Where is NV in a Clinton/Trump election?

[Higgs]

Solid Clinton. The battleground states in a Clinton-Trump race will be Arizona, Texas and Indiana.

Lol

[Camaro33]

Solid Clinton. Nevada has too many Hispanics and Trump would almost assuredly perform worse than Romney in the state.

[5280]

Solid Clinton. The battleground states in a Clinton-Trump race will be Arizona, Texas and Indiana.

That's some strong drugs you're smoking. So in 2020, Idaho and Utah are tossups, because all states will trend democratic ushering a 50 state landslide?

[tallguy23]

With Trump as the nominee, I see Clinton winning Hispanics with margins as high as Obama won blacks.

[Panhandle Progressive]

Solid Clinton. The battleground states in a Clinton-Trump race will be Arizona, Texas and Indiana.

I believe something like this (unexpected swing states) is possible with Trump, Carson or even Cruz as the nominee. Two of these guys have no political experience while the other is extremely conservative and wouldn't be appealing to moderate/independent voters. Republicans better hope either Rubio or Bush wins the nomination. Otherwise it's game over. I agree with Arizona and Indiana but would choose Georgia over Texas and also add Missouri.

[Adam Griffin]

8% of the state is Mormon; considering that Mormons usually over-represent their share of the population in elections, it wouldn't surprise me if they comprised 10% or more of the vote. I'm sure Trump is quite different than Romney in the eyes of many Mormons, who probably as a bloc were 80% Romney in 2012.

The swing of this group alone away from Trump would produce a very noticeable difference (potentially a 4-to-6 point increase in margin of victory); when coupled with the Latino swings against Trump, it would be impossible for Trump to out-perform Romney. Whatever "weirdo rich whites who voted for Obama but might vote for Trump" and/or "low-info whites who are going to come out for Trump when they never came out before" groups there might be won't come close to making up that difference.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Heck has outperformed polls. Given, that CCM will bring out the Latinos in greater Las Vegas metro area, as she represented them as a great Attny Gen, she will help Clinton carry NV.

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

Heck has outperformed polls. Given, that CCM will bring out the Latinos in greater Las Vegas metro area, as she represented them as a great Attny Gen, she will help Clinton carry NV.

Let me introduce you to the concept of reverse coattails which will never have been more relevant than with Donald Trump, a man who owns Las Vegas, at the top of the ticket.