IA, NH, SC-CBS/YouGov: Sanders leads NH, but Clinton leads IA, SC
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Author Topic: IA, NH, SC-CBS/YouGov: Sanders leads NH, but Clinton leads IA, SC  (Read 968 times)
Mr. Morden
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« on: November 23, 2015, 08:37:13 PM »
CBS/YouGov polls of IA, NH, and SC, conducted Nov. 15-19:

https://today.yougov.com/news/2015/11/23/poll-clinton-iowa-south-carolina-sanders-new-hamps/
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #1 on: November 23, 2015, 08:38:52 PM »

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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #2 on: November 23, 2015, 08:56:36 PM »
« Edited: November 23, 2015, 08:58:52 PM by Fusionmunster »
Also last month if anyone's curious.

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=221734.0

Edit:
I was looking at the wrong poll, margin of error is fine.
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #3 on: November 23, 2015, 08:58:08 PM »
Clinton seems to have made gains Sad

But at least Sanders' supporters are more enthusiastic; hopefully that means a large number of those supporting Clinton will end up just not voting.
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Bakersfield Uber Alles
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« Reply #4 on: November 23, 2015, 08:58:32 PM »
Looks like Clinton has gained a few points across the board since last month.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #5 on: November 23, 2015, 09:08:23 PM »
Sanders' campaign is in a deep rut, and he made a huge tactical blunder by going hard negative at the Jefferson-Jackson Dinner speech in Iowa last month. Only Clinton wins the Iowa caucus, her momentum will see her through to New Hampshire. And then it's all over.
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #6 on: November 24, 2015, 01:12:25 AM »

As Iowa and Nevada are caucuses, this could turn into a one-two-three punch by Sanders. I highly doubt much more than ~45% of South Carolina would go to Clinton in such a scenario. Perhaps O'Malley seizes a close second place there?
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ProgressiveCanadian
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« Reply #7 on: November 24, 2015, 01:29:46 AM »
« Edited: November 24, 2015, 02:49:37 AM by ProgressiveCanadian »
A slight lead for Hillary in Iowa and Bernie in New Hampshire and blow out in SC...the other polls with Clinton up huge in iowa are a joke.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #8 on: November 24, 2015, 02:00:47 AM »
Quote from: ProgressiveCanadian on November 24, 2015, 01:29:46 AM
A slight lead for Hillary in Iowa and Bernie in sanders and blow out in SC...

Indeed.  I'm surprised that Bernie doesn't have a bigger lead in the state of Sanders.
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ProgressiveCanadian
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« Reply #9 on: November 24, 2015, 02:55:03 AM »
Quote from: Mr. Morden on November 24, 2015, 02:00:47 AM
Quote from: ProgressiveCanadian on November 24, 2015, 01:29:46 AM
A slight lead for Hillary in Iowa and Bernie in sanders and blow out in SC...

Indeed.  I'm surprised that Bernie doesn't have a bigger lead in the state of Sanders.


Fixed. If Clinton loses either IA or NH this race gets much closer.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #10 on: November 24, 2015, 04:16:32 AM »
It's also YouGov which has had Sanders out performing his polling averages pretty consistent. They might be right, but I wouldn't get too excited about them.

Quote from: ʕ•ᴥ•ʔ on November 23, 2015, 08:58:08 PM
Clinton seems to have made gains Sad

But at least Sanders' supporters are more enthusiastic; hopefully that means a large number of those supporting Clinton will end up just not voting.

Nah, unlikely.
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #11 on: November 24, 2015, 09:40:42 AM »
Quote from: ProgressiveCanadian on November 24, 2015, 01:29:46 AM
A slight lead for Hillary in Iowa and Bernie in New Hampshire and blow out in SC...the other polls with Clinton up huge in iowa are a joke.

Yes, Yougov really is the gold standard...
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #12 on: November 24, 2015, 10:14:43 AM »
YouGov always has very good numbers for Sanders, so these results would be worrying, if the Sandernistas hadn't completely detached themselves from reality by now.
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