YouGov/Economist national: D: Clinton 54% Sanders 34%; R: Trump 36% Rubio 14%

[Pandaguineapig]

I wonder why RealClearPolitics isn't using the polls in their average... it seems, that they exclude all polls with big lead for Trump.

Because yougov is an internet  pollster with a terrible track record

It's only rated slightly worse than PPP. http://fivethirtyeight.com/interactives/pollster-ratings/

Nate doesn't like that it doesn't use "standard" methodology, but their overall accuracy is good. Remember, this Nate guy told us Trump would collapse just as he was rising.

While you guys are ironically cheering on Trump realize his supporters are according to the very same polls the least likely to show up on election day

[Mr. Morden]

I wonder why RealClearPolitics isn't using the polls in their average... it seems, that they exclude all polls with big lead for Trump.

They usually exclude all the internet pollsters.  Though they seem to make exceptions when the internet pollsters partner with one of the major TV networks.  E.g., the recent state polls by YouGov when they partnered with CBS were included.

[Eraserhead]

Weird junk poll.

[Mr. Morden]

I changed the #s in the headline.  Looks like what I was initially listing were the # among Dems alone and Republicans alone, rather than all likely Democratic primary voters and all likely Republican primary voters.  The former excludes Independents who lean one way or the other and intend to vote in the primary.  Including them shifts the Democratic #s greatly, since Sanders has much bigger support among Democratic-leaning Indies than among Dems themselves.

[Mr. Morden]

If Trump and Carson weren’t running, who would you vote for?

Cruz 32%
Rubio 16%
Fiorina 15%
Huckabee 7%
Bush 4%
Paul 4%
Christie 3%
Graham 2%
Kasich 1%
Pataki 1%
Santorum 1%
Graham 0%

2-way matchups:

Cruz 54%
Carson 46%

Rubio 51%
Carson 49%

Trump 61%
Carson 39%

Cruz 55%
Rubio 45%

Trump 57%
Cruz 43%

Trump 57%
Rubio 43%

[/]

I like 54-34 much better than 64-26...

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

The Democrat side almost exactly agrees with the Reuters tracking poll, a 54-34 lead.
The Republican side doesn't agree so exactly, but they are in agreement that Trump is high 30s and Carson is low 10s and not in 2nd place.

[Fusionmunster]

I like 54-34 much better than 64-26...

If there's anything to take away from this poll, its Hillary improved with Dems by 5 points and Sanders decreased by 5. Thats about it since YouGov didn't release poll numbers including independents and republicans voting in the dem primary last time.