NH-Suffolk/Boston Globe:Trump 22% Rubio 11% Carson 10% Cruz 9% Kasich 9% Bush 8%
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  NH-Suffolk/Boston Globe:Trump 22% Rubio 11% Carson 10% Cruz 9% Kasich 9% Bush 8%
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Author Topic: NH-Suffolk/Boston Globe:Trump 22% Rubio 11% Carson 10% Cruz 9% Kasich 9% Bush 8%  (Read 1104 times)
Mr. Morden
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« on: November 22, 2015, 01:19:26 AM »

Suffolk/Boston Globe poll of New Hampshire, conducted Nov. 17-19:

https://www.bostonglobe.com/metro/2015/11/21/gop-voters-would-prefer-romney/WiU9f86jd19UkXYQfb2yxM/story.html
https://assets.documentcloud.org/documents/2519617/pollcrosstabs.pdf

Trump 22%
Rubio 11%
Carson 10%
Cruz 9%
Kasich 9%
Bush 8%
Christie 4%
Fiorina 4%
Paul 3%
Huckabee 1%
Graham, Pataki, Santorum 0%

If Romney was running:

Romney 31%
Trump 15%
Carson 7%
Cruz 7%
Kasich 6%
Rubio 6%
Bush 3%
Fiorina 3%
Christie 2%
Paul 2%
Huckabee, Pataki, Graham, Santorum 0%

What is the most important issue facing the country right now?

terrorism/national security 42%
jobs/economy 18%
illegal immigration 12%
reducing the national debt 6%
health care 6%
taxes 2%
education 2%
drugs 2%
energy independence 2%
civil liberties 1%
abortion 0%
same sex marriage 0%
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IceSpear
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« Reply #1 on: November 22, 2015, 01:21:03 AM »

Trump 22
Rubio 11
Carson 10
Cruz 9
Kasich 9
Bush 8
Fiorina 4
Christie 4
Paul 3

Romney 31
Trump 15
Carson 7
Cruz 7
Kasich 6
Rubio 6
Bush 3
Fiorina 3
Christie 2
Paul 2

http://www.bostonglobe.com/metro/2015/11/21/gop-voters-would-prefer-romney/WiU9f86jd19UkXYQfb2yxM/story.html?event=event25
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #2 on: November 22, 2015, 01:23:23 AM »

Looks like this won't be used for debate criteria though.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #3 on: November 22, 2015, 01:35:02 AM »

Looks like this won't be used for debate criteria though.

Yeah, it's live interview, but it looks like Suffolk wasn't one of the pollsters explicitly mentioned for inclusion in CNN's debate criteria.  If it was counted, it'd be bad for Paul, as it drags down his average.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #4 on: November 22, 2015, 01:35:22 AM »

Beat me by 2 minutes. Tongue
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #5 on: November 22, 2015, 01:50:25 AM »

This might be the only poll I’ve ever seen in which the crosstabs differentiate between the old and the *very* old.  You’ve got a 65-74 year old group, and then a 75+ year old group.  Those also happen to be the only demographics that Trump loses.

age 65-74:
Kasich 18%
Trump 16%
Rubio 12%
Cruz 10%
Carson 8%
Bush 6%

age 75+:
Bush 17%
Kasich 17%
Rubio 12%
Trump 12%
Cruz 7%
Carson 5%

In contrast, Trump gets 28% of voters under age 35.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #6 on: November 22, 2015, 01:52:44 AM »

This might be the only poll I’ve ever seen in which the crosstabs differentiate between the old and the *very* old.  You’ve got a 65-74 year old group, and then a 75+ year old group.  Those also happen to be the only demographics that Trump loses.

age 65-74:
Kasich 18%
Trump 16%
Rubio 12%
Cruz 10%
Carson 8%
Bush 6%

age 75+:
Bush 17%
Kasich 17%
Rubio 12%
Trump 12%
Cruz 7%
Carson 5%

In contrast, Trump gets 28% of voters under age 35.

The seniors are offended at low energy being used as an insult.
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Likely Voter
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« Reply #7 on: November 22, 2015, 02:59:54 AM »

Carson continues to collapse in NH, which should have been expected. He was never a good fit.

Also, it is interesting how Bush would lose over half of his votes to Romney, much more than any other candidate (even other 'establishment' candidates). This shows that even though Bush has has more ad spending than any other candidate in NH, his support is thin.
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Skye
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« Reply #8 on: November 22, 2015, 09:01:39 AM »

Stop. No more Romney speculation. Please.
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #9 on: November 22, 2015, 08:30:35 PM »

Romney mostly takes from Bush and Rubio. Cruz, Kasich, and Paul fans are least likely to switch.

Also, here's the regional breakdown:

Hillsborough
Trump 25, Cruz 14, Rubio 11, Carson 9, Bush 8, Kasich 8, Christie 3, Paul 3, Fiorina 1

Rockingham
Trump 18, Rubio 14, Carson 10, Kasich 10, Cruz 9, Fiorina 6, Bush 4, Christie 3, Paul 2

Central
Trump 25, Carson 11, Kasich 10, Bush 8, Rubio 8, Cruz 7, Fiorina 6, Christie 4, Paul 3

North/West
Trump 17, Carson 12, Bush 11, Kasich 10, Rubio 10, Christie 7, Cruz 6, Fiorina 5, Paul 3

Better upstate: Kasich, Carson, Bush, Fiorina, Christie
Better downstate: Trump, Cruz, Rubio
Roughly equal: Paul
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Potus
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« Reply #10 on: November 24, 2015, 12:37:02 PM »

Does this say that Trump's lead is about name ID? Or does it speak to the complete adoration the Republican Party has for Mitt Romney?
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Mehmentum
Icefire9
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« Reply #11 on: November 24, 2015, 12:38:47 PM »

Does this say that Trump's lead is about name ID? Or does it speak to the complete adoration the Republican Party has for Mitt Romney?
It speaks only to Romney's massive popularity among New Hampshire Republicans.
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #12 on: November 24, 2015, 12:40:38 PM »

Yeah, if it were name ID, Romney would be polling better than 7% in Iowa.
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