No matter what happens with Trump, Nate Silver will end up writing an article at some point showing that he was "right" all along. Even if Trump wins, he'll argue along the same lines of when he says "Oh I wasn't wrong when I said this had a 1% chance of happening, because this was the 1 in the 100 times that it happened."
Nothing will beat when he was wrong about the college football playoff last year. It was just an event "impossible to predict" and the committee didn't act rationally...math is great, but it doesn't beat strong human intuition.
I'm not saying Trump is anywhere near a lock to win, but he has reasserted himself as the favorite.
So, we're going to rely on Nate Silver trolling when Paul Krugman gave a very strong explanation on the opposite position. 
Paul Krugman is one of those guys who postures himself as an expert on everything. Some might call that a symptom of egomania. Soon, no doubt, he's going to start lecturing Muon2 and myself as to how to redistrict. 
I almost missed this...thanks Max for putting in Irony Ore. Easily one of the best posts of the year! Only challenged by:
I'm receiving advice on Facebook which has been proven time and time again to be some of the best advice I can ever receive.
