Nate Silver: Dear Media, Stop Freaking Out About Donald Trump’s Polls

[The Other Castro]

No matter what happens with Trump, Nate Silver will end up writing an article at some point showing that he was "right" all along. Even if Trump wins, he'll argue along the same lines of when he says "Oh I wasn't wrong when I said this had a 1% chance of happening, because this was the 1 in the 100 times that it happened."

[The Other Castro]

Also, he says the true Iowa numbers are realistically like this:

CANDIDATE   SUPPORT IN IOWA
Undecided          80%
Donald Trump   5%
Ben Carson   4%
Ted Cruz           3%
Marco Rubio   2%
Jeb Bush           1%
Carly Fiorina   1%
Mike Huckabee   1%
Chris Christie   1%

He's pretty much just pulling numbers out from where the sun don't shine at this point.

[The Other Castro]

I think Atlas is just intimidated by and jealous of Nate Silver.  It's the only reason I can think of why you people seem to have such an irrational hate boner for him.

It is understandably frustrating to a politics-based forum that someone with a spotty record is able to regurgitate the currently held understandings of pundits, even if they are later shown to be incorrect, and have his word treated as gospel every time.