IA-Quinnipiac:Trump 25% Cruz 23% Carson 18% Rubio 13% Paul 5% Bush 4% Fiorina 3%

[Mr. Morden]

Quinnipiac poll of Iowa, conducted Nov. 16-22:

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/iowa/release-detail?ReleaseID=2305

Trump 25%
Cruz 23%
Carson 18%
Rubio 13%
Paul 5%
Bush 4%
Fiorina 3%
Christie 2%
Huckabee 2%
Santorum 2%
Kasich 1%
Gilmore, Graham, Pataki 0%

[Mr. Morden]

Who leads among…?
Tea Party: Cruz
white born again Evangelical: Cruz
very conservative: Cruz
somewhat conservative: Trump
moderate: Trump
men: Trump
women: Cruz
college degree: Cruz/Trump tie
no college degree: Trump
most important characteristic: share values: Cruz
most important characteristic: strong leader: Trump
most important characteristic: honest: Cruz
most important characteristic: best chance of winning: Cruz
most important issue: economy: Trump
most important issue: foreign policy/terrorism: Cruz
most important issue: immigration: Trump
best type of candidate is a governor: Cruz (lol)
best type of candidate is a Senator: Cruz
best type of candidate is someone who’s never held office: Trump

Are there any candidates who you would definitely *NOT* vote for? (multiple response allowed, so adds up to more than 100%)

Bush 26%
Trump 23%
Kasich 19%
Graham 15%
Christie 14%
Pataki 14%
Paul 12%
Gilmore 11%
Fiorina 10%
Huckabee 10%
Carson 9%
Santorum 9%
Rubio 7%
Cruz 5%

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

#CRUZMENTUM IS REAL

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

But in all seriousness, this proves what was earlier stated that evangelicals and conservatives are leaving Carson and going to Cruz.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

... It begins

[Likely Voter]

I think the Trump/Cruz truce is about to end.

[Senator Cris]

Changes since 10/22

Cruz +13
Trump +5
Christie +1
Santorum +1
Huckabee =
Rubio =
Bush - 1
Paul - 1
Fiorina - 2
Kasich - 2
Carson - 10

[Mr. Morden]

fav/unfav %:
Carson 79/15% for +64%
Cruz 73/15% for +58%
Rubio 70/18% for +52%
Fiorina 60/19% for +41%
Huckabee 61/28% for +33%
Trump 59/34% for +25%
Santorum 50/31% for +19%
Christie 45/40% for +5%
Paul 41/44% for -3%
Bush 39/53% for -14%
Kasich 22/39% for -17%
Gilmore 1/19% for -18%
Graham 20/45% for -25%
Pataki 5/36% for -31%

most important issue:
economy / jobs 24%
foreign policy 15%
terrorism 15%
federal deficit 11%
immigration 10%
abortion 6%
gun policy 5%
health care 4%
taxes 4%
race relations 1%
climate change 0%

[tpfkaw]

best type of candidate is a governor: Cruz (lol)

With this group of voters, it's 1. Cruz, 2. Rubio, 3. Carson, 4. Trump, 5. Bush

[Landslide Lyndon]

Changes since 10/22

Cruz +13
Trump +5
Christie +1
Santorum +1
Huckabee =
Rubio =
Bush - 1
Paul - 1
Fiorina - 2
Kasich - 2
Carson - 10

So much for Rubiomentum.

[Skye]

It's Iowa... sooner or later it was bound to happen.

[Maxwell]

Cruz might be rising a bit early, but this development has made him the most likely to win the nomination, in my opinion.

[Frozen Sky Ever Why]

But in all seriousness, this proves what was earlier stated that evangelicals and conservatives are leaving Carson and going to Cruz.

Just like they moved from Gingrich to Santorum then back to Gingrich then back to Santorum. They couldn't stop Romney, and they'll never stop Trump.

[Bull Moose Base]

Quinnipiac poll of Iowa:

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/iowa/release-detail?ReleaseID=2278

Trump 27%
Carson 21%
Cruz 9%
Bush 6%
Fiorina 5%
Kasich 5%
Rubio 5%
Huckabee 4%
Paul 4%
Walker 3%
Jindal 2%
Christie 1%
Graham 1%
Perry 1%
Santorum 1%
Gilmore, Pataki 0%

I do think Cruz is poised to surge in Iowa and maybe nationally too. He's winning over opinion leaders and Carson has a problem with fetal tissue research. As I speculated before, an entertaining scenario is Cruz trailing Trump the way Carson is now and on record as not wanting to attack other Republicans (but obviously prepared to do so).

[RI]

Rabid Rafael is peaking too soon.

[EliteLX]

Woah, big numbers for Ted!

I would love to see Ted to take on the Donald and make him look like a babbling idiot.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Rabid Rafael is peaking too soon.

It's around the same time Huckabee started his surge in 2008. And Cruz is still trailing Trump by a significant margin in most polls.  

[RI]

Rabid Rafael is peaking too soon.

It's around the same time Huckabee started his surge in 2008. And Cruz is still trailing Trump by a significant margin in most polls. 

Sure, but the caucus is a month later than in 2008.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Rabid Rafael is peaking too soon.

It's around the same time Huckabee started his surge in 2008. And Cruz is still trailing Trump by a significant margin in most polls. 

Sure, but the caucus is a month later than in 2008.

And Cruz hasn't even spent a dime advertising.

[Cruzcrew]

Cruz is rising at a good time and ads haven't even started yet.

[RI]

Trump hasn't advertised, either.

[Wells]

Cruz? Really? Why can't it be Rubio? Or, better, Paul. What's so great about Cruz? And he really surged quickly. This is surprising.

[Pandaguineapig]

Trump hasn't advertised, either.

hes gotten non-stop coverage on cnn and other networks

[Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas]

This is good news. Rubio was never going to win Iowa, and anything that stops Trump's momentum in its tracks.

Cruz vs. Rubio in the long run is likely a Rubio win as well.

[Eraserhead]

Interesting. Looks like the Carson boomlet is over with. Meanwhile, Trump marches onward.

Democratic numbers tomorrow, I guess?