IA-Quinnipiac: Clinton 51% Sanders 42% O’Malley 4%

[Mr. Morden]

Quinnipiac poll of Iowa, conducted Nov. 16-22:

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/iowa/release-detail?ReleaseID=2306

Clinton 51%
Sanders 42%
O’Malley 4%

[Mr. Morden]

Who leads among…?
liberals: Sanders
moderates: Clinton
men: Sanders
women: Clinton
most important characteristic: cares about people like me: Sanders
most important characteristic: strong leader: Clinton
most important characteristic: best chance of winning: Clinton
most important issue: economy/jobs: Sanders
most important issue: foreign policy/terrorism: Clinton
most important issue: climate change: Sanders

fav/unfav %:
Sanders 81/7% for +74%
Clinton 81/15% for +66%
O’Malley 43/6% for +37%

most important issue:
economy / jobs 36%
climate change 15%
foreign policy 12%
health care 11%
terrorism 5%
race relations 4%
gun policy 4%
taxes 3%
immigration 2%
federal deficit 2%
abortion 1%

[Eraserhead]

So Sanders is +2 and Clinton is unchanged.

I'll take it.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

And it's QU... this is going to be a really important season for their credibility

[Eraserhead]

Anyone know when the next DMR poll should come around?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Well if Clinton winds up winning Iowa, Bernie wont be able to find the support in NH he needs.

[Bull Moose Base]

Well if Clinton winds up winning Iowa, Bernie wont be able to find the support in NH he needs.

The IA winner almost never wins NH.

[/]

So Sanders is +2 and Clinton is unchanged.

I'll take it.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Well if Clinton winds up winning Iowa, Bernie wont be able to find the support in NH he needs.

The IA winner almost never wins NH.

She leads in NV & SC, so by those standards, he will lose the nomination.

[Mr. Morden]

Well if Clinton winds up winning Iowa, Bernie wont be able to find the support in NH he needs.

The IA winner almost never wins NH.

Though the closest analogue to the 2016 Democratic race is the 2000 Democratic race, which did in fact involve the same candidate winning both states (as well as another 48 states).

For that matter, you could say that on the Democratic side, Iowa and New Hampshire have only gone for different candidates once in the last 20 years. 

[Bull Moose Base]

Well if Clinton winds up winning Iowa, Bernie wont be able to find the support in NH he needs.

The IA winner almost never wins NH.

Though the closest analogue to the 2016 Democratic race is the 2000 Democratic race, which did in fact involve the same candidate winning both states (as well as another 48 states).

For that matter, you could say that on the Democratic side, Iowa and New Hampshire have only gone for different candidates once in the last 20 years. 

Ha. True. And that one ended up being a surprise when it happened.

I actually think it's pretty likely to happen this time too, if Bernie pulls off an IA upset or Hillary beats polls there by a lot. Actually, there's a decent chance it could happen on both sides.

[Flake]

I just want to know where O'Malley supporters will go when they don't reach the viable 15% threshold. Would matter a lot in a close race.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Non junk pollsters have usually had a single digit Hillary lead. I'm waiting for Selzer to repoll this to confirm.

[Fusionmunster]

Essentially no movement from last month, fine by me.

[An American Tail: Fubart Goes West]

I just want to know where O'Malley supporters will go when they don't reach the viable 15% threshold. Would matter a lot in a close race.

That's a very good point. 4% either way would make it a decent Clinton lead or nearly a tie. I think that more might be inclined to go for Bernie, but I'm not sure. It would be interesting if a pollster asked the O'Malley voters for their pick between Clinton and Sanders.

[Tender Branson]

Good to see Sanders still in striking distance in a non-joke poll.

[Lief 🗽]

Good to see Sanders still in striking distance in a non-joke poll.

> Quinnipiac
> Non-joke poll

pick one

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

QU has been bad lately on its presidential numbers in CO & Pa, but its primary numbers have been right. But. It will be tough for Bernie to beat her.

[EliteLX]

Good to see Sanders still in striking distance in a non-joke poll.

> Quinnipiac
> Non-joke poll

pick one

Just because a poll isn't Public Policy Polling or giving Hillary good news doesn't mean it's garbage, lol. Some shaky numbers statewide from Quinnipac these past few months but otherwise they're holding to their rep.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

QU uses a Registered voter poll, and as you recall, they had Clinton behind in Iowa, Va and CO.

To even Walker at the time. When it gets closer to election time, Sept, 2016, I will look for better polls in CO, Iowa & Pa.

[Holmes]

Good to see Sanders still in striking distance in a non-joke poll.

> Quinnipiac
> Non-joke poll

pick one

If Bernie is doing well, it's a non-joke poll. Obviously.

[EliteLX]

QU uses a Registered voter poll, and as you recall, they had Clinton behind in Iowa, Va and CO.

To even Walker at the time. When it gets closer to election time, Sept, 2016, I will look for better polls in CO, Iowa & Pa.

Fair enough, yet don't undermine a viable GOP'er in IA and CO because they are going to have a very real opportunity to take those states in 2016 if they play their campaign and cards right. VA I won't comment on because it will be a bloodbath with a hell of a ground game and $ necessary.