, 09:13:53 PM by Ljube »

Interesting that Republicans have had great poll numbers in most states this week, but Virginia is an exception. Just an observation.

The Virginia electorate may be more astute than the electorates of other states due to the proximity of DC and the large number of government employees.

Republicans and Republican-friendly media may have over-reacted to the terrorist attacks in Paris... and Virginia may be the first state in which people cool it.    

Poll link:

http://www.roanoke.edu/Documents/rcpoll/Nov2015.Consumer%20Sentiment%20and%20Politics%20Topline.pdf  

Astute? A strange way to refer to parasites.

I do not consider the armed forces, cops, fire fighters, teachers, tax collectors, judges, prosecutors, public defenders, prison guards, employees of public hospitals, or letter carriers 'parasites'.

  

Don’t play dumb! Public sector employees you listed are not found in DC only. What is special about DC is the special kind of government employees that do nothing and suck blood of the hardworking Americans. They are the true parasites. They are your most loyal Democratic voters. All of them. Every single one of them. They are the ones who decide the election.
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madelka
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« Reply #13 on: November 21, 2015, 02:03:33 PM »

Interesting that Republicans have had great poll numbers in most states this week, but Virginia is an exception. Just an observation.

I wonder if the GOP should just abandon VA and try to win with some combination of FL/OH/WI/CO/IA.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #14 on: November 21, 2015, 03:24:40 PM »

Of GOP isnt going to abandon Va, like I stated earlier Dems can win the electoral college with CO, NV, Pa & NH, but neither side is gonna give on OH or Va, either.

Trump is the only GOPer that can lose Va or Ohio, like Mitt Romney did.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #15 on: November 21, 2015, 03:52:11 PM »

Of GOP isnt going to abandon Va, like I stated earlier Dems can win the electoral college with CO, NV, Pa & NH, but neither side is gonna give on OH or Va, either.

Trump is the only GOPer that can lose Va or Ohio, like Mitt Romney did.

This whole "272 freiwal" thing isn't going to happen with Hillary, sorry. If she loses Virginia, it's game over for the Democrats.

That being said, the GOP has to contest at least one of PA/WI/NV/ME-02 in order to prepare for a plausible scenario in which they lose VA.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #16 on: November 22, 2015, 08:08:05 AM »
« Edited: November 22, 2015, 08:14:14 AM by OC »

Of GOP isnt going to abandon Va, like I stated earlier Dems can win the electoral college with CO, NV, Pa & NH, but neither side is gonna give on OH or Va, either.

Trump is the only GOPer that can lose Va or Ohio, like Mitt Romney did.

This whole "272 freiwal" thing isn't going to happen with Hillary, sorry. If she loses Virginia, it's game over for the Democrats.

That being said, the GOP has to contest at least one of PA/WI/NV/ME-02 in order to prepare for a plausible scenario in which they lose VA.


Do you honestly believe the QU poll showing Trump up by 9 points, in CO.  You also have on you prediction Iowa and Pa going R which isnt going to happen either. Its very hard to see Bennett winning and Clinton losing big in CO. I do see Clinton winning CO over Trump

QU has failed to poll the Senate race, which could account for that misleading Registered voter poll, not Likely voter poll, showing GOP up 9
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