Your (early) Iowa and New Hampshire predictions.
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  Your (early) Iowa and New Hampshire predictions.
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Author Topic: Your (early) Iowa and New Hampshire predictions.  (Read 2584 times)
Senator Cris
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« on: November 24, 2015, 07:56:24 AM »
« edited: November 24, 2015, 07:58:51 AM by Speaker Cris »

I mean winners, position of all other candidates and if you want (this is very bold) percentages.
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Young Conservative
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« Reply #1 on: November 24, 2015, 07:57:39 AM »

Iowa: Carson (i think he'll pull out a win since it's a caucus)
New Hampshire:Trump
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Vern
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« Reply #2 on: November 24, 2015, 08:21:44 AM »

Cruz will win IA and Rubio will win NH
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Enduro
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« Reply #3 on: November 24, 2015, 11:06:28 AM »

Iowa: Trump or Carson, Cruz will have a good showing and maybe Rubio. All other candidates will struggle here.

New Hampshire: Paul upset victory (more of a hope than a prediction)
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Penelope
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« Reply #4 on: November 24, 2015, 11:08:14 AM »

Iowa: Cruz by at least 5%.

New Hampshire: Trump, narrowly. Bush does better than most expect (but still bad), Kasich gets less than 5% and drops out immediately.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #5 on: November 24, 2015, 11:20:44 AM »

Iowa: Cruz wins easily
New Hampshire: Trump wins, narrowly defeating Rubio. Christie gets third place, good, but not good enough to continue.
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mencken
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« Reply #6 on: November 24, 2015, 11:40:04 AM »

Cruz wins Iowa in the upper 20s/low 30s. Trump places in mid 20s. Rubio and Carson effectively tie for third in mid teens. Paul and Santorum overperform in high single digits (albeit not enough to save their campaigns). Nobody else gets above 5%.

Trump wins New Hampshire in mid 20s. Rubio and Christie closely trail in low 20s/high teens (good enough for both of them to claim victory). Cruz takes fourth in the mid teens. Paul beats his Iowa showing but still does worse than his father in 2008. Nobody else gets above 5%.
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Asian Nazi
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« Reply #7 on: November 24, 2015, 11:47:09 AM »

Jeb Bush will win them both
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Fubart Solman
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« Reply #8 on: November 24, 2015, 12:09:10 PM »

Not sure why no one is doing the Dems...

Iowa-R: Cruz wins by at least 5%

Iowa-D: Clinton wins by 5-15%

NH-R: Rubio wins by less than 10%

NH-D: Sanders wins by under 5%
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Senator Cris
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« Reply #9 on: November 24, 2015, 12:18:14 PM »

I think Cruz will win in Iowa. Trump will finish in second, Carson in third.
Trump will win New Hampshire. Rubio will most likely take second place. Pure toss-up for third place.
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Penelope
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« Reply #10 on: November 24, 2015, 12:20:35 PM »

Not sure why no one is doing the Dems...

Hm.

Iowa-D: Clinton wins by at least 15%, probably closer to 20%.
New Hampshire-D: Clinton wins by 2-5%.
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #11 on: November 24, 2015, 12:48:54 PM »

Iowa-R:
Cruz: ~25%
Trump: ~22%
Rubio: ~20%

Iowa-D:
Sanders: ~35%
Clinton: ~34.5%
O'Malley: ~25%

New Hampshire-R:
Kasich: ~21%(Upset)
Cruz: ~19%
Rubio: ~18.5%
Trump: ~18%

New Hampshire-D:
Sanders: ~37.5%
Clinton: ~35%
O'Malley: ~25%
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TarHeelDem
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« Reply #12 on: November 24, 2015, 01:14:30 PM »

Iowa - Cruz
New Hampshire - Trump

Expectation is on Rubio to deliver in the following states, otherwise Cruz or Trump is your nominee.
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Chunk Yogurt for President!
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« Reply #13 on: November 24, 2015, 01:20:30 PM »

Iowa: Carson and Clinton
New Hampshire: Rubio and Clinton
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RI
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« Reply #14 on: November 24, 2015, 01:22:37 PM »

Trump and Clinton win both.
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Broken System
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« Reply #15 on: November 24, 2015, 01:46:16 PM »

Iowa:

Cruz 28%
Trump 26%
Rubio 15%
Santorum 8%
Carson 6%
Huckabee 5%
Paul 4%
Bush 3%
Christie 2%
Fiorina 1%
Kasich <1%
Graham <1%
Pataki <1%
Gilmore <1%

Clinton 47%
Sanders 40%
O'Malley 12%



New Hampshire:

Trump 31%
Rubio 21%
Cruz 16%
Christie 10%
Kasich 8%
Bush 6%
Paul 4%
Fiorina 4%
Santorum 2%
Huckabee 2%
Graham <1%
Pataki OUT
Gilmore OUT
Carson OUT

Sanders 51%
Clinton 42%
O'Malley 6%
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PPT Spiral
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« Reply #16 on: November 24, 2015, 02:04:43 PM »

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I support Sanders
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« Reply #17 on: November 24, 2015, 03:49:32 PM »

IA: Trump and Clinton
NH: Kasich and Sanders
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Higgs
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« Reply #18 on: November 24, 2015, 04:18:42 PM »

Cruz will win IA and Rubio will win NH

I'm starting to think this
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perdedor
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« Reply #19 on: November 24, 2015, 04:19:07 PM »

Only going to list the candidates who I predict will break double digits.

Iowa (R)
Cruz-29
Trump-26
Carson- 15
Rubio-15
Others-15

Carson, and the rest of the religious right pretenders will drop out after IA.

New Hampshire (R)
Trump-40
Rubio-21
Cruz-14
Christie-10
Others-15

Only Trump, Cruz, and Rubio will remain after NH.

Iowa(D)
Clinton-63
Sanders-35

The landslide Clinton victory deflates the Sanders campaign heading into NH.

New Hampshire(D)
Clinton-55
Sanders-44

And that's that.


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Coolface Sock #42069
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« Reply #20 on: November 24, 2015, 04:21:31 PM »

IA Cruz
NH Toss-up
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Cruzcrew
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« Reply #21 on: November 24, 2015, 04:23:07 PM »

Iowa: tilt cruz
NH: tilt trump
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #22 on: November 24, 2015, 04:23:52 PM »


I think in the end Cruz will get around 30% of the vote in Iowa and RUBIO will win New Hampshire by a slim margin against Trump.
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dudeabides
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« Reply #23 on: November 24, 2015, 04:27:40 PM »

Marco Rubio will win Iowa narrowly, Donald Trump will win New Hampshire.
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Pyro
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« Reply #24 on: November 24, 2015, 04:29:09 PM »

Iowa: Cruz with 27-28%.
        Sanders with 46% (wins by .5%).

NH: Trump with 32%, edges out Rubio with 28%.
      Sanders with 53%.
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